winterwarlock Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Because the impression from your posts is that its been cool the last 2 months ..not to mention overrelying on indexes to forecast..70s yesterday and will notch another 80 plus today before cooldown..but not the cold week you were talkng about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Because the impression from your posts is that its been cool the last 2 months ..not to mention overrelying on indexes to forecast..70s yesterday and will notch another 80 plus today before cooldown..but not the cold week you were talkng about LOL. I pointed out that March was among the warmest with some of the earliest 80's on record. So I am not sure where you are pulling that fiction out of. April started out with the coldest readings since 1995 and the first two week of below normal temperatures for NYC since March 2015. While temps have come back to more days AN since then, the blocking kept a lid on major warmth potential for this time of year. 70's to low 80's is gorgeous weather, but it's nothing remarkable for late April. The bigger story for March and April will turn out to be the number of days without rain and overall lack of rain. This also makes it great for outdoor activities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Currently 50 here.. 0.25" for the day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Latest hrrr really skunks most of NYC and Long Island with the afternoon tstorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 50 here, sky is trying to clear out. 0.38" this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Storms look like they are firing up in northeast PA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 47 mattituck 64 mineola Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Bluewave is talking about summer heat in April not seasonably mild temps Since April 11th, NYC is +4.35. +4.35 is a significant departure. If it were -4.35 everyone would be saying it's been a very cold month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Up to 70 here...80's not to far to the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Up to 70 here...80's not to far to the south. Just jumped to 75 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Looks like we're approaching 65 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Nothing about the outside air here in Newark "feels" like a stormy afternoon. I see the radar and yes it's sunny about 65 but meh. Prove me wrong is what I'm saying Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Latest hrrr really skunks most of NYC and Long Island with the afternoon tstorms east of the hudson was never really in the game imo. however i like the area just sw of manhattan as a focus for storms with the front sitting overhead. up to 73 in springfield now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Nothing about the outside air here in Newark "feels" like a stormy afternoon. I see the radar and yes it's sunny about 65 but meh. Prove me wrong is what I'm saying Well, that's a silly thing to say. To the extent you don't get on the right side of the boundary at the surface, you'll just have elevated convection. At this point the stable layer near the surface is very shallow, there's tons of unstable air being advected just above the surface. Besides, I'm not sure the surface wont be unstable from about Newark south by the time the storms get here. If this was 3 months later, we'd probably have a TOR risk along the surface boundary. As is, we'll have some nice elevated storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 east of the hudson was never really in the game imo. however i like the area just sw of manhattan as a focus for storms with the front sitting overhead. up to 73 in springfield now up to 75... rising fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 And just like that, some deeper cumulus starting to build overhead in downtown manhattan, even though the surface boundary is still right overhead and we haven't gotten into the really good juice at the surface. Funny how that works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 51 here in white plains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Well, that's a silly thing to say. To the extent you don't get on the right side of the boundary at the surface, you'll just have elevated convection. At this point the stable layer near the surface is very shallow, there's tons of unstable air being advected just above the surface. Besides, I'm not sure the surface wont be unstable from about Newark south by the time the storms get here. If this was 3 months later, we'd probably have a TOR risk along the surface boundary. As is, we'll have some nice elevated storms. Plus the warm front is still clearing the area. Some areas will jump 10 degrees in a short period of time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Impressive gradient across the metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Plus the warm front is still clearing the area. Some areas will jump 10 degrees in a short period of time it's rising a degree every 5 minutes here at this time... 76 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 I'm actually surprised there isn't more vorticity in the vicinity of the front, but I checked all the various meso products and none is showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 51 here in white plains.Up to 53 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Some nice activity firing up to our N&W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Textbook backdoor today with 55 at ISP and 82 at TTN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 107 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 155 PM EDT TUE APR 26 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF DELAWARE NORTHERN MARYLAND NEW JERSEY THE SOUTHERN TWO-THIRDS OF PENNSYLVANIA COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 155 PM UNTIL 900 PM EDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE SUMMARY...SHORT LINES OF THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG AND AHEAD OF W-E COLD FRONT MOVING SEWD ACROSS PA AND NJ LATER TODAY...WHERE WIND AND THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENTS SUGGEST A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND SOME HAIL. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF LATROBE PENNSYLVANIA TO 30 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAKEHURST NEW JERSEY. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 105...WW 106... AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30040. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drz1111 Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 I'm surprised this isn't getting more attention - maybe its b/c local folks eyes are on KS/OK/TX. I think for places SW of the city, this is a really good setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Currently 69 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Temp rising really fast here, now up to 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Temp down a couple of degrees to 69...winds still onshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tekken_Guy Posted April 26, 2016 Share Posted April 26, 2016 Last 70 of April for us. GFS barely gets us into the 50s on Fri and not even on Mon. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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