IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2016 Share Posted March 24, 2016 Today's 12z ECMWF has proven to be one of the most interesting model runs in recent times with a coastal storm that deepens offshore, delivering 1-3" of rain to the area following by wet snow as the system pulls away. This threat has been on the models for a few days now, and since we're inside of day 5 I figured it deserved a dedicated thread. Please discuss here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 24, 2016 Share Posted March 24, 2016 3/28-3/30 in 2010 was a 2-3 day event of nonstop rain-dumped something like 2-4 inches. (has nothing to do with this storm but maybe with the El nino of both years there is a connection) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 24, 2016 Author Share Posted March 24, 2016 3/28-3/30 in 2010 was a 2-3 day event of nonstop rain-dumped something like 2-4 inches. (has nothing to do with this storm but maybe with the El nino of both years there is a connection) One of my top five storms of all time. That storm had a big closed ULL in a perfect position. Right now if this does end up cutting off it would be further East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 24, 2016 Share Posted March 24, 2016 One of my top five storms of all time. That storm had a big closed ULL in a perfect position. Right now if this does end up cutting off it would be further East. yanks ur better than me at this... Do u think we can get accumulating snow out of this?Edit: I think the first week of April produces some snow around here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 1984 had a huge storm on the 28th-29th...26" of snow in Tobyhana Pa and 3.3" of slush in the city... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Time to lock this thread up - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Pattern does not support a large rainmaker noreaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Time to lock this thread up - It should never have been created. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Fail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Still waiting for the epic wet pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Where's IsentropicLift today? Today turned out to be a great day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 26, 2016 Author Share Posted March 26, 2016 Where's IsentopicLift today? Today turned out to be a great day.Choosing not to feed the trolls. Haven't checked today's runs but based on above posts I'm assuming I won't like them. At some point, the rubber band has to snap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 28, 2016 Author Share Posted March 28, 2016 Didn't end up being a big ticket event but it's pouring here. The radar looks juicy. The entire area is under a wind advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 Very juicy. So juicy NYC will still be on pace for a top 10 driest March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 28, 2016 Author Share Posted March 28, 2016 Very juicy. So juicy NYC will still be on pace for a top 10 driest March. At least you're smart enough to hardly ever post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 Radar hardly looks juicy. Very showery look and moving quickly out of here. Sun will be peaking out of the clouds in a few hours. I'm not the one who made a thread for a weak band of showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 28, 2016 Author Share Posted March 28, 2016 Radar hardly looks juicy. Very showery look and moving quickly out of here. Sun will be peaking out of the clouds in a few hours. I'm not the one who made a thread for a weak band of showers. It sounds like you have no idea what you're talking about. I'm sitting at 0.24" so far and it's pouring. All that rain in E PA has to come through here before it's over. If you want an accurate picture you need to look at KDIX not KOKX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 Radar hardly looks juicy. Very showery look and moving quickly out of here. Sun will be peaking out of the clouds in a few hours. I'm not the one who made a thread for a weak band of showers. He should have made a thread for the wind - wind advisory in effect from this afternoon till late tomorrow afternoon - gusts up to 50 - wouldn't be surprised if they upgrade it if higher gusts materialize.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 28, 2016 Author Share Posted March 28, 2016 He should have made a thread for the wind - wind advisory in effect from this afternoon till late tomorrow afternoon - gusts up to 50 - wouldn't be surprised if they upgrade it if higher gusts materialize.......... The wind threat was included in the original premise for the thread. Again, things didn't end up working out for a big event, but it was mostly because of storm track. The ULL is developing almost overhead. To get the big storm here we needed it further offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 It sounds like you have no idea what you're talking about. I'm sitting at 0.24" so far and it's pouring. All that rain in E PA has to come through here before it's over. If you want an accurate picture you need to look at KDIX not KOKX. Sun will be out by 1-2pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 28, 2016 Author Share Posted March 28, 2016 Sun will be out by 1-2pm. That's when the winds start to pick up. In any event, I'm not sure what duration has anything to do with it. The storm didn't quite work out here because of a bad track. Models struggled a few days ago with which low to focus on. In the end, looks like a double barreled system was the way to go with not much in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 Raining very nicely here for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 28, 2016 Author Share Posted March 28, 2016 Raining very nicely here for a while. It's not the 2-3" rainstorm I was hoping for but it will still be significant when you factor in the strong winds later. Again, it came down to track. The storm developed nicely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 Glad it's today and not yesterday. Raw and wet here 43 and mod rain, about .30 so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 Crazy storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 28, 2016 Author Share Posted March 28, 2016 Crazy storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 Back edge flying east now. About to finish 3-4 hours earlier then modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 Long Island is .50"-.75" and counting. Parts should be 1"+. Good storm for LI, again. They always win. Rain or snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 28, 2016 Author Share Posted March 28, 2016 Long Island is .50"-.75" and counting. Parts should be 1"+. Good storm for LI, again. They always win. Rain or snow. Long Island was closer to the developing coastal so it makes sense. I'm taking my 0.40" today and running with it. I'm putting all my eggs in the PGFS basket which as around 1.75" of rain for my backyard Thursday/Friday and almost 4" of rain in total over the next ten days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 28, 2016 Share Posted March 28, 2016 back edge flying NE. Looks like most are done by noon-sun later? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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