Typhoon Tip Posted April 21, 2016 Share Posted April 21, 2016 I didn't notice a huge change in the blocking. Just a shift north a tad and deeper SW U.S. Troughing. okay, not sure what you were looking at, but that vortex component of that had us inside of it ...now, it's questionable whether we really truly get out of SE ridging on these recent runs. those difference are large - but again, i'm not really impugning the models for it; they were never predicting the harsher colder impact inside of D5 as I said earlier. so...meh, it is what it was/is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 21, 2016 Share Posted April 21, 2016 Surprised there wasn't any D8-9 spiking footballs on the Euro again at 12z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 21, 2016 Share Posted April 21, 2016 okay, not sure what you were looking at, but that vortex component of that had us inside of it ...now, it's questionable whether we really truly get out of SE ridging on these recent runs. those difference are large - but again, i'm not really impugning the models for it; they were never predicting the harsher colder impact inside of D5 as I said earlier. so...meh, it is what it was/is I guess I was comparing from yesterday. It's true that it almost suppressed any rain a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 21, 2016 Share Posted April 21, 2016 Surprised there wasn't any D8-9 spiking footballs on the Euro again at 12z.... We only spike when it shows 80. It cooled off next week too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 21, 2016 Share Posted April 21, 2016 Surprised there wasn't any D8-9 spiking footballs on the Euro again at 12z.... depends on which way one perceives matters... not that anyone should be spiking footballs over depictions that won't happen - it's clearly digging heights through the Martimes too much - a typical bias/tendency for the Euro to do in the goo-ga-ga range. I dunno - I figure the -NAO was just oversold by all models until yesterday...maybe we could argue the day-before is when the back-down began, and since then, there are just growing pains in the contributing voices here. it'll come to pass with ridging trough couplet up there, but just speaking in terms of how it impacts our area. could come back with the earlier panache, but the current vibe/trend is more seasonal (fw that's worth to folks) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 21, 2016 Share Posted April 21, 2016 This looks like a pretty good MOS bust going on in the interior here. actually maybe not as bad - looks like some sites bumped up a tick or two. Top 10 day out there, though - wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 21, 2016 Author Share Posted April 21, 2016 Surprised there wasn't any D8-9 spiking footballs on the Euro again at 12z....Seems like you are spiking it. Pretty early for It though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 21, 2016 Share Posted April 21, 2016 Seems like you are spiking it. Pretty early for It though Let me know if all the mets on twitter are still talking heat wave for end of the month like they were 15 days out....I feel a bit behind the curve here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 21, 2016 Author Share Posted April 21, 2016 Let me know if all the mets on twitter are still talking heat wave for end of the month like they were 15 days out....I feel a bit behind the curve here.Its always cold and snowy in ORH. We get it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted April 21, 2016 Share Posted April 21, 2016 We only spike when it shows 80 high likelihood of snow and cold, the only weather that is worth really following . It cooled off next week too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 21, 2016 Share Posted April 21, 2016 We only spike when it shows 80. It cooled off next week too. s'posed to be 80 tomorrow if you believe some of the MOS' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted April 21, 2016 Share Posted April 21, 2016 I hear this is what California weather is like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 21, 2016 Author Share Posted April 21, 2016 s'posed to be 80 tomorrow if you believe some of the MOS'77-78 today over much of the interior and Logan.. But we aren't supposed to discuss that here in this cold, snowy realm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 22, 2016 Share Posted April 22, 2016 77-78 today over much of the interior and Logan.. But we aren't supposed to discuss that here in this cold, snowy realm So today qualifies for next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 22, 2016 Author Share Posted April 22, 2016 Should be some 80 degree pickles tickled today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 22, 2016 Share Posted April 22, 2016 Looka meh today. Junky clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 22, 2016 Share Posted April 22, 2016 Should be some 80 degree pickles tickled today Pretty cloudy here. 80 will be a challenge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 22, 2016 Share Posted April 22, 2016 We full pink full moon goon last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 22, 2016 Share Posted April 22, 2016 Looka meh today. Junky clouds. agreed ...not exactly inspiring visions of MOS numbers as dawn takes over. possible that some of this melts away as the sun climbs higher, but WPC is also analyzing a weak warm front diffused through the area so there's likely some subtle overrunning instability to compensate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 22, 2016 Share Posted April 22, 2016 agreed ...not exactly inspiring visions of MOS numbers as dawn takes over. possible that some of this melts away as the sun climbs higher, but WPC is also analyzing a weak warm front diffused through the area so there's likely some subtle overrunning instability to compensate. Yeah maybe some late morning and early afternoon sun before more clouds move in. Could be a few bangers western areas too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 22, 2016 Share Posted April 22, 2016 classic big sensible impact spring boundary situated near-by SNE from Ds 4 into 5. right now, the lion's share of dependables depict it drapes S of us, and on that polarward side it's mist/light rain and 45 F. Probably 80F in Trenton NJ. Big bust potential ... i'd go with climo and 86 those two days, and then wait on being pleasantly surprised ...suffered too many lies in Aprils of lore not to... but that D6/7 Euro would be an interesting convection signal there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 22, 2016 Author Share Posted April 22, 2016 GFS while most likely totally wrong has 70's up to the Pike Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted April 22, 2016 Share Posted April 22, 2016 Summery feel out there today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 22, 2016 Share Posted April 22, 2016 we soar 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 22, 2016 Share Posted April 22, 2016 GFS while most likely totally wrong has 70's up to the Pike Monday yeah not likely given that depiction - that would need the standard S correction with that boundary if that general appeal is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 22, 2016 Author Share Posted April 22, 2016 yeah not likely given that depiction - that would need the standard S correction with that boundary if that general appeal is rightOne of those days where the co-eds are clad in raspberry berets and not much more , while north of the boundary folks are bundled up against the cold purple rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 22, 2016 Share Posted April 22, 2016 One of those days where the co-eds are clad in raspberry berets and not much more , while north of the boundary folks are bundled up against the cold purple rain if you mean along Trenton NJ .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 22, 2016 Share Posted April 22, 2016 GFS while most likely totally wrong has 70's up to the Pike Monday If we can hold off rain, it could happen IMO..esp BDL-PVD etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 22, 2016 Author Share Posted April 22, 2016 If we can hold off rain, it could happen IMO..esp BDL-PVD etc.That would be a win for the ages for that POS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 22, 2016 Author Share Posted April 22, 2016 ORH : 75 BDL: 74 11:00 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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