BuffaloWeather Posted September 21, 2016 Author Share Posted September 21, 2016 Lake Erie has broken its highest temp for the date for like 2 weeks straight. Crazy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted September 22, 2016 Share Posted September 22, 2016 Last few gfs runs have been very rain over the next 10 days.. Hopefully it has a clue.. Edit: And just like that it vanished lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 24, 2016 Author Share Posted September 24, 2016 On 9/22/2016 at 7:17 PM, wolfie09 said: Last few gfs runs have been very rain over the next 10 days.. Hopefully it has a clue.. Edit: And just like that it vanished lol Can definitely notice the seasons changing today, walked out of work and felt a chill for the first time in like 6 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 24, 2016 Author Share Posted September 24, 2016 A good chance of some lake effect rain on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 24, 2016 Author Share Posted September 24, 2016 Can we lock in the GFS at 336 hours? Look at that monster! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 24, 2016 Author Share Posted September 24, 2016 It has begun. Though the greatest probability for precipitation will be within lake effect rain to the northeast of the eastern Great Lakes, we will carry a low chance probability for showers across the entire CWA, as daytime instability combined with steepening lapse rates may contribute to scattered showers. Instability wanes a bit Tuesday night over the lakes, but a still potential southwest flow may continue lake effect rain showers. Will continue with chance pops northeast of the lakes, while allowing inland areas to likely dry out with the loss of daytime heating and instability. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 25, 2016 Author Share Posted September 25, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 25, 2016 Author Share Posted September 25, 2016 If only this setup was in 2 months. We'd be talking Lake Effect Snow Warnings for Northern Erie/Southern Niagara county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 25, 2016 Author Share Posted September 25, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 When's this lake effect rain supposed to get started? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 26, 2016 Author Share Posted September 26, 2016 30 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: When's this lake effect rain supposed to get started? I think overnight until Weds morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 2 hours ago, BuffaloWeather said: I think overnight until Weds morning. Think it's starting to get going now but not sure. Regardless raining pretty good in Amherst. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 Think it's just some good enhancement with a wave passage. Not seeing much support for anything more than a couple hours of moderate rain for the metro north around day break. Ah feels so good to be back in weather mode! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted September 26, 2016 Share Posted September 26, 2016 It wants to get going....Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 26, 2016 Author Share Posted September 26, 2016 1 hour ago, WesterlyWx said: Think it's starting to get going now but not sure. Regardless raining pretty good in Amherst. Love the new avatar, what band is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 26, 2016 Author Share Posted September 26, 2016 25 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Think it's just some good enhancement with a wave passage. Not seeing much support for anything more than a couple hours of moderate rain for the metro north around day break. Ah feels so good to be back in weather mode! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk I'm in weather mode all year long but I go to more active sub-forums because this one dies from May-September. Nov-Feb is my favorite time of year for weather though. Lack of tornadoes and hurricanes the last few years has made summer very boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 26, 2016 Author Share Posted September 26, 2016 Looks like the band is going to target Niagara county this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 42 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I'm in weather mode all year long but I go to more active sub-forums because this one dies from May-September. Nov-Feb is my favorite time of year for weather though. Lack of tornadoes and hurricanes the last few years has made summer very boring. This last sentence is so true. Especially hurricanes. Just nothing good since Sandy in 2012. Between that and the drought this summer tracking the weather has been awful. 40 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Looks like the band is going to target Niagara county this time. Band looks like it's pretty far south right now but I think like south buffalo Steve said it'll likely be at its peak in the morning over the north towns. 43 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Love the new avatar, what band is that? November 2014 man, come on...! You lived through it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 27, 2016 Author Share Posted September 27, 2016 38 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: This last sentence is so true. Especially hurricanes. Just nothing good since Sandy in 2012. Between that and the drought this summer tracking the weather has been awful. Band looks like it's pretty far south right now but I think like south buffalo Steve said it'll likely be at its peak in the morning over the north towns. November 2014 man, come on...! You lived through it! Haha I know. It's so small, tough to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 27, 2016 Author Share Posted September 27, 2016 I'm just glad you're back Devin. Going to be an active forum finally! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 11 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I'm just glad you're back Devin. Going to be an active forum finally! Thanks! So glad to be back in WNY. No where else in the world I'd rather be. It sure is going to be great to post here again during the winter. Regardless of how good or bad the upcoming season is, for me it'll seem great after being in city that averaged 28" of snow per season. I'm super pumped for what's to come. Heck I'm super pumped about this first lake effect rain event tonight and tomorrow. Always great to look at radar and see a band at the eastern end of Lake Erie no matter what form it's precipitating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted September 27, 2016 Share Posted September 27, 2016 Short lived but looked pretty nice for about an hour... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 27, 2016 Author Share Posted September 27, 2016 7 hours ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Short lived but looked pretty nice for about an hour... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Yeah that was a nice band there for awhile. The sun is still way to strong for a organized band during the day. Need to wait another month or so to get that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 27, 2016 Author Share Posted September 27, 2016 Looks like lots of rain this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 27, 2016 Author Share Posted September 27, 2016 19 hours ago, WesterlyWx said: Thanks! So glad to be back in WNY. No where else in the world I'd rather be. It sure is going to be great to post here again during the winter. Regardless of how good or bad the upcoming season is, for me it'll seem great after being in city that averaged 28" of snow per season. I'm super pumped for what's to come. Heck I'm super pumped about this first lake effect rain event tonight and tomorrow. Always great to look at radar and see a band at the eastern end of Lake Erie no matter what form it's precipitating. Yeah there is something special about lake effect for sure. Synoptic systems just don't do it for me. I mean there are a few exceptions but definitely prefer lake effect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 Hurricane near syracuse on 18z gfs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 28, 2016 Author Share Posted September 28, 2016 35 minutes ago, tim123 said: Hurricane near syracuse on 18z gfs? Andrew take 2 on the Euro. And a Hurricane in Syracuse on the GFS. One of the craziest runs I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted September 28, 2016 Share Posted September 28, 2016 Hurricane near syracuse on 18z gfs?Out to lunch...Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 28, 2016 Author Share Posted September 28, 2016 6-10" of rain across our forum on GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 29, 2016 Author Share Posted September 29, 2016 I'm pretty sure Lake Erie set a record high temp for the entire month of September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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