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May 2016 Discussion/Observations


dmillz25

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Basically it takes record blocking just to get close to normal but once it's gone the departures will soar. July and August are going to be crazy hot.

No. The blocking had us well below normal. We got a nasty ridge the last week that was able to wipe that out.

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Closer to normal has been the new cold pattern since the very cold JFM 2015 pattern changed.

NYC monthly departures since 4/15:

4/15...+1.2

5/15....+6.1

6/15....-0.2

7/15....+2.3

8/15....+3.8

9/15....+6.5

10/15...+1.1

11/15...+5.1

12/15...+13.3

1/16.....+1.9

2/16.....+2.4

3/16.....+6.4

4/16....+0.3

5/16....-0.3 so far

Yep, when you look at that list and see +1 to +4 or so, it almost appears that month was on the chilly side. Ever since last May, the heat has really been the story. Imagine if June 2015 wasn't BN? We'd have 14 months of AN.

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Yep, when you look at that list and see +1 to +4 or so, it almost appears that month was on the chilly side. Ever since last May, the heat has really been the story. Imagine if June 2015 wasn't BN? We'd have 14 months of AN.

 

The 12 months ending this March were the warmest such period on record for us

and the globe as a whole. 

 

http://24.237.90.116/rankings.php

 

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Don't look at June 2016... It is almost a lock for below normal month. The teleconnections are atrocious for the first half. I am throwing the towel on June and it is justified. Look at them and say that's warm. No.

What would you have said after 3 weeks of May?

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NYC's streak of above normal months will go on. The turnaround in May was remarkable. On May 18, NYC was running 4.0° below normal for the month. On May 24, NYC was still averaging 3.1° below normal for the month. On May 26, NYC still had a monthly anomaly of 2.0° below normal.

 

At present, just using today's 74°-71° split through 9 am, NYC has a +0.2° anomaly for May.

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NYC's streak of above normal months will go on. The turnaround in May was remarkable. On May 18, NYC was running 4.0° below normal for the month. On May 24, NYC was still averaging 3.1° below normal for the month. On May 26, NYC still had a monthly anomaly of 2.0° below normal.

 

At present, just using today's 74°-71° split through 9 am, NYC has a +0.2° anomaly for May.

Carbon copy of January 2016....we were cold-not -4 but still and the torch end of the month really turning things around.

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Closer to normal has been the new cold pattern since the very cold JFM 2015 pattern changed.

 

NYC monthly departures since 4/15:

 

4/15...+1.2

5/15....+6.1

6/15....-0.2

7/15....+2.3

8/15....+3.8

9/15....+6.5

10/15...+1.1

11/15...+5.1

12/15...+13.3

1/16.....+1.9

2/16.....+2.4

3/16.....+6.4

4/16....+0.3

5/16....-0.3 so far

This is why 1981-2010 averages are irrelevant to today's climate.

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This is why 1981-2010 averages are irrelevant to today's climate.

when the 1981- 2010 avgs came out i noticed the warm season avgs decreased a little bit, while most other climate stations stayed about the same or increased. If they kept pace with the other locations the departures might be slightly less.

CPK got overgrown in the 90s or 2000s or something.

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Needed even more achieve a normal May here. Finished with a -1.2 temperature departure, following April's -0.5. So, spring - since late March - has been cool overall. Recorded 7.70" of rain for meteorological spring - MAM.

Finished with a -0.7 degree departure here for May after an exactly normal April...Had 4.66" of rain for month and 7.77" for spring which ties for 2nd lowest since 1981.
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Interesting that both winter and spring had the most impressive warmth during the

first month of each season by such an extreme degree.

 

NYC monthly departures

 

12/15....+13.3

1/16.......+1.9

2/16.......+2.4

 

3/16......+6.4

4/16......+0.3

5/16......+0.4

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