Damage In Tolland Posted October 28, 2016 Share Posted October 28, 2016 Raleighwx winter forecast. For those that have been on the boards for years.. Alan's one of the best. Congrats everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted October 28, 2016 Author Share Posted October 28, 2016 14 hours ago, Quixotic1 said: Speaking in third person is something all prognosticators should do. Jeb has cred, relax its just in fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 28, 2016 Share Posted October 28, 2016 5 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Raleighwx winter forecast. For those that have been on the boards for years.. Alan's one of the best. Congrats everyone Looks just like the EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted October 29, 2016 Share Posted October 29, 2016 8 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Jeb has cred, relax its just in fun. Just wishing you all the Best. You're gonna get it, too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quixotic1 Posted October 29, 2016 Share Posted October 29, 2016 8 hours ago, Ginx snewx said: Jeb has cred, relax its just in fun. Oh I'm familiar with him. He was posting on the Texas et al. thread for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 29, 2016 Share Posted October 29, 2016 On 10/27/2016 at 8:04 PM, JC-CT said: Who doesn't I'm just still mad that they killed Glenn Some had to go, you cant keep dodging the craziest situations without casualties...like climatology for the immediate coast, eventually it prevails and you're left standing in your driveway in a yellow raincoat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted October 29, 2016 Share Posted October 29, 2016 Just remember my facebook post from 9/5/16. I've been on the big winter train since late August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted October 29, 2016 Share Posted October 29, 2016 A 78' would be great,maybe even a 93' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 Should have the outlook ready in mid Novie, but in the meantime: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 11 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Should have the outlook ready in mid Novie, but in the meantime: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com Nina with a splash of Nino....make it a double please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted October 31, 2016 Share Posted October 31, 2016 On 10/28/2016 at 0:20 AM, Jebman said: ATTN: Weathafella, Ginx Snewx and others in the SNE and in the NE: We will have a pattern this winter that will give you 400 to 600 percent of normal snowfall. You will break records. Weenies will be flying all over the place. This winter you will have so damned much snow that you will think the last winter when you had 100+ inches of it, to be a warm spring day. BOSTON WILL BE SHUT DOWN FOR A WEEK, MAYBE TWO WEEKS. All of your snowblowers will blow millions of gaskets. Hell, you'll effin RUN OUT OF GASKETS. You will have the military come down to Dale City to force me via a fresh executive order, to come up there and dig you all out - Because I am the only man who CAN. The Winter of 2016-2017 will blow your mind. You will stay up for a week at a time following the models. You will be doing this well into June! The pattern is setting up and it shall obtain all winter long. Just remember - THE JEBMAN WARNED YOU FIRST. - I am The Jebman, and I approve this message. I think we should repost this every time someone goes into melt-down, winter cancel hysteria. It is the hysterical antidote. I know its a joke and that's what makes it so good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qr7121 Posted November 2, 2016 Share Posted November 2, 2016 i think Boston will probably get 120"+ this winter and it will be an emergency on par w Day After Tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 Big OCTOBER similarities of the warmer weak La Nina winter years versus the cooler weak La Nina winter years, but that correlation actually extends from August through October. The correlation is strongest for the months of DEC/JAN: This is only a selected sample size: AUGUST-NOVEMBER 4, 2011 DECEMBER-JANUARY, 2011-12 AUGUST-NOVEMBER 4, 2012 DECEMBER-JANUARY, 2012-13 AUGUST-NOVEMBER 4, 1988 DECEMBER-JANUARY, 1988-89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stadiumwave Posted November 6, 2016 Share Posted November 6, 2016 But the correlation of the colder DEC/JAN years usually was accompanied by a lot of ridging over eastern 1/3 of CONUS: AUGUST 1--NOVEMBER 4, 1983 DECEMBER-JANUARY, 1983-84 AUGUST 1--NOVEMBER 4, 1984 JANUARY-FEBRUARY, 1984-85....this year was a little different & didn't turn cold until JAN...hence I'll include FEB. But it was a frigid JAN-FEB AUGUST 1--NOVEMBER 4, 2000 DECEMBER-JANUARY, 2000-01 Here's AUGUST 01-NOVEMBER 4, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 Fyi, JB/Weatherbell winter update. Disregard if previously posted here or some other thread. http://www.weatherbell.com/winter-seasonal-forecast-update?utm_source=Copy+of+Winter+2016-17+Forecast+Oct+(Premium)&utm_campaign=Winter+Forecast+(Premium)&utm_medium=email Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 7 hours ago, mitchnick said: Fyi, JB/Weatherbell winter update. Disregard if previously posted here or some other thread. http://www.weatherbell.com/winter-seasonal-forecast-update?utm_source=Copy+of+Winter+2016-17+Forecast+Oct+(Premium)&utm_campaign=Winter+Forecast+(Premium)&utm_medium=email LOL, a shocking forecast from them! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 That was also before things went to hell in a hand basket. Expect them to update to torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 5 hours ago, CoastalWx said: LOL, a shocking forecast from them! Nice, with 133%+ of normal they are forecasting: 160"+ in town. 399"+ up at the mountain. Always a pet peeve but I hope they understand what 133%+ means for the mountains, North Country, and Lake Effect regions they are highlighting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Nice, with 133%+ of normal they are forecasting: 160"+ in town. 399"+ up at the mountain. Always a pet peeve but I hope they understand what 133%+ means for the mountains, North Country, and Lake Effect regions they are highlighting. Well, you know they aren't speaking to those areas when they put those out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 48 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well, you know they aren't speaking to those areas when they put those out. Who are they speaking of? Its mostly NNE, mountains and lake effect zones in their highlighted area (even down the Spine of the Apps that still have pretty high annual averages). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 35 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Who are they speaking of? BTV, PWM, SYR, etc. - the usual flatland suspects? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 12 minutes ago, tamarack said: BTV, PWM, SYR, etc. - the usual flatland suspects? Even 133% and greater at SYR and BTV is a huge or at least impressive winter. That's a minimum of 109" at BTV and 154" at SYR. Basically they are forecasting a top tier type winter with those values. Once averages get into the 80" or higher range (which is probably a large region of their forecast bubble from the WV mountains north through Maine) getting over 133% of normal takes quite the parade of storms. Im more of the opinion that no one actually runs the numbers, it just looks good so let's go with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 Actually digging into it, WeatherBell is forecasting a Top 10 snow winter of all-time at BTV. SYR would be #8 all time. 109" (133% of normal) would rank #9 in the last 130 years in Burlington. Interesting, and good luck. I wonder if they realize what they are forecasting for cities and mountains in that bubble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 After last year, I'll be happy to end up with avg, And if we are above that, Even better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 19 minutes ago, dryslot said: After last year, I'll be happy to end up with avg, And if we are above that, Even better I'll be happy with 75% of normal lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 I'll be happy with 75% of normal lol. Last winter still stings it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Last winter still stings it seems. Completely redefined expectations that's for sure. We'll start with a warning criteria storm and go from there (Dec 2014 the last one?) lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 I just think they aren't looking specifically at every small city snow average. They are trying to say somewhat AN snowfall in those areas. I agree with what you are saying...it's just how they communicate it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 It would be difficult to outline where there thinking is in more detail and much easier to broad brush a region of where they think it may end up above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 10, 2016 Share Posted November 10, 2016 I'm gonna do the outlook this wknd...lots to consider- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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