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May 2016 Discussion/Observations


dmillz25

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The Euro has become horrible since the upgrade, clearly not the same model it once was. Hopefully it brings back the stronger solution so we can get some good soaking rains in here.

Hope it's dry for Wednesday. Going to the Mets game.

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NYC needs another 4.17 of rain in May to get out of the top ten driest springs.

The last top ten driest season in NYC was all the way back in winter 2001-2002.

 

10 driest springs in NYC:

 

2.89....2016...so far

4.95....1885

5.06....1935

6.20....1887

6.39....1995

6.60....1905

6.81....1926

6.97....1965

7.01....1959

7.04....1963

7.05....1950

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High/low split of 48.5/45.2 here today. Fairly cold weather for early May; it's the normal high for early-mid March.

 

Nice, steady soaking rain event of 0.39". 

 

We're the big winners right now in terms of being one of the coldest locations in the contiguous United States. At this time of year, cold temperatures are entirely cloud/pcpn induced:

 

308xr7s.jpg

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Since my forum is mostly a dead zone I'll ask here...are we getting warm any time soon?

the ensembles show a mostly cool pattern for the next 10-14 days but i think we'll flip to hot summer wx by mid/late month and then the oven door is open

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High/low split of 48.5/45.2 here today. Fairly cold weather for early May; it's the normal high for early-mid March.

Nice, steady soaking rain event of 0.39".

We're the big winners right now in terms of being one of the coldest locations in the contiguous United States. At this time of year, cold temperatures are entirely cloud/pcpn induced:

308xr7s.jpg

Colorado just had a major snowstorm, and you can see the cold temperatures there, too. I believe Wolf Creek, with 9" in this storm, now has over 440" seasonal snowfall.
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Funny how spring is following a similar pattern to winter. The first month of both seasons

was warmest relative to the means. The next two months had cooler departures than

the first month with strong blocking.

 

NYC departures 

 

DEC....+13.3...MAR...+6.4

JAN.....+1.9.....APR...+0.3

FEB.....+2.4.....MAY....cool start to month

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Funny how spring is following a similar pattern to winter. The first month of both seasons

was warmest relative to the means. The next two months had cooler departures than

the first month with strong blocking.

 

NYC departures 

 

DEC....+13.3...MAR...+6.4

JAN.....+1.9.....APR...+0.3

FEB.....+2.4.....MAY....cool start to month

...when do you see this pattern ending??

its been too long with these temps in the 40's and 50's.

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...when do you see this pattern ending??

its been too long with these temps in the 40's and 50's.

 

Areas south and west of NYC in NJ may try to make a run on 80 again by next week. But the strong

onshore flow will continue for Long Island which will have cooling sea breezes.

 

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