zenmsav6810 Posted November 26, 2016 Share Posted November 26, 2016 Jack Forst Big Boulder ski resort had their opening today. A November opening in PA is pretty incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted November 26, 2016 Share Posted November 26, 2016 8 hours ago, zenmsav6810 said: Jack Forst Big Boulder ski resort had their opening today. A November opening in PA is pretty incredible. I remember going on my first ski trip at Big Boulder back in 1978 when I was a junior in high school. I think it may have been before the February blizzard (probably January). I do remember it was sunny with temps above freezing that day, meaning that the snow at the top of the trails was compacting, melting, and refreezing to form a thick sheet of ice with water on top. So every time someone hopped off the chair lift, they immediately slid and fell backwards, forcing them to stop the lift each time to get the fallen person out of the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 26, 2016 Share Posted November 26, 2016 NYC is down to only a +1.3F departure for November, pretty crazy considering a week ago it was close to last Novembers warmth. Better signals now showing colder weather in December after some opening warmth. Need the southern jet to come out of hibernation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stemwinder Posted November 26, 2016 Share Posted November 26, 2016 Meanwhile, are we finally getting a more substantial rain event next week? better to recharge the water table before any freezes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted November 27, 2016 Share Posted November 27, 2016 15 hours ago, Hurricane Agnes said: I remember going on my first ski trip at Big Boulder back in 1978 when I was a junior in high school. I think it may have been before the February blizzard (probably January). I do remember it was sunny with temps above freezing that day, meaning that the snow at the top of the trails was compacting, melting, and refreezing to form a thick sheet of ice with water on top. So every time someone hopped off the chair lift, they immediately slid and fell backwards, forcing them to stop the lift each time to get the fallen person out of the way. Do you still ski? I find JFBB to take really nice care of their snow and can avoid really dangerous conditions for the most part. Although I might not be the best judge because there aren't many trails I think twice about these days. I feel confident about the winter. Everything is proceeding as planned. There is a such thing as the piece coming together to early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted November 27, 2016 Share Posted November 27, 2016 13 hours ago, zenmsav6810 said: Do you still ski? I find JFBB to take really nice care of their snow and can avoid really dangerous conditions for the most part. Although I might not be the best judge because there aren't many trails I think twice about these days. I feel confident about the winter. Everything is proceeding as planned. There is a such thing as the piece coming together to early. Nope. Bum knee ruled that out. I remember the following January going to Tamiment Resorts (now closed the past 10 years) for a senior class trip in January and it drizzled the whole weekend with temps in the 40s, so the snow pack was nothing but a glacier with water on top. Some folks were able to go ice skating in the covered rink but otherwise it ended up being a mostly indoors trip. Except for a few notable late-70s blizzards, the '70s were horrible for snow. I remember an uncle had promised to take me and my siblings to go sledding at Burholme Park during the winter of 1974. When he did finally take us to at least show us what it looked like, unfortunately the park was all green grass and 60F. It will be interesting to see what the PV will do this winter. We still have time for that to play out though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 9 hours ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Nope. Bum knee ruled that out. I remember the following January going to Tamiment Resorts (now closed the past 10 years) for a senior class trip in January and it drizzled the whole weekend with temps in the 40s, so the snow pack was nothing but a glacier with water on top. Some folks were able to go ice skating in the covered rink but otherwise it ended up being a mostly indoors trip. Except for a few notable late-70s blizzards, the '70s were horrible for snow. I remember an uncle had promised to take me and my siblings to go sledding at Burholme Park during the winter of 1974. When he did finally take us to at least show us what it looked like, unfortunately the park was all green grass and 60F. It will be interesting to see what the PV will do this winter. We still have time for that to play out though. The seventies always sound like such a depressing time to be alive... My Dad blew his platella in a volleyball accident four years ago he has given up on skiing but wants to try boarding now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 Current temp is 30 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 8 hours ago, zenmsav6810 said: The seventies always sound like such a depressing time to be alive... My Dad blew his platella in a volleyball accident four years ago he has given up on skiing but wants to try boarding now. It was frustrating. The few times we had some halfway decent snow to sled on or try to make a snow fort in, it was usually the powdery stuff (low moisture content) so it didn't compact well. It wasn't until the '78/'79 blizzards that we got decent enough (and moisture-rich enough) snow to make respectable snowmen, etc. But by then I was about to go off to college (in W. Mass, which never really got the type of now that E. Mass/Boston got)! I just bottomed out at 28.8F this morning.... lowest so far this season IMBY and almost a hard freeze. Saw some frost on the grass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 28, 2016 Share Posted November 28, 2016 26F low ECM has some snow potential day 10 fantasy land. