CoastalWx Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Same thing. And I don't mean for the coast line...its not fraud there. I guess what I mean is that usually the winds are well modeled. If they model 40-50....it's usually close to that. Your fraud threat of an inv trough usually is because it's such a narrow area that gets the goods and is modeled poorly. Many times a few posters hype wind up that is never modeled to be strong inland in the first place. It's not like we have instances where inland winds were supposed to be 50-60 and then end up 20-30 or something like that. This is why the hyping really takes away from these threads. It's leads many people into the wrong position, or a false sense of hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 1, 2016 Author Share Posted April 1, 2016 Except in a text someone told me winds would gust to 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 I think one poster is responsible for posts and posts about the damaging wind lol. What are the phraud Five again? Severe, 'canes, Norluns, backlash..... Inv troughs, canes, severe, backlash and WINDEX (sry, Steve) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 sounds stressful for the spawning codfish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 You sound desperate for melting snow. lol normally I hate melting snow but some reason, I really want this one ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 How can one say Hurricanes are overrated? Wow I love the science behind them and the unpredictable nature of them. December 9th 2005 and Hurricane Bob are the two closest things I have ever witnessed with winds near 100mph and just wild weather, and I missed both true events. Bob I missed because I slept through it at 2 years old and I was on the way to the Cape while stuck in the backside of the blizzard during the microburst of 2005 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 How can one say Hurricanes are overrated? Wow I love the science behind them and the unpredictable nature of them. December 9th 2005 and Hurricane Bob are the two closest things I have ever witnessed with winds near 100mph and just wild weather, and I missed both true events. Bob I missed because I slept through it at 2 years old and I was on the way to the Cape while stuck in the backside of the blizzard during the microburst of 2005You would feel different if hurricane sandy hit you guys your house would have been destroyed like the thousands in NJ, NYC and long island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 12z NAM is gonna be crazy again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Well Sandy didn't hit us did it. Anyways, 6z NAM brought almost 6" of snow to CHH from April 3rd to 5th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 You would feel different if hurricane sandy hit you guys your house would have been destroyed like the thousands in NJ, NYC and long island S CT too. I won't be rooting for any canes to come by this way again.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Yeah just like the 6z run again Will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 12z NAM is gonna be crazy again. Talk dirty to me. Winds? Snows? I see the clipper charging in fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Its the 6z run and the RGEM out at the end of its run... but that is a beautiful vort max and closed H5 low bowling its way towards the south coast of SNE. Hopefully the dynamics of this come to pass for someone on this board with a couple hours of high snow rates and wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Will NAM closes off 700mb low over Cape Cod Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 12z NAM is gonna be crazy again. Look at that inflow on the simulated radar product...that's forming the "hammer time" look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Its the 6z run and the RGEM out at the end of its run... but that is a beautiful vort max and closed H5 low bowling its way towards the south coast of SNE. Hopefully the dynamics of this come to pass for someone on this board with a couple hours of high snow rates and wind. untitled.png That is textbook nastiness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 There are thunderstorms to the southeast of ACK in that simulated radar image of the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 It actually generates pretty nice inflow from the S/SE at 850-875mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 S CT too. I won't be rooting for any canes to come by this way again.... With the amount of damage we saw from a weakening low-end Cat 1 in Sandy...it's scary to think about the amount of damage a major cane would actually do in the state. I could power outages in places for a month or more with the amount of tree/limb damage that would occur. But back on topic...NAM actually looks a hair north. Good news for wind lovers in CT I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Develops like a tail stinger for eastern Mass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 NAM looks the same with the vort max Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Look at that inflow on the simulated radar product...that's forming the "hammer time" look. untitled.png You can see in that image how its rapidly developing a commahead/CCB. Pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Reminds me of the December 9th 2005 mini nuke low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Clipper low is already down to 1001mb over the central Great Lakes region diving southeastward, looks further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Reminds me of the December 9th 2005 mini nuke low It has some similar characteristics...but a big difference is there isn't a big moisture connection from the south like that one had and the mid-level winds are far weaker. So we won't expect 12-16" of snow and 90-100mph winds, lol. But this could produce 3-4 hours of blizzard conditions over many areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Yes Will, that is what I was comparing it to, the backside could produce over three hours of intense snowfall rates and heavy winds, just not the violent winds and heavy snow that the Dec 9th 2005 storm produced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Our disturbance is approaching central Manitoba, Canada now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 What's wrong with his post?? Snow is the real story here.... who cares about wind.The "I take it you see referring to Monday evening" part Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 It has some similar characteristics...but a big difference is there isn't a big moisture connection from the south like that one had and the mid-level winds are far weaker. So we won't expect 12-16" of snow and 90-100mph winds, lol. But this could produce 3-4 hours of blizzard conditions over many areas. Do you agree that the NAM may handle this best inside of 48 hours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 1, 2016 Share Posted April 1, 2016 Do you agree that the NAM may handle this best inside of 48 hours? Maybe more like 36h, lol...RGEM is the model I'd probably watch the closest though once we get inside that timeframe. It's essentially a better version of the NAM for stuff like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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