HullMA Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Forecasted high of 61 today in hull. Actual high of 41... what a terrible day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Forecasted high of 61 today in hull. Actual high of 41... what a terrible day Yep. CAD always wins this time of year. Models FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 we poached yesterday top of the mountain but non existant. It has snowed everyday I am here. Hotub pool call. What a treat to have skiing like this amidst the disaster. Awesome man...enjoy it. I'm jelly....didn't make it up to SR this season. I did get Telluride which was sick...but I have a nostalgia for SR that I missed this season. You picked one of the better weeks all winter, lol. Shows that even in a sh** season, you can still find some great runs and mak a vacation week out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Those forecasts always give me a chuckle. Even the times we break out down here alot of their viewing area never does. Just like flurries north of the notch, meanwhile Pittsburg will be pulling 6-10. I feel like we'd have a similar issue here but luckily the mountains being only 15 miles away from BTV makes for much more accurate forecasts for the mountains and various micro-climates...so the BTV news stations can't just broad-brush it and forget about it, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Lol. Dropped again here and low clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 NWS Forecasted high of 63 today--barely broke 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 NWS Forecasted high of 63 today--barely broke 40. I had 63 in my P+C also. 39 was the high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 25, 2016 Share Posted March 25, 2016 Ha, well now we are back to where we started before the FROPA passage. 33F now after a spike to 47F and holding all day at 29-34F. Still cracks me up that the cold fronts in this situation always act like warm fronts, and then you cool back down to where you originally were. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 What a temp fail here, Made it to 33.6°F for a high................. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 Mixing out a little now...38.3F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 31.6°F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 The BTV WRF the other day had this little cold tuck from weak meso low over SE MA. FTW. Good luck breaking out of this one BOS-NE. Rip and readers FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 <rant> Upon further review, it appears my own office was guilty of rip and reading. Now busts happen from time to time, and shallow cold air damming is certainly one of those times, but the day shift seems to have carried the exact same max temps from the mid shift all the way through the afternoon package. That meant ASH was still forecast for a high of 64 as of 310 PM. Actual temp at ASH at 3 PM? 38! I come in at 10 PM and the high temp for the day (grid ends at 01z) was still 50 for PSM (actual 39). I mean what did we actually do here at work today? </rant> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 Yeah this one was classic. I remember thinking a few days ago that is looked like a classic CAD event and models seemed way too bullish on the warm front moving north. But even the NAM which is usually good at CAD was bullish. Still, some mesos did seem more conservative with colder air. Wx2fish did a nice job in the BOS TAF keeping LIFR, but the cigs still persisted longer than we thought. I will saw HRRR did a nice Job hinting at this during the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 26, 2016 Share Posted March 26, 2016 Yeah this one was classic. I remember thinking a few days ago that is looked like a classic CAD event and models seemed way too bullish on the warm front moving north. But even the NAM which is usually good at CAD was bullish. Still, some mesos did seem more conservative with colder air. Wx2fish did a nice job in the BOS TAF keeping LIFR, but the cigs still persisted longer than we thought. I will saw HRRR did a nice Job hinting at this during the morning. Yeah, it's not like models didn't show this potential. I mean I ran through the archived bufkit soundings and saw they only mixed MHT to 49 today (not the 63 we had going at 3 PM). It is worrisome how much we rely on guidance sometimes. This should have been a pretty easy pattern recognition situation. I mean our SOO shared an AWIPS image of 1000 mb geostropic winds. Ripping at 40-50 knots from the N. Sorry warm front isn't getting to Eek with flow like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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