BxEngine Posted April 17, 2016 Share Posted April 17, 2016 On 4/17/2016 at 12:58 PM, IrishRob17 said: Such a needy bastard And selfish too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 17, 2016 Share Posted April 17, 2016 On 4/16/2016 at 11:30 PM, jm1220 said: 4-8" of rain expected here with locally 8-12" according to the NWS. We're also under a slight risk for severe currently. This would be Yanksfan's dream storm. Flash Flood Alley might live up to its name here in central TX late tomorrow and Monday. TX/OK-NYC Metro rainfall dipole FTW. Been the same pattern over the past year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 17, 2016 Share Posted April 17, 2016 Crazy that our area has the greatest departure in the country. Then again we average a lot more than much of the country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 17, 2016 Share Posted April 17, 2016 On 4/17/2016 at 4:06 PM, Stormlover74 said: Crazy that our area has the greatest departure in the country. Then again we average a lot more than much of the country Inverse of the 2011 pattern with TX drought and floods here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted April 17, 2016 Share Posted April 17, 2016 On 4/17/2016 at 4:04 PM, bluewave said: TX/OK-NYC Metro rainfall dipole FTW. Been the same pattern over the past year. 12mPDeptUS.png On 4/17/2016 at 4:09 PM, bluewave said: Inverse of the 2011 pattern with TX drought and floods here. AnnDec11PDeptUS.png Eventually the scale will tip back the other way again and we will flood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted April 17, 2016 Share Posted April 17, 2016 On 4/17/2016 at 4:04 PM, bluewave said: TX/OK-NYC Metro rainfall dipole FTW. Been the same pattern over the past year. 12mPDeptUS.png El Nino certainly helped tip the scales back to floods down here. Also, it's been blocky patterns like these which set the same places up to get drenched for days. Just starting to get heavy showers where I am now-it's expected to get much worse later today and then again late tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted April 17, 2016 Share Posted April 17, 2016 On 4/17/2016 at 4:09 PM, bluewave said: Inverse of the 2011 pattern with TX drought and floods here. AnnDec11PDeptUS.png An amazing 73.50" of precip here in 2011, including 21.50" in August and over 25" during the 30 day period from around 8/6 thru 9/6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 17, 2016 Share Posted April 17, 2016 On 4/17/2016 at 4:13 PM, Rtd208 said: Eventually the scale will tip back the other way again and we will flood. Yep..at some point in the future.. On 4/17/2016 at 5:58 PM, jm1220 said: El Nino certainly helped tip the scales back to floods down here. Also, it's been blocky patterns like these which set the same places up to get drenched for days. Just starting to get heavy showers where I am now-it's expected to get much worse later today and then again late tomorrow. 500 mb patterns getting stuck in place for extended periods of time have been one of the prime features of the 2000's. On 4/17/2016 at 6:01 PM, doncat said: An amazing 73.50" of precip here in 2011, including 21.50" in August and over 25" during the 30 day period from around 8/6 thru 9/6. The greatest deluge that I ever experienced was 8/14/11 when Long Beach got over 10 inches of rain in a short time. It was the first time that the flooding was so bad from rainfall that it was hard to get off the barrier island. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted April 17, 2016 Share Posted April 17, 2016 On 4/17/2016 at 6:10 PM, bluewave said: Yep..at some point in the future.. 500 mb patterns getting stuck in place for extended periods of time have been one of the prime features of the 2000's. The greatest deluge that I ever experienced was 8/14/11 when Long Beach got over 10 inches of rain in a short time. It was the first time that the flooding was so bad from rainfall that it was hard to get off the barrier island. I don't think it's debatable that the earth's climate is warming and changing overall. The part about whether it's natural or there are man made influences is however. Really since 1997 on, we have seen some very extreme events be it heat, cold, enso's, sea ice, snowcover, storms and oceanic decadal changes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted April 17, 2016 Share Posted April 17, 2016 Here's a video I took during the Red Bulls game in Denver last night. The snow was pushing at that point. By the end of the game, I'd estimate there was about 2 inches on the field, and about 7 inches on the sidelines where the field was left unshoveled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 17, 2016 Share Posted April 17, 2016 On 4/17/2016 at 7:56 PM, snowman19 said: I don't think it's debatable that the earth's climate is warming and changing overall. The part about whether it's natural or there are man made influences is however. Really since 1997 on, we have seen some very extreme events be it heat, cold, enso's, sea ice, snowcover, storms and oceanic decadal changes... Yeah, these stalled atmospheric waves have been a significant part of our 2000's weather patterns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 Beautiful stretch we have been on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted April 18, 2016 Author Share Posted April 18, 2016 Islanders... