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April 3, 2016 Snowblitz Observations


Baroclinic Zone

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Love the BOX AFD mesoscale updates... thankfully some enthusiastic weenies writing these, they are awesome:

 

&&

Near term /until 6 PM this evening/...
4 am update...

Will use this discussion as a mesoscale analysis during the overnight
period and treat the short-term discussion as an overview narrative
to the storm system going into Sunday.

It is on now. 5 mb pressure falls over 3 hours across the S coast
of New England and Long Island. Low presently down to 989 mb.
Rapid intensification per cyclogenesis in regions of better
baroclinicity. Seeing the snow banding tighten up across west and
central portions of New England.

Already reports being gathered of thundersnow and significant
accumulation on all surfaces. This is going to be the trend from
here on into the morning hours roughly west/northwest to E/se. Conditions
rapidly deteriorating. Anticipating visibilities to drop to a
quarter mile /possibly less/ with burst of heavy snow. Near white
out conditions.

Travel is not advised. Just wait over the next several hours till
all has passed. Storm should be working its way out to the east
during the 8 am to 10 am time frame this morning.

Snow amounts adjusted. Focus across areas from Hartford to Boston
for a general 2 to 4 with potential pockets of locally higher
amounts of 5 to 6. Lesser amounts further S/east towards the coast.

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If you paid an iota of attention you'd know that the snow isn't coming for a little bit. Never was supposed to be snowing there yet.

I did pay attention - But how in God's green earth does one get 4"-6" In a Tiny 5 Hour storm when you get Zero from the Commahead that could have just dropped 2"-4" in 90 minutes of those 5 hours? And the ground is Soaked so it will take a long while to get a flake to stick.

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