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Wild Weekend Weather- Disco 04/02-/04/03


Damage In Tolland

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Can't wait to get crushed by the winds.

 

TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...

* STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE
* WIND ADVISORY / HIGH WIND WATCH POSTED
* INTENSE BURST OF SNOW WITH ACCUMULATIONS 1 TO 3 INCHES
* STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS

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Can't wait to get crushed by the winds.

 

TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...

* STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE

* WIND ADVISORY / HIGH WIND WATCH POSTED

* INTENSE BURST OF SNOW WITH ACCUMULATIONS 1 TO 3 INCHES

* STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS

Coming down there all day today and tomorrow to the Sportsplex for soccer tourney Games at 9:00 and 4:00 today FTL

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Perfect.

SUNDAY MORNING INTO MIDDAY ACCOMPANIED WITH STRONG

TO DAMAGING WINDS. WILL BE AN UNPRECEDENTED RARE EVENT INCORPORATING

RAPID CYCLOGENESIS...INTENSE LIFT...AND ACCUMULATING SNOWS AS WELL

AS THE LIKELIHOOD OF THUNDERSNOW. SHOULD SEE IMPACTS TAPER DOWNWARD

LATE AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY EVENING. AFRAID MANY ARE GOING TO BE

CAUGHT OFF-GUARD WITH THE LATE SEASON SNOW. WILL HIT ON THE DETAILS

BELOW AS BEST AS POSSIBLE.

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As Scooter said AFDGW

POTENT VORTEX OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION CYCLONICALLY DIGGING S

OF NEW ENGLAND INVOKES INTENSE CYCLOGENESIS ALONG THE S-SHORELINE.

THIS WHILE DRAGGING CONSIDERABLY COLDER AIR ACROSS THE REGION WITH

H85 TEMPERATURES FALLING -10 TO -15C NEAR RECORD BREAKING PER LOCAL

SOUNDING CLIMATOLOGY. STRONG LOW TO MID FORCING ABOVE SURFACE INFLOW

AND BENT-BACK WARM FRONT WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION REARWARD RESULTING

IN THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN BECOMING SUPER-ADIABATIC / UNSTABLE UP TO

H6 BENEATH THE TROPOPAUSE FOLD. ENSEMBLE CLIMATOLOGICAL PERCENTILES

SHOWING THIS EVENT TO BE NEAR OR AT ALL-TIME HISTORICAL MINIMUMS...

IMPRESSIVELY ANOMALOUS.

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Can't wait to get crushed by the winds.

 

TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...

* STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE

* WIND ADVISORY / HIGH WIND WATCH POSTED

* INTENSE BURST OF SNOW WITH ACCUMULATIONS 1 TO 3 INCHES

* STORM FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE WATERS

 

Hurricane winds where?

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Sunday morning timing will help to some extent with travel disruptions compared to a normal weekday when full work force & schools would be in session. Also while wind speeds will be sufficient for scattered tree damage with pockets of potentially more widespread damage, we've had several high wind events over the past 4 weeks; these prior events have already taken care of quite a few dead/damaged & weak trees; so while I certainly expect more tree damage, there has been quite a bit of natural pruning of late. That being said, cannot help but to be very impressed by the rapid & dramatic evolution of this system as multiple atmospheric layers & features phase dramatically over a very short period of time. The dramactic speed of the evolution of this thing is the thing that really makes me take note.

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Here's the robust RGEM solution for snow precip...it actually has warning criteria snow for areas near the pike in central and W MA.

 

SN_000_048_0000.gif

 

 

 

 

 

Here's the key...remember when we said that you want to see those 5H height lines ripping back to the N and NW?

 

Well here is how it looks at 33h....very nicely wound up even up at 5H...so it really gets the conveyor cranking as that traverses across the south coast of SNE:

 

GZ_D5_PN_033_0000.gif

Yeah from TropicalTidbits, accumulations overnight bode well for legit impacts if this were to come to fruition. rgem_asnow_neus_11.png

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