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April 24-30th Severe Potential


Chicago Storm

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Wonder why there isn't any data posted yet from the OUN special sounding. They were either doing it at 1830 or 1900Z I believe.

It'll be up soon...

Cells going up rapidly north and west of DFW metroplex.  Might start impacting inflow on the OK storms.

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Waiting to see if open warm sector storms can develop further northward from the ongoing Denton area stuff. That's probably the realistic path toward a substantial tornado threat at this point.

OKC metro could be in for a major league hail event in a couple hours.

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Waiting to see if open warm sector storms can develop further northward from the ongoing Denton area stuff. That's probably the realistic path toward a substantial tornado threat at this point.

 

There has been some good TCU on 1 min vis sat scans with some echoes on radar over Duncan county but not much else besides that 

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cells near Wichita produced several wind/hail reports, and were feeding off MUCAPE of about 2000 J/kg but no surface CAPE

 

Reflectivity nearing 80dBZ on that cell to the SE, would like to see the hail coming out of that.

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Baseballs to grapefruits reported by several chasers in SW OK. The northern cell may have turned hard enough right to spare the metro, but Norman is still in some danger of getting demolished with hail around 5pm. Lawton is probably about to experience that here shortly.

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Reflectivity nearing 80dBZ on that cell to the SE, would like to see the hail coming out of that.

That's quite a storm cell for 50 degree surface temps

 

edit:

new NWS hydrometeor-classification algorithm hard at work figuring out large hail/giant hail sizes with this nasty squall east of Wichita

 

pM3dI1H.png

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Baseballs to grapefruits reported by several chasers in SW OK. The northern cell may have turned hard enough right to spare the metro, but Norman is still in some danger of getting demolished with hail around 5pm. Lawton is probably about to experience that here shortly.

We have our AFROTC graduation banquet at the weather center at 6. Trying to decide weather to dodge north or south.

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