cyclone77 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 So apparently the models have developed a severe blind spot. They were much closer to reality 100+hrs out than they were in the 48-84hr range LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 ILLI- Well the Avatar is win. Cracks me up every time ic it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheWeatherPimp Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Everyone getting snows from the Northern wave/energy will definitely have some higher ratios to work with. Really this is looking pretty good for portions of Iowa and Illinois at least IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Does Rochester to Dubuque really need to be bullseyed again? Last night's NAM and GFS didn't have Dubuque even getting a flake. At least this time there shouldn't be a razor-sharp sw edge, but I still need this thing to slam on the breaks, pronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 snow ratios would be quite nice too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 WxMidwest- How far NE? Its been trending snowier and snowier the past few runs. Funny because the local forecasters yesterday were so certain all we had to worry about was flurries or nothing needing shoveling... I need about 4 inches to break the Dec record here...might as well do it. Oh yeah, I've been keeping track of La crosse December Snowfall, I was just up there for Job Interview. I was around the area during the blizzard. One thing to worry about is the Dry air, how strong the dry High will eat at the NE end. Verga Events suck... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dilly84 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 GFS and NAM both sped this thing up significantly. With it being close to Onshore I expect the euro to speed things back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 3-6 inches looking more and more likely in IA, N IL. S**t........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 ILLI- INI FIRE BRUCE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! It's the way he teaches, that game would have been a blowout if it wasn't for Weber's style of basketball, Let them loose, there's a reason that we have great recruits but they suck here.... There now that I have that out of my system, The GFS while not totally coming around to the NAM looks better to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 At least the model trends soothe my Illini pain. And I really hope it's a trend that continues, because a few more shifts like this and things are looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Pick me up I am located at the corner of romeo plank and M-59. That dry air to the north is killing any precip thats comes our way. I would hate to live out that way this time of year, I was shopping at Lakeside yesterday, what a nightmare, M-59 needs to be 8 lanes wide each way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amos83 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Since you guys are the experts in the region I'm interested in your thoughts for the S. Illinois area.... I know the 0z NAM shows a pretty good hit and the GFS appears to be coming in a little better as well. Any thoughts? Thanks ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Holy crud was the 12z Dr precip anemic. First time getting to look at that train wreck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I would hate to live out that way this time of year, I was shopping at Lakeside yesterday, what a nightmare, M-59 needs to be 8 lanes wide each way. Yea its brutal. I basically have been taking parking lots to my destinations. So many people have left the state, it was 3 times worse 3-4 years ago. Quick question. Is the block forcing this northern wave to move SE? Just curious why precip amounts taper off as you go east into indiana ohio and Michigan. Southern wave sucking out the moisture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 At least the model trends soothe my Illini pain. And I really hope it's a trend that continues, because a few more shifts like this and things are looking good. Mcturnover 3:26 remaining...momentum changer oh yeah and the bulls**t call by the ref at the end intentional foul led to this...decided the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Yea its brutal. I basically have been taking parking lots to my destinations. So many people have left the state, it was 3 times worse 3-4 years ago. Quick question. Is the block forcing this northern wave to move SE? Just curious why precip amounts taper off as you go east into indiana ohio and Michigan. Southern wave sucking out the moisture? Yeah there is still blocking left over, thank god this system is going to clean it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Well the Avatar is win. Cracks me up every time ic it Lol thanks, I can say the same about yours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Yeah there is still blocking left over, thank god this system is going to clean it out. GFS doesn't have the stronger phase like the NAM and regional RGEM, but it continues to strengthen the north stream. Models are trending away from such strong NW flow from the ec storm. Maybe because the north stream wave is stronger and able to kick out the system along the E coast and flatten the flow quicker. If these can phase it may be able to move more NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Mcturnover 3:26 remaining...momentum changer oh yeah and the bulls**t call by the ref at the end intentional foul led to this...decided the game. dude that was SO intentional, I have to disagree with most Illini fans on that one, sorry! That was NOT what decided the game, trust me I know I've seen enough of it, if it's not the st louis rams with it's tea party offense it's Weber with his... it was his milking the clock with us up by 1 with 5 minutes to go that decided it for me... Simple WEBER MUST GO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Now can we please get to the GGEM before I throw this laptop out my window cuz i'm so pissed right now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 dude that was SO intentional, I have to disagree with most Illini fans on that one, sorry! That was NOT what decided the game, trust me I know I've seen enough of it, if it's not the st louis rams with it's tea party offense it's Weber with his... it was his milking the clock with us up by 1 with 5 minutes to go that decided it for me... Simple WEBER MUST GO!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Now can we please get to the GGEM before I throw this laptop out my window cuz i'm so pissed right now... Eh its college basketball, if it was March Madness I could understand the anger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Eh its college basketball, if it was March Madness I could understand the anger no no no this is our version of Michigan/Ohio State football... WE DESPISE THE ANNOYING TIGERS! and it sucks even more being stuck with the st louis news (the biggest Mizzou fanboys out there) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Lets have some fun and make some guesses. Will the 6z and 12z models continues to beef things up for the MW/Lakes crowd or were these runs a blip? Will the Euro hold it's ground or cave to the mighty NAM? It feels like we've been following this for a month and it's still evolving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jhamps10 Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Lets have some fun and make some guesses. Will the 6z and 12z models continues to beef things up for the MW/Lakes crowd or were these runs a blip? Will the Euro hold it's ground or cave to the mighty NAM? It feels like we've been following this for a month and it's still evolving. it does feel that long doesn't it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Lets have some fun and make some guesses. Will the 6z and 12z models continues to beef things up for the MW/Lakes crowd or were these runs a blip? Will the Euro hold it's ground or cave to the mighty NAM? It feels like we've been following this for a month and it's still evolving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Lets have some fun and make some guesses. Will the 6z and 12z models continues to beef things up for the MW/Lakes crowd or were these runs a blip? Will the Euro hold it's ground or cave to the mighty NAM? It feels like we've been following this for a month and it's still evolving. 6z and 12z runs of NAM/GFS will continue trend. Euro...eh. might be another run or two. said this in the LES thread, should of said it here lol GFS is showing better omega then monday's event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 The bias in the main model thread is nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I think we may see a slight further north nudge on tomorrow's runs, especially on the NAM. The timing is what's concerning me a bit. The models have slowed things down about 12hrs compared to the last few days, so if they continue to slow it down, then who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 6z and 12z runs of NAM/GFS will continue trend. Euro...eh. might be another run or two. said this in the LES thread, should of said it here lol GFS is showing better omega then monday's event. I feel like if the NAM and GFS continue the trend, we're right back to a major storm (a la GFS a couple days ago) and my brain is struggling after just getting used to an HECS. The bias in the main model thread is nuts. I'm sure they feel the same way if they come here and see us all saying the trends on the NAM and GFS continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I feel like if the NAM and GFS continue the trend, we're right back to a major storm (a la GFS a couple days ago) and my brain is struggling after just getting used to an HECS. I'm sure they feel the same way if they come here and see us all saying the trends on the NAM and GFS continue. I wonder how close we are to a storm like what the Euro and GFS were showing 3 days ago. What were they seeing then that isn't quite there on tonight's runs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I think we may see a slight further north nudge on tomorrow's runs, especially on the NAM. The timing is what's concerning me a bit. The models have slowed things down about 12hrs compared to the last few days, so if they continue to slow it down, then who knows. That's what i feel like too, are we really going to go from big time MW storm to HECS and back to big MW storm in 3 days? The reality is probably somewhere in the middle. Decent hit for Iowa and weakening heading east and a grazing hit for someone on the east coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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