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April 2016 General Discussion


IWXwx

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That was an impressive band this morning, albeit short-lived. Looks like we could get more snow Sunday evening/overnight according to the 12z Euro and GGEM.

JB and a few other mets have been hinting at a big flip to warmer than average weather after April 20th and especially into May.

 

That snow band this morning was impressive, I have to agree.

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Picked up 1.1" of snow this morning. The band maxed out near 35dbz, and it all fell in about an hour.

Same story here essentially. 1.5" today including a 15minute period of +SN. Quite the snowy April. Jealous of the thunder reports to the west and south.

Light rain now.

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00z models painting a very snowy picture locally Friday night! A narrow bands of heavy snow looks possible somewhere.

 

About 5" for you. Ending up with a surplus there for the season?

 

I think Bo seeing the grass will be put on hold until May.

 

snku_acc.us_mw.png

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About 5" for you. Ending up with a surplus there for the season?

I think Bo seeing the grass will be put on hold until May.

snku_acc.us_mw.png

Well I'm at 33.3" and dtw is 34.4". Normal is 42.5" (period of record norm 41"), so a surplus is unlikely, but nevertheless regardless of what happens tomorrow it is getting uncanny that we just always make the most out of snowfall here anymore, crappy pattern be damned. This certainly was not what I would call an enjoyable winter (no big storms, tons of snowpack nuking thaws), but I simply can't call a winter that ends up just slightly below normal a disaster. So it's been a full decade now that we've been buried with 1 ratter (2011-12) & 1 meh winter (2015-16). And this is a super nino!!! With our snowy cycle we are in and an active nina winter potentially lying ahead in 2016-17, every snow lover should in this region should be excited in the Fall!

I just hope the snow holds off so the tigers can get the home opener in tomorrow at 1pm. Then let it snow :lol:

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Sure different from the Warsaw IN area, Bo. If you moved north to get snow you certainly got your wish. Me, I like snow but am more a svr wx guy.

Yes, I love the snow, the remoteness even more. However, it is a constant battle to keep the wilderness at bay.... The weather, animals, the woods themselves. Keeps you on your toes, but I wouldn't recommend this lifestyle for everyone.

I do miss Indiana's storms in spring summer.

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To put the Toronto snow in some historical perspective, six inches or more in April occurred in these years 1846 to 2015:

 

(this is the downtown site, YYZ probably would not be vastly different)

 

14.8 _ 1979

12.9 _ 1857

11.0 _ 1874

9.7 __ 1966

9.6 __ 1975

9.4 __ 1852

8.8 __ 1901

8.7 __ 1932

8.6 __ 1885

8.0 __ 1943

7.8 __ 1996

7.7 __ 1939

7.7 __ 2005

7.1 __ 1886

7.1 __ 1894

7.0 __ 1957

6.9 __ 1861

6.8 __ 1928

6.7 __ 1944

6.6 __ 2002

6.4 __ 1967

6.3 __ 1893

6.0 __ 1908

 

Also, six lowest max values (and ties) for April 8 and 9 (1840 to 2015):

 

APRIL 8 ___ APRIL 9

 

31 (1850) __ 33 (1928)

31 (1868) __ 33 (1985)

31 (1972) __ 33 (1997)

31 (1977) __ 34 (1845)

32 (1862) __ 34 (1868)

32 (1974) __ 35 (1914)

32 (1979)

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This pattern is getting old, but good consensus on the ensembles for a big shift next week away from eastern troughing. Here's hoping for a 2010 like rebound. Once to late April, the pattern went gangbusters on the severe side all the way through June.

Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk

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This pattern is getting old, but good consensus on the ensembles for a big shift next week away from eastern troughing. Here's hoping for a 2010 like rebound. Once to late April, the pattern went gangbusters on the severe side all the way through June.

Sent from my SM-G935V using Tapatalk

Yeah that's another year I can see comparisons to. That and 2003. Both when they broke from the winter pattern went bonkers.
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Yeah that's another year I can see comparisons to. That and 2003. Both when they broke from the winter pattern went bonkers.

2003 was also coming out of a moderate-strong Nino, so hopefully we see something similar this year. I'm fairly optimistic for a big spring uptick this year and then expecting a very active pattern next year.
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