tamarack Posted April 14, 2016 Share Posted April 14, 2016 What's the BDL average for late April, something like 65/43? A nice sunny 75/45 would be a whole +6. On day 14. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 14, 2016 Share Posted April 14, 2016 What's the BDL average for late April, something like 65/43? A nice sunny 75/45 would be a whole +6. On day 14. Very good, 66/43. Torch on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 14, 2016 Author Share Posted April 14, 2016 What I'm saying is there is no "big warmth" signal. There is a mild pattern signaled, maybe if you stretch it. Really it's a fairly typical spring pattern modeled. A few outlier ensemble members have well above normal temps for late April, but the vast majority are in the near to just above range. If you wanted to be a Frigidaire there are a few outlier ensemble members well below normal too. Based on the EPS and GEFS, it looks like 1 out or 4 or 5 chances that we see BDL over 80 those last few days of the month. I would hardly call that a big warmth signal. All 3 sets of guidance I posted are roasters . If that's not a signal .. Well then I'll be dad gumbed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 14, 2016 Share Posted April 14, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 14, 2016 Share Posted April 14, 2016 Kidding aside. Is 80F at BDL in the last week of April supposed to be a big deal? How Many Aprils do they not reach 80F? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 14, 2016 Share Posted April 14, 2016 Kidding aside. Is 80F at BDL in the last week of April supposed to be a big deal? How Many Aprils do they not reach 80F? Epic torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 14, 2016 Share Posted April 14, 2016 Kidding aside. Is 80F at BDL in the last week of April supposed to be a big deal? How Many Aprils do they not reach 80F? Very quick count so I may have missed a year +/-, but I got 54 out of 111 in the Hartford area. So like half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 14, 2016 Share Posted April 14, 2016 All 3 sets of guidance I posted are roasters . If that's not a signal .. Well then I'll be dad gumbed I'm pretty sure what you posted was 850 mb height anomalies? It's pretty hard reading the images, but the GEFS mean 850 temp never gets above 10C for SNE, ditto EPS. A nice bout of mid level ridging will be good for your drought though. Look on the bright side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted April 14, 2016 Share Posted April 14, 2016 Kidding aside. Is 80F at BDL in the last week of April supposed to be a big deal? How Many Aprils do they not reach 80F? Lets see April 2002 and 2009 modeled...then we'll talk torch without sounding like hypsters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 14, 2016 Share Posted April 14, 2016 Last 30 years... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 14, 2016 Share Posted April 14, 2016 Last 30 years... image.jpeg In other words, more surprising if BDL doesn't hit 80 this month. Hard to call that "big warmth" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 14, 2016 Share Posted April 14, 2016 and so it begins... only 200 days left in the period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 14, 2016 Author Share Posted April 14, 2016 Or no one could post anything except in a thread about guesses on next winter. There's that option Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 14, 2016 Share Posted April 14, 2016 Or no one could post anything except in a thread about guesses on next winter. There's that option Heavy heavy heavy butthurt. Days and days of massive big time heat incoming, install now to save your family from the tortures of the 75/45 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 14, 2016 Author Share Posted April 14, 2016 Heavy heavy heavy butthurt. Days and days of massive big time heat incoming, install now to save your family from the tortures of the 75/45 days. Those that like to discuss temperature patterns and enjoy warm springs are welcome here. Those that don't..well we know they don't because they won't post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted April 14, 2016 Share Posted April 14, 2016 Heavy heavy heavy butthurt. Days and days of massive big time heat incoming, install now to save your family from the tortures of the 75/45 days. That's what I love about springs like that - great diurnal ranges. I've had 30+ degree swings the past couple of days. Nothing wrong with that. Even without foliage there's no need for A/C's because the house stays cool throughout the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 Those that like to discuss temperature patterns and enjoy warm springs are welcome here. Those that don't..well we know they don't because they won't post. I don't post much these days but I enjoy warmth more than most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 Those that like to discuss temperature patterns and enjoy warm springs are welcome here. Those that don't..well we know they don't because they won't post. You mean those that embellish and exaggerate warm temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 COC day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 COC day https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r6I1EXPrA-A Huge COC this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 Then we go limp bizkit Tuesday for a couple of days. Maybe some convective graupel or shsn? After we could really warm up, but that polar pig is right over the border. Gotta watch for BDF potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 Huge COC this weekend. Love it, best time of year from now until June for these days. Love the cool mornings warm afternoons and the slow transition to warmer weather. Next week has a monkey wrench but we get back to normal again. The greenup should take off pretty fast now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 what is COC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2016 Author Share Posted April 15, 2016 Won't be seeing many doc k days this summer. In fact if progs and mets are correct..coc ks will die from heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2016 Author Share Posted April 15, 2016 Then we go limp bizkit Tuesday for a couple of days. Maybe some convective graupel or shsn? After we could really warm up, but that polar pig is right over the border. Gotta watch for BDF potential. Yuppers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 what is COC? Chamber Of Commerce day. The day the Chambers take pictures because of the bluebird background with crisp dry air with no haze. We had a ton of these last summer. A Spring 70/50 (dp), Summer 85/55 Fall 75/50 type day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2016 Author Share Posted April 15, 2016 what is COC? The definition started as a summer day in the 70's with low dews..and morphed and changed to 85-90 with dews in the 40's as being one. Funny thing is may only have those days this month before the Mayorch furnace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 15, 2016 Author Share Posted April 15, 2016 Jamstec says we reintroduce drought this summer JAMSTEC out early this month: Global blowtorch June-Aug w/ drought potential possible parts of Midwest/Eastern US. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 Won't be seeing many doc k days this summer. In fact if progs and mets are correct..coc ks will die from heat Businessmen everywhere now in suits snapping pictures everywhere. The rest of the month as it warms looks like dry Canadian air. April the month of the COC, view from my office is unlimited today COCpril Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 15, 2016 Share Posted April 15, 2016 lol if Jamstec is right its warm and dry, hmmm Coc a doodle doo? Kiss severe goodbye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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