Baroclinic Zone Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Unprecedented. Yeah, no blizzard has ever had this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com Just some quick thoughts.....school work awaits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Read that highest winds are post precip for some. But someone is going to get hammered. I think this will probably be true for most. You'll need to be pretty close to the low itself to get the backside jet that develops. But the CAA that crashes in behind it increases the mixing depth significantly region-wide, and will allow at least advisory level gusts for the majority of the subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 It's starting to get pretty consistent run to run here too. Looks like it hasn't really wobbled much in the last 3 to 4 runs. HRRRX that is. Looks like that will miss me. Always figured it would end up south. Blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 It's starting to get pretty consistent run to run here too. Looks like it hasn't really wobbled much in the last 3 to 4 runs. HRRRX that is. there are a couple of 10 plus spots near Union CT. Can't believe that but shows how intense this could be in isolated areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Steve--if it's showing that down there, is it relatively light up here along rt 2? I imagine being so far north of that, that would be the case. THanks (not on puter). Relatively light sure, but the HRRR is still like a half to 1 inch per type stuff of an hour or two. The biggest rates hug the CT/MA/RI border area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 I hope I can get some shut eye, busy day tommorrow afternoonand I'm all fired up . I like my latitude here, I may be a tad south on some of the guidance but overall pretty good, elevation stinks here but rates should hopefully compensate once things get cranking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 there are a couple of 10 plus spots near Union CT. Can't believe that but shows how intense this could be in isolated areas. Just seeing that now. I realize the HRRRX is an hour behind the HRRR right now, but that's almost a 4" difference even though the jackpot is in the same spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 I'm not thinking me. Rapidly intensifying and volatile short wave moving fairly rapidly. Storms like this usually seem to flip earlier than thought for some places. I think you, east to ginx, and Bob over to the South Shore. Not buying rt 2 jack yet. I think I do fine but not jack. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Just seeing that now. I realize the HRRRX is an hour behind the HRRR right now, but that's almost a 4" difference even though the jackpot is in the same spot.it's a crazy look. I still think the best winds are south during precip. CAA of course after and on the Cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 I think the conditions combining for a few hours Sunday morning, could eclipse what it was like during the Nor'easter of December 9th 2005 and the Blizzard of 2005 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Look at that convergence someone is going to be WTFing on the road tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Relatively light sure, but the HRRR is still like a half to 1 inch per type stuff of an hour or two. The biggest rates hug the CT/MA/RI border area. Meh. I can sleep in if that were to play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 The inversion reaches heights of 700mb allows low level jet to mix down winds of 70 knots down to the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 it's a crazy look. I still think the best winds are south during precip. CAA of course after and on the Cape Great morning to take the first ferry to BID. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mike245 Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Tough decision to stay up in Marblehead or head back to Bridgewater tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 I've been away from the weather world this week, this is nuts, enjoy it tomorrow, you guys deserve it after this winter. Wondering if I should drive up to you guys tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Great morning to take the first ferry to BID.holy crap, ozone hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 holy crap, ozone hole NAM/GFS on the same page with the trop fold reaching down to around 500 mb. That'll do. Of course, 12/9/05 laughs at that as it might have been tickling the top of MWN. I think that trop fold was in the 750 mb range IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 NAM/GFS on the same page with the trop fold reaching down to around 500 mb. That'll do. Of course, 12/9/05 laughs at that as it might have been tickling the top of MWN. I think that trop fold was in the 750 mb range IIRC. yea it's a mini 05 but impressive none the less Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Set my alarm for 4am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Ocean, Ginx, what kind of winds could Cape Cod see with the tropopause as low as 500mb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Way late to the party but the 18z GFS was insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Ocean, Ginx, what kind of winds could Cape Cod see with the tropopause as low as 500mb? It's nothing different that what's been forecast. I would plan on 55-60 mph. A rogue 70+ is not out of the question, but I wouldn't be banking it right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Set my alarm for 4am I did the same thing like 30 minutes ago Same time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 yea it's a mini 05 but impressive none the less One thing I'll say, is the HRRR has been trying to tie the low track to the stalling front that has pushed to the south coast at this hour. In the HRRR runs it's been ripping the best forcing just to the north of that. Almost like how you would see elevated convection fire just north of a stalled OFB. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 It's nothing different that what's been forecast. I would plan on 55-60 mph. A rogue 70+ is not out of the question, but I wouldn't be banking it right now.I really have been confused on the winds. I haven't seen anything that shows other than the Cape reaching HWW level. Where does the region wide HWW stuff come from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 One thing I'll say, is the HRRR has been trying to tie the low track to the stalling front that has pushed to the south coast at this hour. In the HRRR runs it's been ripping the best forcing just to the north of that. Almost like how you would see elevated convection fire just north of a stalled OFB. sick convergence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 3, 2016 Share Posted April 3, 2016 00z NAM maybe a few miles S of 18z. Noise. Looks really sweet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.