UlsterCountySnowZ Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Figured only a couple days, and multiple threads are discussing this possibility, Nam and GGEM seem to currently be the most bullish with 1-3" of snow possible and 3-6+ the further north you travel... Also fwiw, today's euro drops 4-6" from the Monday/Tuesday event for most the Hudson valley, points N+W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted April 2, 2016 Author Share Posted April 2, 2016 Rgem drops 1-3" for far NW burbs also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 We have to watch next weekends possible event. Every model has a coastal retrogading storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 We have to watch next weekends possible event. Every model has a coastal retrogading storm.Looks like a big soaking rain event. Maybe flooding rains at that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Looks like a big soaking rain event. Maybe flooding rains at that How can you say that when this event is a weak event? Every model has blocking with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 How can you say that when this event is a weak event? Every model has blocking with this storm.Where is the cold going to come from next weekend? Just because there is an L on the map off the east coast does not equal snowstorm. You need cold air for it to snow. I don't care how much blocking there is, it means nothing without cold air. This isn't January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Where is the cold going to come from next weekend? Just because there is an L on the map off the east coast does not equal snowstorm. You need cold air for it to snow. I don't care how much blocking there is, it means nothing without cold air. This isn't January There is a trough next weekend that is going to swing through. That will bring the cold air. Now the question will be if the cold air can make it in time for the storm. Right now it's most likely rain but long way out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 0z Euro gives us a coastal rain to snowstorm next weekend lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Snow88, on 02 Apr 2016 - 02:33 AM, said:0z Euro gives us a coastal rain to snowstorm next weekend lol. and its a doozy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 A retrograding low? Lmao shades of 2/26/2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 A retrograding low? Lmao shades of 2/26/2010 Yep Should be interesting to track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Yeah, to get heavy rain to change to snow over the northeast with a really amped up coastal in early April a closed low is the key like 4/1/97. But storm details past 120 this year have changed once we got closer in. http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/1997/us0331.php Euro was in the perfect spot for snow here. EPS has the storm but it's closer to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 12z Nam for tonight into tomorrow. Nice band just to the north of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted April 2, 2016 Author Share Posted April 2, 2016 Nam first event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 New gfs looks good especially for our northern folk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted April 2, 2016 Author Share Posted April 2, 2016 Euro is still 3-5 north of 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 That's for tomorrow night/Monday morning right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Yep Should be interesting to track. How many times this year did you bite on an OP run 6 or 7 days out only to get scorched ? I lost count . My suggestion to you this summer is stay hydrated . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 How many times this year did you bite on an OP run 6 or 7 days out only to get scorched ? I lost count . My suggestion to you this summer is stay hydrated . Not looking forward to the heat. Disgusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 How many times this year did you bite on an OP run 6 or 7 days out only to get scorched ? I lost count . My suggestion to you this summer is stay hydrated . The op Euro and even the EPS has been horrible this past winter in the long range. Overamping everything and showing fantasy major snowstorms/blizzards that never pan out. I can't ever remember it being this bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Not looking forward to the heat. DisgustingYou have a pool , and you live 5 minutes from the beach. Put in for midnights. You get night diff and you can hang by the pool all day . Problem solved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsplex Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Not looking forward to the heat. Disgusting its AWESOME! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 GFS brings it back for next weekend. Coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 GFS brings it back for next weekend. Coastal.It's rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 It's rainAt 150 hours it's below freezing at every level (even at the surface) and is most certainly snow. It's obviously in fantasy range, but verbatim that certainly changes to snow even for coastal locations. These antics are getting a little old, no one is saying it will happen, but it certainly shows snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 At 150 hours it's below freezing at every level (even at the surface) and is most certainly snow. It's obviously in fantasy range, but verbatim that certainly changes to snow even for coastal locations. These antics are getting a little old, no one is saying it will happen, but it certainly shows snow.Who cares what a rouge operational run shows over a week out? You use ensembles at this range. How many times are you guys going to get smoked buying into long range op runs this year? Look at the 0z GEFS and tell me that screams snowstorm to you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Who cares what a rouge operational run shows over a week out? You use ensembles at this range. How many times are you guys going to get smoked buying into long range op runs this year? Look at the 0z GEFS and tell me that screams snowstorm to youTony posted about the gfs. You claimed it showed rain. It showed snow. The end.But yes, odds of the storm happening like the gfs showed are very slim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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