cyclone77 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 New GEM says nothing but patches of thin cirrus over the east coast early next week. That would be a horrible screw job for the east coast if this pans out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 The loop of the simulated radar on this site is sort of interesting... http://www.emc.ncep....nt4km/conus/00/ band on the northeast side barely moving with precip blossoming in sw MO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 The Canadian did follow the NAM and GFS in beefing up QPF over N. Illinois. 3-6+ on sypnotic snow/LES and 24hrs of "A christmas story" on TNT with a bottle of southern comfort and some mota. That be a great x-mas present. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Man I am not even thinking about that. Just a stronger WAA type snow here. This was going up the OV at one time. How can you not think about that? thats how we would get something big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 LSX WRF also went north of the 12z run http://www.crh.noaa.gov/lsx/wrf/wrfdisplay.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 The Canadian following the NAM and GFS in beefing up QPF over N. Illinois puts a smirk on my face omg that avatar I gotta go do some hunting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 How can you not think about that? thats how we would get something big. Right but 90 percent sure its not going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 3-6+ on sypnotic snow/LES and 24hrs of "A christmas story" on TNT with a bottle of southern comfort and some mota. That be a great x-mas present. You really are from chicago, mota, lolz. I can't in good faith throw out amounts given how fluid the situation is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 band on the northeast side barely moving with precip blossoming in sw MO Yeah, if you watch it enough times (LOL) you start to get the feeling that it's on the verge of really phasing into something bigger. Towards the end the southern stream precip is moving pretty quickly northward through Missouri. Kind of gives you the feeling that it could really intensify the returns over Iowa and Illinois. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 How can you not think about that? thats how we would get something big. I can't help but think about it and it's the only way we're going to push things NE enough and avoid having the best action shunted to our southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 You really are from chicago, mota, lolz. I can't in good faith throw out amounts given how fluid the situation is. Perfect time to bust out the 1-10" call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Well we only have 24-30hrs before it hits us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Lets do a what if. Lets say this phases completely over missouri. Does the block keep it from going up the apps or force it due east or is it a monster and it could track anywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tornadotony Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Perfect time to bust out the 1-10" call. You mean the 10" for me, 1" for you call, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Lets do a what if. Lets say this phases completely over missouri. Does the block keep it from going up the apps or force it due east or is it a monster and it could track anywhere. Due east or SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 already been a great night, 3-5 inches maybe more if we get a better phase. hopefully the euro has jumped ship some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sidewinder Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 GGEM at 36: GGEM at 48: GGEM at 60: Do GGEM models have an accumulated precip total like the GFS models do? Thanks for sticking around, and posting these Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I'm kind of thinking that over the next 24 hours we are going to see the models continue to show a stronger northern stream and a better dump across the midwest. Signs are pointing to some pretty good frontogenesis across portions of Iowa and Illinois with plenty of cold air in place and some good ratios setting up. Not sure that's what the Eastern weenies want to hear because a stronger northern stream would most likely kick this thing out to sea, but we'll see. The EURO may score a coop, but it is going against just about every other model as far as the massive wound up East Coast blizzard goes. I'd bet on a band of 3-6 inches with isolated 8 inch amounts from Eastern SD, Northern Iowa, Southern Minn and into Northern and Central Illinois with 2-4 inches likely 75 miles North/South of I-70 from Kansas City through Columbus. Just early numbers, could be way off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Looks like Rochester, MN cashes in...seem to be in the heaviest band on the GFS. Should be no surprise. They have almost 40 inches already this month, why not make it 50! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Looks like Rochester, MN cashes in...seem to be in the heaviest band on the GFS. Should be no surprise. They have almost 40 inches already this month, why not make it 50! Man, that's amazing! Another period or two of blocking later in the winter could spell an incredible season up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Do GGEM models have an accumulated precip total like the GFS models do? Thanks for sticking around, and posting these not that I know of, gotta do the math.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madmaxweather Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 MAN if the EURO takes away the bomb those I 95 folks will need to be on suicide watch... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
prinsburg_wx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Do GGEM models have an accumulated precip total like the GFS models do? Thanks for sticking around, and posting these here's ggem 72hr total qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 here's ggem 72hr total qpf step in the right direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 step in the right direction. Does it look wetter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 From tombo in the model thread... hr 36 h5 is just about closed off over northern tx...northern strea diving down quicker.. hr 42 has a closed h5 low just east of whichita falls...its not as closed off as 12z, but its closed off...northern stream continues to really dive down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 From tombo in the model thread... hr 36 h5 is just about closed off over northern tx...northern strea diving down quicker.. hr 42 has a closed h5 low just east of whichita falls...its not as closed off as 12z, but its closed off...northern stream continues to really dive down So what does this mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Well the 0z ECMWF... It appears the northern stream is NAM/GFS-ish(maybe a tad stronger/further south), while the southern stream stayed similar to the 12z Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 TOMBO: hr 60 h5 closed over houston...thats big change from 12z which opened it up...sub 1016 south of la beaches....lgt precip from wpa to ill...heavier precip in eastern tx with h5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 TOMBO: hr 66 the euro is a little faster than 12z here...opened the h5 low over central la...northern stream diving in.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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