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 News about contests ... Hello, I am dropping into all regional forum banter or chat threads to post some information about contests that you may find interesting. On the general forum of American Weather Forums, we have a temperature forecast contest that has been going on here since Eastern gave birth to American Weather. We would welcome some new entrants for 2017; the contest is simple to enter and just takes a minute once you've decided on your forecasts. There are nine locations across the U.S. including DCA, NYC and BOS. We predict anomalies from 1981-2010 normals, and the forecasts are scored promptly at the end of each month. I am drawing your attention to the contest a month in advance of the new contest year for two reasons -- (1) people get very busy and distracted around New Years, and (2) the contest has a four-seasons component for the 12 months starting Dec 2016. So this is a good month to jump in and get in a practice round before 2017. Some of the regulars in the contest include well-known forum members that you'll recognize, and the standards are pretty high (albeit I am dragging them down somewhat). So it's a good place to test out your forecasting insights against some of the better forecasters on American Weather. Here's a portal into that forecast contest thread ... https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/49268-december-2016-temperature-forecast-contest/ Meanwhile, one other contest I can recommend if you want to make a snowfall forecast for 25 locations in the northeastern and Mid-Atlantic states for Dec to Mar winter 2016-17. This is a separate website that runs just this contest and storm forecast contests that you can enter with e-mail notification provided to remind you if a storm is brewing. Once again, you would recognize a few names in that contest (recent years have seen 15-20 regular participants) and the standards are pretty good, once again an ideal place to work on your forecasting or show it off depending on where things are at. http://www.newx-forecasts.com/#RULES That's the link for the Northeast U.S. snowfall contest website. Just to complete the tour, you may know that the central/western forum is the place to go for annual severe weather forecasts (most people make them in the winter months, the 2017 thread will probably open up soon). And make a note that there's an annual North Atlantic hurricane forecast contest also in the general forum here at Am-Wx. I organize that one as well, and usually run an announcement thread in May. Well, enjoy your winter and maybe we'll see some (more) of your sub-forum members taking part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chief83 Posted November 29, 2016 Share Posted November 29, 2016 I know it is not our area, but Gatlinberg TN is being evacuated due to the fires now entering the city. Rain is nearby but wind is high and may arrive too late to save many structures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted November 30, 2016 Share Posted November 30, 2016 On 9/28/2016 at 1:20 AM, RedSky said: .26F low ECM has some snow potential day 10 fantasy land. Our DTN computer at work is showing something in the long range as well around the 14th of Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 30, 2016 Share Posted November 30, 2016 2 hours ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Our DTN computer at work is showing something in the long range as well around the 14th of Dec. The door is open a little bit for something in the Dec 11-14 window but overall it is going to be hard to pull anything other than a snow quick to rain type deal with a +NAO -PNA regime. About to kickoff December things are not looking as good as they did a couple weeks ago, the cold December outlooks could be in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted November 30, 2016 Share Posted November 30, 2016 7 minutes ago, RedSky said: The door is open a little bit for something in the Dec 11-14 window but overall it is going to be hard to pull anything other than a snow quick to rain type deal with a +NAO -PNA regime. About to kickoff December things are not looking as good as they did a couple weeks ago, the cold December outlooks could be in trouble. Most months have averaged above normal in varying degrees, no reason tho think this will be different. This is becoming more than a trend, it is the new normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted November 30, 2016 Share Posted November 30, 2016 The last 2 days would have been a near perfect long duration event, if snow...with decent amounts as well. A 1'-2' storm in many areas.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted November 30, 2016 Share Posted November 30, 2016 Sneaking in the side door not making a sound is a chance for some light snow Monday. I don't want to jinx it. It's got the December 5th thing going for it.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 Surprise foam blizzard in Philly yesterday http://6abc.com/1638068/ How much for Philly? Neck high evidently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted December 4, 2016 Share Posted December 4, 2016 4 hours ago, RedSky said: Surprise foam blizzard in Philly yesterday http://6abc.com/1638068/ How much for Philly? Neck high evidently It had a sharp cutoff with some reports of 6 - 7ft drifts and caused a power outage in the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 Pretty cold out there this morning, current temp 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 Bad timing and a narrow miss with this storm, this was close to a good 4-8" snow for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 Sleet is now falling here in NW Chesco Currently IP Temp 40.1 RH 76% Wind NNE 2 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 We got the two things going forward that were needed with the cold from Canada and moisture from the southern jet. Unfortunately sometimes it shakes out wrong and you get an 80's winter pattern which is how the next couple of weeks project. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 Started as sleet and 41F Soon an ice cold rain, meh we need the rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stemwinder Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 .25" fell here overnight - just rain as far as I can tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 I can't say Mother Nature doesn't have a sick sense of humor that once my grass has gone dormant it finally sends frequent rain storms. Stuff like this would have saved my water bill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 Moderate sleet in Blue Bell, Montco....37F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 Sleet is again beginning to mix with the rain as the intensity increases here in NW Chesco Temp down to 38.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
penndotguy Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 37 with moderate sleet here, starting to cover the deck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted December 6, 2016 Share Posted December 6, 2016 freezing rain finally starting to changeover to snow/sleet/ snow pellets. 32.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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