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Severe Threats Apr. 24-May 1


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Tornado warning around Evansville.

Confirmed on ground.

 

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY

556 PM CDT TUE APR 26 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

  WEST CENTRAL SPENCER COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA...

  EAST CENTRAL VANDERBURGH COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA...

  SOUTHWESTERN WARRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA...

  NORTHEASTERN HENDERSON COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN KENTUCKY...

* UNTIL 630 PM CDT

* AT 555 PM CDT...A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR NEWBURGH...

  MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

  HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO.

  IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT

           SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.

           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE

           DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...

  CHANDLER AROUND 600 PM CDT.

  BOONVILLE AROUND 605 PM CDT.

 

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Yeah, and I hope you don't live by the Ecorse River that runs just north of Van Born, it tends to flood in a shower.

Thankfully I live several blocks away from there. The area flooded very badly in the 2014 floods, but my specific neighborhood made out pretty well. Plus, this past year they redid the storm drain system which will apparently help out in situations like that after what happened in 2014. I guess this will be one of those wait and see type situations.

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PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT  

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN  

1021 AM EDT WED APR 27 2016  

 

...TORNADO CONFIRMED NEAR 4 SW WORTHINGTON IN GREENE COUNTY  

INDIANA...  

 

LOCATION...4 SW WORTHINGTON IN GREENE COUNTY INDIANA  

DATE...APR 26 2016  

ESTIMATED TIME...721 PM EDT  

MAXIMUM EF-SCALE RATING...EF0  

ESTIMATED MAXIMUM WIND SPEED...85 MPH  

MAXIMUM PATH WIDTH...75 YARDS  

PATH LENGTH...0.1 MILES  

BEGINNING LAT/LON...  

ENDING LAT/LON...  

* FATALITIES...0  

* INJURIES...0  

 

* THE INFORMATION IN THIS STATEMENT IS PRELIMINARY AND SUBJECT TO  

CHANGE PENDING FINAL REVIEW OF THE EVENT(S) AND PUBLICATION IN  

NWS STORM DATA.  

   

..SUMMARY  

 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS IN HAS CONFIRMED A  

TORNADO NEAR 4 SW WORTHINGTON IN GREENE COUNTY INDIANA ON APR  

26 2016.  

 

EYEWITNESS SAW SWIRLING AS SEVERAL BARNS WERE DAMAGED. ONE PIECE  

OF DEBRIS FROM THE BAR WAS LAUNCHED 250 FEET.  

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Parts of Northern and eastern MO TOR probs raised to 5% along that warm front

 

sometimes  these set ups can be sleepers

 

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
1129 AM CDT WED APR 27 2016  
 
VALID 271630Z - 281200Z  

 
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE LWR MO AND MID MS VLYS  
SE TO THE CNTRL GULF CST...  
 
...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE ABOVE  
AREA...FROM ERN NEB SE TO THE GULF CST AND SRN VA/NC...  
   
..SUMMARY
 
 
ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH  
THIS EVENING OVER THE LOWER AND MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEYS. STRONG TO  
ISOLATED SEVERE WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY HAZARD SOUTH...WITH A MIX  
OF HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND NORTH.  
   
..SYNOPTIC SETUP
 
 
NEGATIVE-TILT CNTRL PLNS LOW/TROUGH WILL PIVOT NE ACROSS ERN NEB/NRN  
MO LATER TODAY...AND INTO ERN IA/NRN IL EARLY THU...AS UPSTREAM JET  
STREAK CONTINUES SE TO EVOLVE INTO A LOW OVER THE LWR CO RVR VLY. AT  
THE SFC...LOW NOW W OF OMAHA SHOULD EDGE SLOWLY E TO NEAR OMAHA THIS  
EVE AND FURTHER OCCLUDE AS NARROWING WARM SECTOR ARCS NE ACROSS NRN  
MO/FAR SRN IA. TRAILING COLD FRONT FROM THE LOW WILL ADVANCE FARTHER  
E/SE ACROSS THE OZARKS...AR...AND E TX LATER TODAY/TNGT...PRECEDED  
OVER THE LWR MS VLY BY WELL-DEFINED...PARALLELING OUTFLOW BOUNDARY  
LEFT BY OVERNIGHT SQUALL LINE.  
   
