Typhoon Tip Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 This gives a rough idea as ORD and surrounding wind condition should translate straight across our neck of the woods during max impact of this ... Note the multiple gusting to 45 to 55 + MPH ; this could also be augmented even somewhat stronger as dymamical mixing may transport yet even more proficiently than we see here, do to trough reach more amplitude as it skirts through... Also, noting the convective cells popping off over N Indian on radar - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 this is insane http://climate.cod.edu/hanis/model/fsound/index.php?type=12|GFS|US|925|spd|21|*226,132*|undefined|undefined Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Does anyone think this healthy antecedent dousing augments the risk of downed trees tomorrow? Would not think so? never say never, but don't think this is a classic setup for uprooting due to saturated soil... could be a couple but doubt it is big factor. Frequent strong wind events of late may have helped prune some of the weak / dead stuff, which could help; but given the modeled wind speeds and look of the setup, significant tree damage is decent bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Gary IN just gusted to 67mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Box really needs to put out atleast advisories Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 How narrow is the heavy snow band? Does the western Rt 2 corridor look ok or do you need to get E of ORH to get into accumulating snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 I just noticed the BOX max map from 10:00a.m. has Boston between 1-2" and the 'most likely as <1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 How narrow is the heavy snow band? Does the western Rt 2 corridor look ok or do you need to get E of ORH to get into accumulating snows? You'll get accumulating snow...not sure if it will be 1-2" or 4-6" yet there, but you'll accumulate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 How narrow is the heavy snow band? Does the western Rt 2 corridor look ok or do you need to get E of ORH to get into accumulating snows? I'm guessing we'll wind up an inch or two that gets blown away leaving lots of bare ground. We'll have some sticks come down so whatever yard work you've done has to get cleaned up again. In other words, the winter of 2015-16 continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 MPM with some deep insight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 You'll get accumulating snow...not sure if it will be 1-2" or 4-6" yet there, but you'll accumulate. Gradient will be more N/S than E/W, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Hrrr is really impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 BOX asleep? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 MPM with some deep insight. We Eeyore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 MPM with some deep insight. LOL, Scott. You know when all is said and done, what I just described is what Chris will be reporting while I'm enjoying deeper winter in Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 BOX asleep? They will wait until 4pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Gradient will be more N/S than E/W, correct? Yeah. There might be an extra infusion late in E MA...but generally the best snows will in an E-W band...and if you are north or south of it you will have less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 2, 2016 Author Share Posted April 2, 2016 Will this snow right to south coast of CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Will this snow right to south coast of CT? No. Only to the north coast of CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Should be fun taking my son for swimming lessons tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 2, 2016 Author Share Posted April 2, 2016 We snow https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/716325888816766977 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 We snow https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/716325888816766977 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Box really needs to put out atleast advisories They did about 15min ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 2, 2016 Author Share Posted April 2, 2016 WWA and HWW issued.. Wheeeeeee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Good map Ryan...looks about as good as you can do with current guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Pretty similar look from us. I think that most in CT are closer to 1-2" and the best is pike and north, but there's enough of a chance to warrant calling out some higher amounts. Discussion:http://www.southernconnecticutweather.com/forecasters-discussion/a-tale-of-two-snowstorms-part-onesunday-432016 I like a KBED jackpot with this one I think with a narrow band of 6" or so. 4" for both BOS and ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Just saw that sweet WWA and HWW issued.. Wheeeeeee Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 WWUS41 KBOX 021851 WSWBOX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA 251 PM EDT SAT APR 2 2016 CTZ002>004-MAZ002>019-026-RIZ001>004-030300- /O.NEW.KBOX.WW.Y.0014.160403T0700Z-160403T1500Z/ HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA- WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA- WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA- SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA- SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA- WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA- NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI- EASTERN KENT RI- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION... VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREENFIELD... ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL...LAWRENCE... GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST...NORTHAMPTON... SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORWOOD... CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON...PLYMOUTH... AYER...FOSTER...SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH... WARWICK 251 PM EDT SAT APR 2 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 11 AM EDT SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 11 AM EDT SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...ALL OF SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND EXCEPT FOR THE IMMEDIATE SOUTH COAST...CAPE AND ISLANDS. * HAZARD TYPES...BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW WITH NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS POSSIBLE. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 4 INCHES WITH A LOW RISK OF ISOLATED 5 TO 6 INCH AMOUNTS ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN. * TIMING...RAIN WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE RAIN WILL THEN CHANGE TO SNOW FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 3 AND 7 AM SUNDAY AND THERE MAY EVEN BE A RUMBLE OR TWO OF THUNDER. THE SNOW WILL THEN QUICKLY COME TO AN END BY LATE MORNING. * IMPACTS...A 1 TO 3 HOUR PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW...STRONG WINDS AND NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. DESPITE THE WARM GROUND...SNOW WILL STICK ON ROADWAYS WHERE IT FALLS HEAVILY WITH PERHAPS NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY FOR A TIME. THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A HIGH IMPACT BUT SHORT DURATION EVENT...SO DO NOT BE CAUGHT OFF GUARD. * WINDS...NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A HIGH IMPACT BUT SHORT DURATION EVENT...SO DO NOT BE CAUGHT OFF GUARD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 Pretty similar look from us. I think that most in CT are closer to 1-2" and the best is pike and north, but there's enough of a chance to warrant calling out some higher amounts. Slide1.jpg Discussion:http://www.southernconnecticutweather.com/forecasters-discussion/a-tale-of-two-snowstorms-part-onesunday-432016 I like a KBED jackpot with this one I think with a narrow band of 6" or so. 4" for both BOS and ORH. seems like a CCB situation where you won't see the east west lines Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted April 2, 2016 Share Posted April 2, 2016 That's about as an intense of a vort max I have seen ripping south of SNE in a long, long time! little changes in the final track of vort max likely to make for some meaningful shifts in where best west to east S+ zone sets up; as well as where nastiest wind max occurs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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