SnoSki14 Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 This cool down is basically just a break between the next warm spell unless we're seeing another wide scale pattern change across the globe. I think 4/20 onward is when the warme Temps begin consistently. BDCFs could remain a problem though given the blockiness and orientation of those highs to the N/NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Park only got down to 31. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Park only got down to 31. Missed the record low of 28 by only three degrees and NYC is at -2.2 through the 9th. 4/10 is a fairly late freeze date in NYC for post 2000 climo. Maybe Uncle has the latest below freezing dates in NYC since the 1990's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Missed the record low of 28 by only three degrees and NYC is at -2.2 through the 9th. 4/10 is a fairly late freeze date in NYC for post 2000 climo. Maybe Uncle has the latest below freezing dates in NYC since the 1990's. 4/16/2014 had the latest 32 or below temperature since the 1990's...31...since 1980 it's 32 on 4/17/1980...4/12/1976 has the latest 25 degrees or lower temp... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Stop talking about the snow already. Heatwave starts about 4/16,17 and goes for a week w/o much precip. 85 on the 20th? Check the Euro. Cutoff and backdoor city. Not a warm look at all if it's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Check the Euro. Cutoff and backdoor city. Not a warm look at all if it's right. There's going to be a lot of that until May. Nothing worse than 40s under a chilly wind and shower weather in mid April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Late week and early next week look absolutely miserable for you guys. GFS shows a cut off low over VA and NC that sits for days. Even if there isn't much rain, that should guarantee days of maritime east winds and low clouds. My least enjoyable weather, hands down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 Long term, do we see average or below average temperatures? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 The average high today hits 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 Cold April 1-10 for NYC at -3.9. This was the first month in NYC since June 2015 where the first 10 days started out this below normal. This was the coldest start to April since 2007 which was -6.7 through the 10th. Models now starting to show the potential for 70 degree days to return around the 17th to 18th. But there will also be several days before then with a cool onshore flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 Cold April 1-10 for NYC at -3.9. This was the first month in NYC since June 2015 where the first 10 days started out this below normal. This was the coldest start to April since 2007 which was -6.7 through the 10th. Models now starting to show the potential for 70 degree days to return around the 17th to 18th. But there will also be several days before then with a cool onshore flow. By the 15th, the anomaly will probably be in the -3.5° +/- 0.5° vicinity, assuming the MOS is reasonably accurate. Right now, even as I still think the month will wind up somewhat warmer than normal, the odds are tilted toward a below normal outcome. A lot will depend on how warm the second half winds up, and it does look quite a bit warmer relative to normal than it has been so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 Right now the end of the week and next weekend look very nice. Temps around 60 moderating by the weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 Check the Euro. Cutoff and backdoor city. Not a warm look at all if it's right.the ridge just to our nw has trended stronger and now pushes the low well se of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 The average high today hits 60. A week of normal weather?? Should I start the thread? "Historic April 11-15 week of normal weather" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 RGEM and NAM now drier for tomorrow. RGEM has very little rain now - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 A week of normal weather?? Should I start the thread? "Historic April 11-15 week of normal weather"[/size] normal.PNG Yep, just checked by point and click too. Looks good from Wednesday through next Tuesday here. Finally the 70s will come back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 The average high today hits 60. Those are 1981-2010 averages, if you look at the last 20 years or so you can add about a degree to the average high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 Park up to 61. AN day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 High of 63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 High of 63.A lot more sun than expected...66 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 another busted forecast. Mostly sunny here and 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 Euro pretty warm for sne and NYC this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 Euro pretty warm for sne and NYC this weekend That looks like our next shot at 70's before the trough returns to SE Canada and New England a few days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 That looks like our next shot at 70's before the trough returns to SE Canada and New England a few days later. if it happens. this weekend was originally looking cool and drizzly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 yesterday morning's euro with a low hugging the coast: this morning's euro showing high pressure dominating: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 if it happens. this weekend was originally looking cool and drizzly The block over the Great Lakes got strong enough to boot the closed low further east. Not a big fan of the Euro post 120 hr precip forecasts recently that seem to dry out the closer that we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted April 12, 2016 Share Posted April 12, 2016 High of 65 in the park today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted April 12, 2016 Share Posted April 12, 2016 Turned out to be quite a nice day today. It got a bit wet around 6pm but nothing too terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted April 12, 2016 Share Posted April 12, 2016 Approaching heavier showers and possibly embedded thundershowers: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 12, 2016 Share Posted April 12, 2016 I don't think most places will even hit .25" despite the radar looking good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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