TheCloser24 Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 GFS was almost close with a coastal storm for the 5th Yeah, that storm has actually been trending closer on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 Putting aside the biased and skewed views based on the utter futility of the season, you have to like the look going forward for some late-season mischief. Whether it's a coating or sonething more significant is anyone's guess but I think accumulating snowfall is a decent possibility during the April 3 - 10 period. Some places may even coat it up with the influx of Arctic air late Saturday night and early Sunday, especially in the higher terrain I mentioned this the other day. If the timing is right, we could see some sneaky low temps Monday morning if things wind up correctly. I'm still not fully convinced, but the potential has been there for a few days now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 I mentioned this the other day. If the timing is right, we could see some sneaky low temps Monday morning if things wind up correctly. I'm still not fully convinced, but the potential has been there for a few days now. Best shot looks to our north in NNE...but definitely worth watching for the squall fetish folks. Euro looked like it even got BOS into some snowsquall activity on Sunday. I do think the 4/4-4/8 period needs to be watched pretty closely for something potentially more significant. There could be a couple chances there...and the airmass is pretty darned cold too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 Losing the EPO ridge is a warming signal...but, popping another +PNA may very well relay into a + construct of the Perennial North American Pattern (which is to say ... somewhat more amplified version of the static tendency for ridging over the Rockies). Whatever the discussion is at hand ...that may not exactly connote a warm pattern as the first week of April ages toward the second. One thing I am curious about ... the wave lengths as we head into April will begin to shrink hemispheric/seasonally .. .as that happens, I am wondering if the propensity for +PNA could lead to an interval where (unlike pretty much at all times this immediate preceding winter) that could erect a ridge closer to the MT/Dakota longitude. That position is physically much more conducive to favorable coastal storm tracks in the east... Of course, we'd have to get that vestigial cold vortex to relax. That's too much gradient and fast flow as is ... Could maybe get light whisky events and/or some overrunning; rarely those over-produce..true. But if one is hoping on a exit big kahuna? Anyway, a little further out in time (speculative off course) there will be just such an opportunity with some rotted late season cold in the mlv (near-by) and possibly a more relaxed PNAP also having the ridge component being bump east of persistence as intimated. We'll see... but that's all 'what it will take' in my mind to see meaningful white before this show's curtain call finally surrenders to the raising of the auditorium lights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 This wind is nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 Some were saying that we were wishcasting talking about an event near the equinox...and it happened. Just because a few of the previous patterns failed, it had no bearing on whether that system was going to fail. That said, I'm fine with others being checked out...they certainly can be and I get it. I just hope that if a threat does materialize that they don't come into the thread and tell us we shouldn't follow it unless it is a 1997 redux...rather just don't post in the threat thread (should one materialize). At least I have silently checked out No need to be obnoxious....don't have time to, anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 This wind is nuts. It was awful this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 We GFS?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 We GFS?? 06z hinted at that interaction with the off-shore miller B, too ... this run actually just uses huge mvl f-gen signal to rage the region... Obviously the solution in itself is suspect for details but ... could be worth watching - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 12z Euro punches one helluva unstable burst on Saturday morning ... mad mad mid level cooling/height crash with big wind max blowin some 80 kts carving over LI that morning... that's gotta be a band or two of interesting if squally snows there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2016 Author Share Posted March 29, 2016 Another HWW day on Sunday in CAA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 Euro says what storm? Squashes the low way further south than 0z. It does try to develop a coastal at 168 but fails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 If nothing else, looks like a fun 7 day stretch coming up of non-boring weather. Big changes in temps, storms and rumors of storms then winter is done and we excitedly wait for Wiz posts about LI of -1 and lame TStorms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 EC ensembles are quite a bit more enthusiastic for 4/5 than the OP run was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 EC ensembles are quite a bit more enthusiastic for 4/5 than the OP run was. They are quite interested in the 4/8 system as well. Could get one last active period of model watching for a couple of threats next week...we'll have to see as we get closer. Still obviously out in clown range at the moment. But we have some ingredients there...we have a deeper layer cold airmass in place and the active northern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2016 Author Share Posted March 29, 2016 They are quite interested in the 4/8 system as well. Could get one last active period of model watching for a couple of threats next week...we'll have to see as we get closer. Still obviously out in clown range at the moment. But we have some ingredients there...we have a deeper layer cold airmass in place and the active northern stream. Sounds like Noyes 50's for mid week and beyond next week in trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 Sounds like Noyes 50's for mid week and beyond next week in trouble Shocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 Sounds like Noyes 50's for mid week and beyond next week in troubleLooking like one more flipflop back to snow mode before you go full-fledged torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 Shocking. He's having a huge internal struggle right now...DIT can't figure out what to root for. Does he want Noyes' 50s and sun or does he want rumors of storms and storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2016 Author Share Posted March 29, 2016 Looking like one more flipflop back to snow mode before you go full-fledged torch.If it can snow I'm all ballz in. Always that way. Just have no use for days like today. Either snow or warm in spring. Seasons in seasons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 Looking like one more flipflop back to snow mode before you go full-fledged torch. I had the same reaction when I read his post. Massive internal struggle right now. But the chance of snow will always pull him back into the negative/cold phase of the KFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 He's having a huge internal struggle right now...DIT can't figure out what to root for. Does he want Noyes' 50s and sun or does he want rumors of storms and storms? I don't want to get any hopes up this far out...way too much time for stuff to change....but the 4/8 system looked really tasty on the ensembles for the interior especially. Slow moving trough too...so if there was a possibility at a big dog, that would probably be it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 If it can snow I'm all ballz in. Always that way. Just have no use for days like today. Either snow or warm in spring. Seasons in seasons lol you're a trip man. "Seasons in seasons" includes either snow or warmth, but nothing in-between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 lol you're a trip man. "Seasons in seasons" includes either snow or warmth, but nothing in-between.The irony is that today is seasonable for late March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 He's having a huge internal struggle right now...DIT can't figure out what to root for. Does he want Noyes' 50s and sun or does he want rumors of storms and storms? It's quite fascinating actually. A textbook display of a subject with major issues. Just picture him in a room with glass windows with 10 students observing him as models shift A snowstorm to a warm rainer, or out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 It's quite fascinating actually. A textbook display of a subject with major issues. Just picture him in a room with glass windows with 10 students observing him as models shift A snowstorm to a warm rainer, or out to sea. He's been going on a tear on Twitter. It's like he's talking to himself and just desperate for someone to validate his extreme thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 He's been going on a tear on Twitter. It's like he's talking to himself and just desperate for someone to validate his extreme thoughts. Lmao...what is wrong with that guy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2016 Author Share Posted March 29, 2016 He's been going on a tear on Twitter. It's like he's talking to himself and just desperate for someone to validate his extreme thoughts.Getting all kinds of interactions, shares, likes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 29, 2016 Author Share Posted March 29, 2016 I'm no different than any other poster on here. Lover of weather, extreme events, get excitable and amped tracking and anticipation.. Then weenieing out as the event unfolds. I just express my feelings more than others because I am not socially inept as some here are (they know who they are) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 29, 2016 Share Posted March 29, 2016 Getting all kinds of interactions, shares, likes Congrats on weenies retweeting you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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