Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 GGEM was warm for us...but other guidance wasn't. It's all about the sfc low track if you are looking for warm temps. If the sfc low stays south of us then we'll stay cold. I'm not..But I am highly suspicious of any model that shows warmth on Monday north of DC with such strong CAA all day Sunday. Those warm ideas will get tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 there's a north trend on every model for the monday storm Good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Bottom line is there's some potential coming up... though do agree with those skeptical given the season. I'm just thinking with the weakening Nino and the fact that it's April, maybe we've kicked the bucket and will get a decent event, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Man Eastern Mass gets quite the event on Tuesday as that thing deepens...warning snows north of the Pike or ORH, but that has the signal of a developing strong CCB as it pulls east over BOS. Clown maps have 10-11" at BOS through Tuesday evening. If it remains consistent through 00z Friday, then I'll blink. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Don't forget the model warm up tomorrow and Friday - pretty special event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 You mean a day 6 prog is giving me a good snow event? Finally, a snowy day 6 prog.....those have been about as hard to come by as hyperbole on Cape Cod, MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Don't forget the model warm up tomorrow and Friday - pretty special event. We'll have our eyes glued to the BDL ASOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Special? 65-low 70s? Eh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 We'll have our eyes glued to the BDL ASOS. haha! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Special? 65-low 70s? Eh. - it's a joke relating to how people are stepping over all the cool meteorology between now and saturday night ... like wishing on a worm hole to get us to snow without having to experience any life in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 - it's a joke relating to how people are stepping over all the cool meteorology between now and saturday night ... like wishing on a worm hole to get us to snow without having to experience any life in between. Yeah it will be nice tomorrow...but I would rather worm hole to the cool (no pun intended) meteorology later this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 - it's a joke relating to how people are stepping over all the cool meteorology between now and saturday night ... like wishing on a worm hole to get us to snow without having to experience any life in between. It's special if folks are trying to catch the seasons first nape tans I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 We'll have our eyes glued to the BDL ASOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Yeah it will be nice tomorrow...but I would rather worm hole to the cool (no pun intended) meteorology later this weekend. What is Sunday, wind and rain ending as squalls? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 - it's a joke relating to how people are stepping over all the cool meteorology between now and saturday night ... like wishing on a worm hole to get us to snow without having to experience any life in between. But there's more interesting stuff coming in later days.... what's the interesting meteorology tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 What is Sunday, wind and rain ending as squalls? Most likely aspect is wind, but if the euro is right, it's rain ending as a period of briefly moderate to heavy snow. My guess is euro is probably too far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 What is Sunday, wind and rain ending as squalls? Could end as a period of heavy snow/whiteout/wind...but I think the better chance is north...though your spot in SNE is as good as any sans maybe somewhere in the N Berks/N ORH county. But if Euro panned out, that would definitely be a period of snow and wind Sunday morning. However, it should be noted that is the furthest south of any guidance....but at 90-96h out, it can't be totally tossed. It's worth keeping a tempered interest until we get closer. The best chance though for SNE is probably 4/5...4/7-8 has potential too but that is pretty deep into clown range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Could end as a period of heavy snow/whiteout/wind...but I think the better chance is north...though your spot in SNE is as good as any sans maybe somewhere in the N Berks/N ORH county. But if Euro panned out, that would definitely be a period of snow and wind Sunday morning. However, it should be noted that is the furthest south of any guidance....but at 90-96h out, it can't be totally tossed. It's worth keeping a tempered interest until we get closer. The best chance though for SNE is probably 4/5...4/7-8 has potential too but that is pretty deep into clown range. Would you say early week storm has risk to cut north and also a risk it goes south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 But there's more interesting stuff coming in later days.... what's the interesting meteorology tomorrow? firstly .. .i think we bust MOS warm tomorrow. *IF* - I will say it depends on the wind direction - SSW is almost as bad as an ENE flip at this time of year... if we can get things more angled 220+ we probably squirt toward 78 or so in typical hot spots, and that's pretty interesting Met to me considering where the region will be sunday evening. it's all connected in the great vast arena of weather - the totality of that transition begs the monitoring. we used to have a saying up at UML when i was an undergrad - 'first it gets warm, then it gets cold, BOOM' seemed ...relative to scale, there was always some aspect of 'correcting' going on and the storm was part of it. hmmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Would you say early week storm has risk to cut north and also a risk it goes south? Sounds like the usual everything is on the table? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Sounds like the usual everything is on the table? Well I might have worded it badly. I guess what i mean was is there a greater risk of north vs south or are they equal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Ec ensembles look like the op Sunday. Not as robust, but rain to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Also a nice look for Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Kind of a prolonged event on the EPS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Also a nice look for Tuesday. Decently south of the OP for Tuesday. Surprising given that some of the other guidance is decently north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Decently south of the OP for Tuesday. Surprising given that some of the other guidance is decently north. That would be a good solution as is. You get the initial W-E elongation from the mid level WAA generating precip and then that gradual tilt SW-NE as low pressure develops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Also a nice look for Tuesday. Scott, how far north do you think if tuesday comes together? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Scott, how far north do you think if tuesday comes together? Verbatim the EPS is good for you too. I wouldn't really get too crazy with details since it could end up much different than shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 Verbatim the EPS is good for you too. I wouldn't really get too crazy with details since it could end up much different than shown. And i usually wait till first week in April to put snow equipment away, oh well....we wait(ty for answering) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 30, 2016 Share Posted March 30, 2016 That would be a good solution as is. You get the initial W-E elongation from the mid level WAA generating precip and then that gradual tilt SW-NE as low pressure develops. Yes agreed....if we can get through another 3-4 model cycles of a decent solution, then it will become pretty interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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