doncat Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 uncle W, on 28 Apr 2016 - 10:10 AM, said: it's possible the wet regime we have been in since 1971 is over...the big drought from the 1950's to the 1960's ended in 1971...Since then NYC has averaged near 50" a year...Before 1971 it was close to 42" a year...The wettest ten year period was from 2002-2011...The driest 10 year period was 1956-1965... 1956-1965........36.87" 2002-2011........56.27" Interesting that average for 1956-1965...During my 35 years of precip records I've never had a single year with a total that low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 it's possible the wet regime we have been in since 1971 is over...the big drought from the 1950's to the 1960's ended in 1971...Since then NYC has averaged near 50" a year...Before 1971 it was close to 42" a year...The wettest ten year period was from 2002-2011...The driest 10 year period was 1956-1965... 1956-1965........36.87" 2002-2011........56.27" Long range precipitation forecasting is probably the toughest aspect long range weather forecasting. Outside the 2014 epic Islip deluge and some of the late summer flash flooding last year, things have been drier following the 2011 record rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 With so many unknowns, example would be this past winter with a rather warm start, to record cold, it was nearly impossible to forecast the pattern change. We knew it was coming but not a lot of confidence in how long or exactly when it would happen... Who's to say,with yet another surprise of a dry spring against what we kinda thought, that the rainy spell/period will happen just closer to summer?? Just my thoughts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 The radar makes it seem as though we might see rain over .25" this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 The radar makes it seem as though we might see rain over .25" this afternoon See how far north it gets, moving at a snails pace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 See how far north it gets, moving at a snails paceUpton says tonight if at all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 The radar makes it seem as though we might see rain over .25" this afternoon Dewpoints pretty low around here, doubt anyone north of NYC sees much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 Upton says tonight if at all I'm hoping it gets here to cancel my sons little league game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 <.10" with the line of showers it has weakened substantially. Might just get nixed by remaining radar echoes to the west as the last hope otherwise it's drizzle tomorrow and moving on to the next rain chance Sunday. Dry begets dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 Was looking through some data, and the last time EWR reported 1" precipitation from a single storm, was all the way back on January 23rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 Light rain and 53 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 Was looking through some data, and the last time EWR reported 1" precipitation from a single storm, was all the way back on January 23rd. Feb 24 they saw 1.02" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 Moderate shower broke the .10" barrier finally, probably not .25" however 45F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 54f, and cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 Stormlover74, on 28 Apr 2016 - 4:50 PM, said:Feb 24 they saw 1.02" 1.22" here on that date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 Nothing here in NYC, just overcast and 53F. Cool weather for late April, feels refreshing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 Its been raining here at various intensities since 330 pn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 28, 2016 Share Posted April 28, 2016 Nam did a good job with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 29, 2016 Share Posted April 29, 2016 It took near to record blocking from late March through April just to have the coolest month in NYC relative to the means since last June. The below normal temps the last few days behind the backdoor will keep NYC with the first monthly departure below +1 since June. Current NYC departure is close to normal at +0.6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted April 29, 2016 Share Posted April 29, 2016 Just looking over the month so far compared to normals, I'm running 2.8℉ below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Our coolest month around the area relative to the means since last June. NYC...+0.4 EWR..+0.4 LGA...+0.7 JFK....-0.2 ISP....+0.4 BDR....0.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 it's plus 0.4 on the smoothed scale but 0.0 on the average scale...maybe -0.1 since 1980... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Sun is out 61f. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 First March and April in NYC with under 3 inches of precipitation. ...2.78...2016 ...3.09...1885 ...3.32...1985 ...3.54...1894 ...3.55...1995 ...3.63...1966 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Nam looks to have quit the soaker Sunday through Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted April 30, 2016 Share Posted April 30, 2016 Nam looks to have quit the soaker Sunday through Tuesday new NAM is a good rain. QPF band over my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 after todays max/min April average temperature should end up averaging 53.4...The last 40 years 1976-2015 averaged 53.5...the monthly max was 82 and the min was 26...average of 54... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 A peek at the 7 day GFS, indicates we rain in western zones. Most likely the best rains in months!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 0z GFS changes the pattern - from never raining to always raining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted May 1, 2016 Share Posted May 1, 2016 Crappy week coming up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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