..LWR MS VLY THROUGH THIS EVE
 
 
LA SQLN SHOULD CONTINUE E ACROSS THE LWR MS VLY AT ABOUT 30 KTS  
THROUGH LATER TODAY. SFC HEATING AND INFLOW OF RICH MOISTURE /PW AOA  
1.25 INCHES/ LIKELY WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MODEST DIURNAL STRENGTHENING  
OF THE LINE...AND POSSIBLY SOME NWD EXTENSION ACROSS MS. LARGE SCALE  
FORCING FOR ASCENT OVER REGION WILL DIMINISH AS THE PLNS UPR SYSTEM  
CONTINUES NEWD. BUT MODEST...VERTICALLY-VEERING WIND PROFILES AMIDST  
1500-2000 J/KG MLCAPE LIKELY WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR OCCASIONAL  
STRONG TO SVR GUSTS...AND POSSIBLY MARGINALLY SVR HAIL...THROUGH  
THIS EVE.  
   
..LWR MO/MID MS VLYS THROUGH THIS EVE
 
 
MUCH OF THE LWR MO/MID MS VLY REGION WAS CONVECTIVELY OVERTURNED BY  
WIDESPREAD STORMS OVER THE LAST 24-36 HRS. CLOUD DEBRIS FROM  
OVERNIGHT SQLN WILL ALSO PERSIST OVER MUCH OF THE REGION UNTIL LATER  
IN THE DAY. NEVERTHELESS...SATELLITE SUGGESTS THAT TWO VORTICITY  
LOBES/AXES OF ASCENT WILL PIVOT NE ACROSS THE REGION IN ASSOCIATION  
WITH CNTRL PLNS UPR LOW. COOLING/ASCENT WITH THESE  
FEATURES...COUPLED WITH MODERATE LOW-LVL HEATING/DESTABILIZATION  
SHOULD PROMOTE DEVELOPMENT OF AFTN STORMS ACROSS NRN/ERN MO NEWD  
INTO ADJACENT PARTS OF IA AND WRN IL. A FEW STORMS ALSO MAY FORM WWD  
INTO ERN NEB...AS DRY SLOT OF UPR LOW OVERSPREADS FAR WRN PART OF  
SFC OCCLUSION.  
 
LOW-LVL MOISTURE WILL DECREASE WITH NW EXTENT FROM ERN MO/WRN IL  
INTO SW IA/ERN NEB. BUT COOL MID-LVL TEMPS...FOCUSED LOW-LVL  
CONVERGENCE...AND 40-50 KT SW 500 MB FLOW ON SE SIDE OF UPR LOW  
COULD YIELD A FEW ARC-SHAPED BANDS OF AFTN/EVE STORMS CAPABLE OF  
HAIL/LOCALLY DMGG WIND. AND...ALTHOUGH IT DOES NOT APPEAR THAT WIND  
PROFILES WILL BE OPTIMAL /WITH SOME AREAS LIKELY TO DISPLAY SOME  
DEGREE OF A BACK-VEER PATTERN WITH HEIGHT/...DEPENDING UPON THE  
DEGREE OF SFC HEATING AND THE MID-LATE AFTN ORIENTATION OF  
WARM/OCCLUDED FRONT...A NON-ZERO TORNADO THREAT COULD DEVELOP FROM E  
CNTRL MO NWWD INTO SW IA AND POSSIBLY FAR ERN NEB.  

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part of the subforum

 

RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED  
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 116  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK  
230 PM CDT WED APR 27 2016  
 
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A  
 
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF  
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL IOWA  
WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS  
FAR NORTHEAST KANSAS  
NORTHERN MISSOURI  
 
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM  
UNTIL 900 PM CDT.  
 
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...  
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE  
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY  
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE  
 
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND  
STRENGTH NEAR SLOWLY MOVING WARM FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN  
MISSOURI/SOUTHWEST IOWA...WHERE LOW-LEVEL VEERING WIND PROFILES AND  
SUBSTANTIAL SURFACE HEATING COULD SUPPORT DEVELOPMENT OF LOW-LEVEL  
MESOCYCLONES AND TORNADOES....IN ADDITION TO SEVERE HAIL.  

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