CoastalWx Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Meaning...Time frame? The 11-15 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Maybe we can get one more interior event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 10, 2016 Author Share Posted April 10, 2016 Maybe we can get one more interior event. April 18th on Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Typical spring. I don't count on consistently nice temperatures before Memorial Day and many years not till the solstice. Spring blows here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Lots of coastal storminess on 12z guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 10, 2016 Author Share Posted April 10, 2016 Lay out and tan up napes today. We don't see the disc in the sky for 6-8 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Lay out and tan up napes today. We don't see the disc in the sky for 6-8 days Except for Wednesday and Thursday - and probably Sunday. Maybe Saturday too if the Euro is overdone with the east coast junk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 10, 2016 Author Share Posted April 10, 2016 Except for Wednesday and Thursday - and probably Sunday. Maybe Saturday too if the Euro is overdone with the east coast junk.Models have us socked in with east flow and low clouds all week. Good luck on a sun and fun forecast . I'll take the way way under on that given this hideous setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Could be a lot of doubleheaders this summer after the first few weeks of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Models have us socked in with east flow and low clouds all week. Good luck on a sun and fun forecast . I'll take the way way under on that given this hideous setup Friday they sure do - not really seeing that Wednesday and Thursday though. NE flow but not much moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Sometimes these cutoffs look terrible far out, but then salvage a day or two. Hopefully that happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Sometimes these cutoffs look terrible far out, but then salvage a day or two. Hopefully that happens. Right - For thus of us unable to let go of the winter that never was (kidding of course...) and/or face the music of July's inevitable arrival ... your tool of romantic hideout is the GGEM - man, go crawl under the GGEM covers and pretend there's no other world, with that parade of wet snow bomb look it has. Firstly, it's obviously off its rocker with that tiny 4 contoured closed low it creates a gravity well out of out off the eastern tip of Long Island, but then it tries to inject 2 ...I dunno, maybe even 3 additional N stream impulses into it along with sufficiently cold 850s to snow blues into the elevations of the interior ..all from D6 through 10. Personally I hope for the GFS oper. version, with only 24 hours of Atlantic urine before a much weaker ...non-refitting version settles far enough S to salvage the weekend. In fact, that's interesting. It would be a N drift warm up ...obviously killed by seabreezes, but not before the interior cooked (relatively speaking) in April sun next weekend. Contrasting to the GGEM ai yai yai Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 18z GFS incrementally better (ah...or worse depending on one's perspective on matters). Now has almost ridging replacing the previous closed low - interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 10, 2016 Author Share Posted April 10, 2016 Using GFS Op runs ftl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Hopefully that run verifies. The mid atlantic had the blizz...they can have this POS too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 Hopefully that run verifies. The mid atlantic had the blizz...they can have this POS too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted April 10, 2016 Share Posted April 10, 2016 The 11-15 day. Of course that would tie in with when I will be with my kids in Newport for a few days. Of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 Typical spring. I don't count on consistently nice temperatures before Memorial Day and many years not till the solstice. Spring blows here. It's such a bizarre season. Just as likely to have a day near 80 as a day in the 30s. Maybe not entirely even... A couple of years ago my warmest temp for the year was in April Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 It's such a bizarre season. Just as likely to have a day near 80 as a day in the 30s. Maybe not entirely even... A couple of years ago my warmest temp for the year was in April 2009. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 2009. Thankfully post Nino Summer's can be nice and warm vs that abortion n the heels of a robust Nina winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 It's such a bizarre season. Just as likely to have a day near 80 as a day in the 30s. Maybe not entirely even... A couple of years ago my warmest temp for the year was in April We get some pretty tasty spring days in the CT River Valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 So much for that ULL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted April 11, 2016 Author Share Posted April 11, 2016 So much for that ULL. Napril is officially coming. Thank the dear Lord Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 Napril is officially coming. Thank the dear Lord Tomorrow we'll be back to shiat. Enjoy this for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 This forum needs a glossary; Napril? Seen it many times and finally wanted to ask. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 This forum needs a glossary; Napril? Seen it many times and finally wanted to ask. The weather is nice enough for you to get out and tan your nape. Napril. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 This forum needs a glossary; Napril? Seen it many times and finally wanted to ask.tan the Nape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 Sometimes these cutoffs look terrible far out, but then salvage a day or two. Hopefully that happens. Most of the time that's true. If you're modeled for a 3 day dumpster fire, usually by day 3 you've got a mix of sun and clouds and maybe a round of diurnal showers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 So much for that ULL. truly remarkable, if perhaps untoward tedium for most ... watching the evolution of that phantom in the models. Or is/was it ? I mean, that thing could come back... I don't think so in this case, tho. The progressive sort of bias to the flow that we've so enjoyed for much of the last few months is still subtly present and I think as this thing is coming into nearer terms ... might just be seeing that redistribution accordingly. Also, the NAO domain handling is piss-poor. Oh man is that bad. Look at D6 from 00z (..pick a model) and compare it to random cycle releases over the past 48 hours worth of them and the block has been vastly ranging. Here, there, nowhere... last night's run is a 'nowhere' one... well, of course, the trough coming into the west then gets carte blanche down wind over the CONUS, because with no blocking anywhere in the NAO domain space there's not much teleconnected argument for depressions back along the EC... hm. interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted April 11, 2016 Share Posted April 11, 2016 Napril is officially coming. Thank the dear Lord You've abandoned your forecast of 6-8 days of clouds, rain, and below normal temperatures? That was fast! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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