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eduardo Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 On 4/18/2016 at 4:16 AM, Rjay said: Islanders... Yes yes yes!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 On 4/18/2016 at 11:35 AM, bluewave said: 0z OP Euro fun run says congrats to JB on April 26th has it has some Central PA festivities. You have to love some of these operational Euro runs past 5 days this year. Nasty backdoor cold front on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 On 4/18/2016 at 1:31 PM, Snow88 said: Nasty backdoor cold front on the Euro Interior sections of the Northeast could see another freeze if the backdoor is that strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 On 4/18/2016 at 5:20 PM, bluewave said: Interior sections of the Northeast could see another freeze if the backdoor is that strong. use the day 5+ euro at your own risk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 On 4/18/2016 at 5:25 PM, bluewave said: All the other guidance and ensembles are showing the same thing so we are good to go for a pesky backdoor set up when people will be hoping for more spring. The GFS is also coming around to the set up now. gfsNE_sfc_temp_165.gif After the November - early April blowtorch, you knew this was going to happen... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mriceyman Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 What would we be looking at for daily highs in that setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 On 4/18/2016 at 6:50 PM, mriceyman said: What would we be looking at for daily highs in that setup Looks like 60s to me. Water temps are rising into the 50s now as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 Euro and gfs says enjoy this warmth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 On 4/18/2016 at 6:09 PM, snowman19 said: After the November - early April blowtorch, you knew this was going to happen... Typical for spring here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 On 4/18/2016 at 7:22 PM, Snow88 said: Euro and gfs says enjoy this warmth They both have 60s. 60s are fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 On 4/18/2016 at 7:23 PM, ag3 said: They both have 60s. 60s are fine. If it'll be in the 60s then what's the big deal. Isn't that normal until early May anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 On 4/18/2016 at 7:39 PM, SnoSki14 said: If it'll be in the 60s then what's the big deal. Isn't that normal until early May anyway? Not sure what the big deal is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 It might be nice during the day, bit the 12z GFS shows more frost/freeze potential in the suburbs this weekend. 850s are -5C with a big high overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 On 4/18/2016 at 7:49 PM, nzucker said: It might be nice during the day, bit the 12z GFS shows more frost/freeze potential in the suburbs this weekend. 850s are -5C with a big high overhead. I'm at 10 nights 32F or below for April (same as March now). I'm interested to see how many nights I can get <32F. I had 5 consecutive nights of frost/freeze this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 On 4/18/2016 at 9:30 PM, Isotherm said: I'm at 10 nights 32F or below for April (same as March now). I'm interested to see how many nights I can get <32F. I had 5 consecutive nights of frost/freeze this week. I think 32° or below is going to be tough from here on out. From Tuesday night to Saturday night I had all 38° or below temps, with two Freeze warnings and two Frost advisories (Friday night didn't have any advisories, but it was still 37°). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 56F now at the entrance to the NY Harbor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 18, 2016 Share Posted April 18, 2016 Texas is adding to its already crazy rainfall totals and flash flooding over the last year. 17.6" of rain in parts of Houston metro today. More totals across SE Texas here: goo.gl/2rA4Oz #houwx pic.twitter.com/7jK2XOKTuI View photo · Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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