EastonSN+ Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 depends on your perspective. Shows the potential, this will shift around. 5 for coastal CT looks nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 That was 6z. 12z is not as good 5 for coastal CT looks nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 LOL, wham bam..nobody knows what they are looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 LOL, wham bam..nobody knows what they are looking at. Every single model has a closed sub 520 5h right under SNE. What is your call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 That was 6z. 12z is not as good Ah ic the new NAM looks like 1 to 3. Looks like my Wham Bam thank you Nam is catching on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 Every single model has a closed sub 520 5h right under SNE. What is your call. I'm referring to what models people are looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 I'm referring to what models people are looking at. Whats your call? I think models are having their usual rough time with this. Seems likely someone from NYC to Boston gets a surprise thump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 Every single model has a closed sub 520 5h right under SNE. What is your call. ooh oooh, pick me - so what. 500 mb closes off at this time of year all the time and nothing happens underneath because: 1 ...the troposphere's baroclinic gradients are rotted and normalized - no fronts, not storm. 2 ...in this case, there's plenty of front, but it's displaced too far east by today's interfering wave ..either way, you get the same result... spinning over top with little surface reflection. having said that, that's as is - spacing and timing of things can certainly still modulate toward a better set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 ooh oooh, pick me - so what. 500 mb closes off at this time of year all the time and nothing happens underneath because: 1 ...the troposphere's baroclinic gradients are rotted and normalized - no fronts, not storm. 2 ...in this case, there's plenty of front, but it's displaced too far east by today's interfering wave ..either way, you get the same result... spinning over top with little surface reflection. having said that, that's as is - spacing and timing of things can certainly still modulate toward a better set up. Lol ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 12z NAM is nice for DXR up into Litchfield county...prob thundersnow chances there...but that is the way this will go...narrow zones unless we get a fundamental shift in spacing...either via slowing down the lagging ULL or weakening (or speeding up) the front running wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 Nice landphoon on radar now down in Baltimore. Hope it holds together up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 Riveting dialogue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 Riveting dialogue Winter weather around here was called off in February, yet it's still snowing in April, hmmm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 A tick south of the GFS. Congrats Merrit Pkwy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 GFS actually looks more robust in the mid and upper levels....not that a minor tick is that meaningful...but it's pretty close to being something really nice. Too bad we just can't get this one level deeper to widen the influence and actually get a good conveyor going...it would be a monster if we could Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 Kind of an I-90 south deal on that run. In its usual bias. That's a good spot for SNE at this juncture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 Kind of an I-90 south deal on that run. In its usual bias. That's a good spot for SNE at this juncture Huh? I've seen it too far north more than I've seen it too far south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 What a helacious band just north of H7. Too bad that wasn't 50 miles north. Still one to watch for those on the fence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 H5 really improved on this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 GGEM is a whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 It's funny, looking at H5 RH...you'd think there would be a band into SNH. The problem is that low level forcing is driving the bus moreso than in other mid latitude storms where taking the over on QPF based on H7-H5 look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
butterfish55 Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 GGEM is a whiff. 70/30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 Ukie http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=en&map=na&run=12&mod=ukmet&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=12&mod2=ukmet&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=048&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=060 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 Ukie is a whiff too aside from some snow showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 Ukie is a whiff too aside from some snow showers. Not seeing alot to be "excited" about in this 12z suite other than nuisance cold ra/snsh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 Ukie is a whiff too aside from some snow showers. 60/40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 Not seeing alot to be "excited" about in this 12z suite other than nuisance cold ra/snsh. Yeah I was hoping to see improvement in the upper levels, and aside from a slight improvement in the GFS, we haven't gotten that. Too bad because that is a very vigorous s/w...but there is just too much interference as it stands now. It is obviously still worth watching, but as of now, I'd expect mostly just a few flurries or snow showers...maybe near the south coast could get a narrow band of something a bit more significant, but still a good chance that it doesn't materialize as currently modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 Kind of an I-90 south deal on that run. In its usual bias. That's a good spot for SNE at this juncture Pretty much agree that someone in SNE is going to get a nice thumping, favors the southern half of SNE at this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 Pretty much agree that someone in SNE is going to get a nice thumping, favors the southern half of SNE at this time. GFS had some improvements in the upper levels...maybe that's a sign?? Euro will suck I'm sure for the area..but as some have said, have to keep an eye on this for any last minute shifts in spacing or rapid development due to the improved spacing and potent ULL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 7, 2016 Share Posted April 7, 2016 GFS had some improvements in the upper levels...maybe that's a sign?? Euro will suck I'm sure for the area..but as some have said, have to keep an eye on this for any last minute shifts in spacing or rapid development due to the improved spacing and potent ULL. i am more of an Ens, intuitive, past experience guy. Can't hate this look Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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