IrishRob17 Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 if i can get used to walking around in subfreezing temps with a light jacket then you can get used to 80's Maybe he's a snowman Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 Temp currently 72 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 Cooling down in the city with onshore wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 if i can get used to walking around in subfreezing temps with a light jacket then you can get used to 80's I never put on any extra layers when it's above 28 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 10, 2016 Share Posted May 10, 2016 The streak continues at ewr with a -1 for the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 10, 2016 Share Posted May 10, 2016 Cool areas this morning: 32 in Westhampton. 30 in Monticello. Saranac Lake 22 (How do things grow here?) May 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted May 10, 2016 Share Posted May 10, 2016 Is May a lock to finish below normal? Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk No, but it's leaning in that direction. Assuming today's high temperature is 63°, the remainder of the month would need to average no higher than 2.6° above normal for the month to finish with a colder than normal temperature. If, however, the MOS forecasts through the 17th are reasonably accurate, that figure would increase to 4.3° above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted May 10, 2016 Share Posted May 10, 2016 Cool areas this morning: 32 in Westhampton. 30 in Monticello. Saranac Lake 22 (How do things grow here?) May 10 34 IMBY this morning.. Looks like a few nice days coming up for the HV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 10, 2016 Share Posted May 10, 2016 The Euro only has .60 of rainfall for NYC over the next 10 days. So barring a major wet pattern after May 20th, NYC is on track for the first top ten driest season since the 01-02 winter. 10 driest springs in NYC 4.30....2016...so far 4.95....1885 5.06....1935 6.20....1887 6.39....1995 6.60....1905 6.81....1926 6.97....1965 7.01....1959 7.04....1963 7.05....1950 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted May 10, 2016 Share Posted May 10, 2016 The Euro only has .60 of rainfall for NYC over the next 10 days. So barring a major wet pattern after May 20th, NYC is on track for the first top ten driest season since the 01-02 winter. 10 driest springs in NYC 4.30....2016...so far 4.95....1885 5.06....1935 6.20....1887 6.39....1995 6.60....1905 6.81....1926 6.97....1965 7.01....1959 7.04....1963 7.05....1950 I think we'll end up somewhere between #3-#5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted May 10, 2016 Share Posted May 10, 2016 56 degrees overcast with drizzle in Lawrence Harbor. Nice day to be at a scene investigation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted May 10, 2016 Share Posted May 10, 2016 So where was this pattern in November and December? But it looks like ensembles want to warm the pattern up from around May 20th on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 10, 2016 Share Posted May 10, 2016 Heck-where was it in Feb and March?? I knew we'd get the cold and blocking come April.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted May 10, 2016 Share Posted May 10, 2016 Another well below normal day here with high temp of 59 degrees....14 consecutive days with a below normal mean temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted May 10, 2016 Share Posted May 10, 2016 Light shower now as I'm driving through Far Rockaway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted May 10, 2016 Share Posted May 10, 2016 Beautiful day up here.. 69/34. Sun is in and out of the clouds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 Another well below normal day here with high temp of 59 degrees....14 consecutive days with a below normal mean temp. Yeah, below normal streak continues here as well. Managed to achieve 60F late afternoon. Mother's Day high temp of 71F followed a morning low of 37F, so the mean was still sub normal. My April temp departure was -0.5 and May thus far is about -8, so it's looking likely that both April and May are colder than normal here. For NYC, I could see the negatives being erased or mostly erased if the last week of May is very hot, which is still a decent possibility. Early next week may feature late season frost potential in rural areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 Be interesting to see if the warm up the models are advertising for May 20-31 can produce the first 90 of the season for Newark. The only year since 2010 that Newark didn't reach 90 by the last week of May was 2014. In any event, the first 80's of the month look like a good bet at that time as the temperatures rebound from the cool pattern. 2015....5/26...91 2014....6/18...92 2013....5/30...93 2012....5/28...91 2011....5/30...92 2010....4/7.....92 gefs_t2ma_5d_noram_33.png gefs_t2ma_5d_noram_65.png May 1966 was cold the first three weeks of the month...the pattern broke down around the 20th...2016 could end up the same way... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 3rd day in a row of below freezing mornings in Westhampton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 Park up from 50 to 64 before 10 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 72 in the park before noon. Anything above this will make the day AN. The minimum was -2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 GFS brings the city down to 37 next Monday. Low of 42 on Tuesday. Then we go to a high of 86 next Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
salseneca Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 GFS brings the city down to 37 next Monday. Low of 42 on Tuesday. Then we go to a high of 86 next Thursday. Do you believe changes that severe less than a week out? Seems like an awesome first live run of the new GFS parallel/ GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 GFS brings the city down to 37 next Monday. Low of 42 on Tuesday. Then we go to a high of 86 next Thursday. i don't understand how people keep falling for the gfs cold bias. just last night it showed nyc getting into the 40's this morning and the low was 50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 74/32 in the park. 72 in Newark and LGA. 68 in JFK. As Forky noted last year, KNYC doesn't run behind other stations when we're in a dry regime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 i don't understand how people keep falling for the gfs cold bias. just last night it showed nyc getting into the 40's this morning and the low was 50 At least the 0z Euro is 20 degrees cooler than the GFS for next Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 GFS brings the city down to 37 next Monday. Low of 42 on Tuesday. Then we go to a high of 86 next Thursday. That was one of the coldest runs for the Sunday night/Monday night time period yet on the GFS. Doubt NYC is getting below 40 (doubt they even go under 45). Surrounding suburbs certainly could. For what its worth, GGEM has been running about 7-10 degrees warmer than the GFS for the same time period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 That was one of the coldest runs for the Sunday night/Monday night time period yet on the GFS. Doubt NYC is getting below 40 (doubt they even go under 45). Surrounding suburbs certainly could. For what its worth, GGEM has been running about 7-10 degrees warmer than the GFS for the same time period. And by the way, the GFS upgraded today at 12z to its newer version. It's not much better than the old version. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 Be interesting to see if the warm up the models are advertising for May 20-31 can produce the first 90 of the season for Newark. The only year since 2010 that Newark didn't reach 90 by the last week of May was 2014. In any event, the first 80's of the month look like a good bet at that time as the temperatures rebound from the cool pattern. 2015....5/26...91 2014....6/18...92 2013....5/30...93 2012....5/28...91 2011....5/30...92 2010....4/7.....92 the flip is coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted May 11, 2016 Share Posted May 11, 2016 76/50 at the park today. +2 Newark at 74/49 comes in dead even. No AN days yet in Newark this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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