SR Airglow Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 seems like a CCB situation where you won't see the east west lines What do you mean by that? I'm thinking that it's basically a north/south gradient, and this is much more latitudinally dependent than longitudinally. Not sure if you're agreeing with me or saying the exact opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 As we prepare for a couple inches and a breeze, I just watched "The Day After Tomorrow". Has there ever been worse movie??? Now, back to winter's first and last attempt at a hurrah. 45.8/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 The loop of this image shows a fantastic degree of rotational energy ...this entire banded region is not moving SE, it's rolling SE - this band over central Michigan has been nearly stationary around that cyclonic arc for about 3 hours, and has that intense meso appeal about it. It'll be interesting to see what totals come out of that narrow band. This sort of layout with perhaps a bit more fill as this whole structure maximizes as it passes over us - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 What do you mean by that? I'm thinking that it's basically a north/south gradient, and this is much more latitudinally dependent than longitudinally. Not sure if you're agreeing with me or saying the exact opposite.in the Uber lift areas cyclonic turning will get heavy snow farther south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 in the Uber lift areas cyclonic turning will get heavy snow farther south. Yeah there will probably be some pockets further south in brief bands...but the system moves so insanely fast that we end up with more latitude gradient than would otherwise be the case with a CCB rapidly developing. The spots that get both the WCB and CCB will get that stripe of heaviest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Gotcha -- makes sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Ginxy special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 The loop of this image shows a fantastic degree of rotational energy ...this entire banded region is not moving SE, it's rolling SE - this band over central Michigan has been nearly stationary around that cyclonic arc for about 3 hours, and has that intense meso appeal about it. It'll be interesting to see what totals come out of that narrow band. This sort of layout with perhaps a bit more fill as this whole structure maximizes as it passes over us - gyre.jpg I've really been checked out for the last few off days enjoying golf and prepping for my AL-only draft, but that radar (or satellite too) is basically all I need to see to know something siggy is on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 18z nam is pretty nuts for here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Congrats MPM and Hunchback of Brokeback Mtn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Going to be fun to watch this develop; I really like 5-6 for NW RI/Ne Ct/S Worc Cnty. Congrats guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 NAM definitely has a damaging wind threat - though I think it's probably confined to the south coast. A sting jet kind of look as we get the frontal passage. HRRRX run straight out of Kevin's basement, with a weenie finger of 50 knot gusts back into Tolland Co. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 18z NAM a tick north compared to 6z/12z, and towards RGEM/GFS/Euro but CCB gets going a little too far southeast so heavier snow just out of reach of Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 The NAM is absolutely insane aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 The NAM is absolutely insane aloft. Which means what exactly at the surface?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 The NAM is absolutely insane aloft. The 4km NAM is even nuttier than the 12km. Damn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Ginxy special Best might be N of there actually. DIT to Pike special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Sorry if it's been mentioned but I didn't read the whole thread. In some ways this makes me think of December 2005. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 know what'd be awesome ... 'magine if the SSTs were like 85 F in the NY Bite area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Tough making a precise forecast based on latitude of the best vorticity... it's a large upper level synoptic feature but this feels like a mesoscale forecast. Try to make correlations in today's guidance on where the heavy SNE stripe will land based on digging of vorticity in the H5 stream 12 hours earlier, and (appropriately) it's about as consistent as eddies in a stream. The nice thing with RGEM is we (in eastern SNE) get into developing CCB so a little broader impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Sorry if it's been mentioned but I didn't read the whole thread. In some ways this makes me think of December 2005. Maybe for the compact nature of both ... but in terms of how they fit into the large synoptic picture their similarities are only so so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Winds are ripping here suddenly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Winds are ripping here suddenly. PSF did gust to 46 knots in those squalls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 NAM looks pretty darn awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Wow I could see hurricane force gusts, perhaps the models catching onto the higher or warmer SSTs over the waters east of CHH aiding in the explosive cyclogenesis with a 981mb low just east of CHH, backside northwesterly winds could spike to 70 knots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 PSF did gust to 46 knots in those squalls. It also knocked the temp down over 6* here. 41.4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 19z RAP and HRRR holding steady though in clown range, warning criteria between MA-CT up to pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Somebody will have a foot combo by Monday night, probably Berks PIKE Kev Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Winds are ripping here suddenly. Yeah, a little squall line came through. Got chilly too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 4km jacks interior SE MA thru tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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