HoarfrostHubb Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 Long odds at measurable but I would not be shocked at seeing some flakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 Nah, you know I love ya, Steve.....tired and cranky.just bustin. Seriously now. Just looked hard at Ens. There's a western trend for some organization of a SW to travel from the Delmarva to the GOM. Still out there but anytime a ULL of that magnitude is around this time of year there is that potential. Something to watch anyways and hey appears maybe another long shot next week. Interesting if anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 just bustin. Seriously now. Just looked hard at Ens. There's a western trend for some organization of a SW to travel from the Delmarva to the GOM. Still out there but anytime a ULL of that magnitude is around this time of year there is that potential. Something to watch anyways and hey appears maybe another long shot next week. Interesting if anything. This pattern is about all you can ask for if you want to try to fathom an interesting Napril. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 GFS is just snow showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 -18C 850 temps on the GFS for 4/10....that is ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morch Madness Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 The GEFS indies seem a lot more enthusiastic about the weekend threat than the OP GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 Nino heater Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 80/20 Euro looks nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 watch middle/end of next week too. One eyed willie watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 Canadian appears to have a warm core lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 Nino heater Whatever it is, its now April and still banging out the same pattern it has since early January. Cold/dry followed by a warm up and rain...then another dry cold front with no snow, and then it repeats the whole thing. There's been a dozen systems like this since early January and I can't believe not one of them could've tracked 150 miles south, lol. Warm up just enough to rain as a low goes towards the St Lawrence Valley... Then brutal cold and dry with scattered flurries... Then we warm up again to rain as another system rolls through the lakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 Whatever it is, its now April and still banging out the same pattern it has since early January. Cold/dry followed by a warm up and rain...then another dry cold front with no snow, and then it repeats the whole thing. There's been a dozen systems like this since early January and I can't believe not one of them could've tracked 150 miles south, lol. Warm up just enough to rain as a low goes towards the St Lawrence Valley... Then brutal cold and dry with scattered flurries... Then we warm up again to rain as another system rolls through the lakes. We snow in SNE GUIDANCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THE SURFACE LOW AROUND OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL RUNS SO WILL STAY CLOSE TO THE ENSEMBLES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAY. RIGHT NOW THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO MOVE THROUGH SATURDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. IT MAY START OFF AS RAIN...BUT ON THE BACKSIDE COLD AIR WILL BE USHERING IN RESULTING IN A CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BY SAT PM INTO EARLY SUNDAY AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 We snow in SNE GUIDANCE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THE SURFACE LOW AROUND OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL RUNS SO WILL STAY CLOSE TO THE ENSEMBLES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAY. RIGHT NOW THIS SYSTEM APPEARS TO MOVE THROUGH SATURDAY INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. IT MAY START OFF AS RAIN...BUT ON THE BACKSIDE COLD AIR WILL BE USHERING IN RESULTING IN A CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BY SAT PM INTO EARLY SUNDAY AM. Ahh yes I didn't see the Euro yet. That looks most realistic because its got 4-6" from ORH eastward. GFS and GGEM aren't overly snowy in eastern Mass so need to toss those as far as you can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 Ahh yes I didn't see the Euro yet. That looks most realistic because its got 4-6" from ORH eastward. GFS and GGEM aren't overly snowy in eastern Mass so need to toss those as far as you can. I don't believe that scenario one bit as modeled on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 It's on the EPS and ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 It's still a tricky setup. Gonna need more confidence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 Euro is interesting Saturday night but there is some boundary layer warmth that we may have to deal with. In the coastal plain 2M temps are mid 30s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 Euro is interesting Saturday night but there is some boundary layer warmth that we may have to deal with. In the coastal plain 2M temps are mid 30s. Even up this way? 2 Temps are prob a bit too warm, anyway.....since its at night, if my mid levels are fine, then I would be ok imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 Even up this way? 2 Temps are prob a bit too warm, anyway.....since its at night, if my mid levels are fine, then I would be ok imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 We bun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 I don't believe that scenario one bit as modeled on the Euro.you didn't believe the Nam Monday. ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 We'd be locking that run in if it was the old Euro at 96 hours. Now, just another model at that time frame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 We'd be locking that run in if it was the old Euro at 96 hours. Now, just another model at that time frame Sorry to clutter the thread, but what exactly did the EURO display for Sat night? I'm never discontinuing wxbell prematurely again. Lesson learned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 Even up this way? 2 Temps are prob a bit too warm, anyway.....since its at night, if my mid levels are fine, then I would be ok imo. 925mb temps even start out at +1/+2c for your area I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 Sorry to clutter the thread, but what exactly did the EURO display for Sat night? I'm never discontinuing wxbell prematurely again. Lesson learned. I don't have access other than the 24h panels, but according to PF 4-6" ORH east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 9-10" BOS area on the 0z Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 9-10" BOS area on the 0z Euro its a big hit as it washes out the boundary layer quick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 Rain to snow with highest amounts River east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 9-10" BOS area on the 0z Euro Wow......keep that for another 24 hours, and $hit gets real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted April 6, 2016 Share Posted April 6, 2016 Excited about this system , think it could deliver. No bl concerns really after brief rain with that track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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