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E PA/NJ/DE fall general OBS and Discussion thread


The Iceman

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13 hours ago, iceman56 said:

With less than 2.5" of rain since June 1, vegetation in the woods is withering big time.    If no storms materialize this weekend which looks fairly likely, it will be lights out for some stuff.

87.4 yesterday in NW Chesco.    Looking for my second 90 of the season today.

Was up hiking in the Trexlertown nature preserve yesterday the woods have a brown orange tint typical of September.

 

 

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Compared to 1999 - We have a ways to go to get to the conditions in regard to summer grass/woods fires, but it is getting dry out with lawns looking pretty sad. Just driving around you can see some areas looking pretty green and others just brown. (obviously the result of localized showers).

From today's PHL discussion: (This is the first reference I have seen so far this summer to the  situation)

.FIRE WEATHER...
With rising temperatures and lowering dewpoints, relative humidity
values are forecast to drop near 30 percent later today across
portions of New Jersey and Pennsylvania, and winds could gust in the
low 20s. Summertime is not usually a period when we are concerned
about fire weather, but we will contact our fire weather partners in
NJ and PA to determine if any enhanced statements should be issued.
Farther south across Delaware and Maryland, RH values are not
expected to drop below 35-40 percent, so we have less concerns that
far south.
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Backyard.20160723_112924.jpgBackyard.20160723_112924.jpg

 

Still without a 90 in NW Chesco this year or heck now up to 3 years and 3 days since that mark!  KMQS hit 89 yesterday but only 87.6 here yesterday....but alas today or certainly Monday may break the 3 year and 3 day string without a 90 here in NW Chesco. The Wxsim actually has a relative heat wave with 6 straight 90+ days starting today with a high of 90.2 - topping out on Monday at 95.6!!

 

Now that would be remarkable as since I have been in this location I have only had 4 "heat waves" of 3 straight 90+ days. The last heat wave here ended this day back in 2011.

I went back and analyzed the relative high elevation records for Chesco from 1983 to Present and found the range of 90+ days has run from a high of 36 back in 1999 to absolutely no such days in 3 years (2004/2014 and 2015). Overall we average 11 days with a 90+ reading per year with 10 of the 34 years having 5 or less such days / 21 years having less than 10 such days a summer. Only 5 years have recorded more than 20 days over 90.

 

Currently up to 85.7 - let the streak be broken!!

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Have been hovering in the 93 - 94F range for the past 3 hours.  Went out early this morning and deep-watered my 'maters.  But was just in the kitchen and heard what sounded like a "gurgling" sound outside, and then I looked out the window and saw water.  Rain!!  Coming down pretty heavy too. Have 0.1" so far in the past 10 minutes or so. That oughta make the steam bath a sauna!:lmao:

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Thunderstorm rolling through now.  Just over 1/2" so far with this round 2, so although localized, these are efficient rain producers.  Mt. Holly put up a severe thunderstorm warning for the area.  All of this dropped the temp down about 15 degrees.  Currently heavy thunder shower.  77.4F, DP 71,

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NJC005-007-PAC045-091-101-232130-
/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0123.160723T2055Z-160723T2130Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
455 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ  HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
  NORTHEASTERN DELAWARE COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...
  SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...
  PHILADELPHIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA...

* UNTIL 530 PM EDT

* AT 454 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER
  CONSHOHOCKEN... OR 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF PHILADELPHIA...MOVING
  SOUTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  PHILADELPHIA...CAMDEN...GLOUCESTER CITY...CHERRY HILL...EVESHAM...
  MOUNT LAUREL...NORRISTOWN...WILLINGBORO...VOORHEES...LINDENWOLD...
  EAST NORRITON...LUMBERTON...BELLMAWR...MOUNT HOLLY...RIVERSIDE...
  CONSHOHOCKEN...PALMYRA...AMBLER...JENKINTOWN AND MAGNOLIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3979 7489 4001 7540 4017 7530 4008 7496
      4006 7498 4005 7497 4007 7494 4007 7490
      4003 7474
TIME...MOT...LOC 2054Z 293DEG 33KT 4007 7526

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

LF

 

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