blizzardof96 Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 0z NAM looks very bad N of Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 0z NAM looks very bad N of Toronto. Yeah... Over an inch of ice and its not done at this hour. Edit: Done at hour 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Yeah... Over an inch of ice and its not done at this hour. That'd be a bullseye for my backyard. Would be brutal here, many above-ground lines around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Total snowfall. Ice slipped south on the this run further west. Could be an issue with powerlines and trees, but probably not roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 That'd be a bullseye for my backyard. Would be brutal here, many above-ground lines around. Although it isn't the most likely scenario ATM(even half these amounts would be damaging), it shows what can happen if the low tracks a little further south than modelled. Nonetheless, this looks overdone. Accretion rate should be reduced during the day under sfc temps near 0c. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 MPX should just pull the watch now and replace it with 'partly cloudy'. The ship has sailed for MSP. Might not even see a flake here just north of St. Paul. Anyone in SE MN need a snowblower tomorrow? I have gas left in the tank that I need to burn off. I'll take a road trip, you buy the beer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Probably trees would accrete the ice a bit better than any other surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Yeah... Over an inch of ice and its not done at this hour. Edit: Done at hour 54. Oh my G.... Really hoping that doesn't verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OntarioChaser Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Wow. That's an incredible ice storm for Cambridge, KW, Guelph, Hamilton and into GTA. Nails my area in northern Hamilton on the countryside (near Freelton on highway 6) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted March 23, 2016 Author Share Posted March 23, 2016 Big cut off on the north side again.... typical of this year's setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Oh my G.... Really hoping that doesn't verify. Ice gets going at 6z it looks like and continues into the night. --- Regarding the front, it looks like it is over 2 1/2 hours ahead of the EURO schedule as it approaches downtown Chicago. Down to 40°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 You swallowed the hook when GRR reeled you in huh? Look on the bright side we are only 8 months away from your first real snowfall of the season No...I fell for yet another Euro run! I thought it was silly for GRR to issue so early. But all week I have been hesitant about falling for any snow. It is a bitter pill to swallow seeing the heavy snow probably missing me not far to the north, while all winter it missed not far to the southeast. My area may end up being one of the least snowy in MI for this winter. Should I fall for it again and say that the most recent NAM runs and RAP look better for a several inches of snow? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 0z RGEM looking more bullish as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 0z RGEM looking more bullish as well. Yeah, scary stuff. We were able to accrete ice fairly efficiently during the April 2003 storm during the daylight hours, but temps were well below freezing. Marginal temps here may save us from something truly devastating. edit: that is saved at least along the Lk Ontario shoreline. E and NW of the city might still be crippled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 The RGEM has the snow band quite a bit farther south in Wisconsin as well. Looks like Milwaukee would get a couple of inches. At least the northern parts. Hopefully that would continue on over here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Yeah, scary stuff. We were able to accrete ice fairly efficiently during the April 2003 storm during the daylight hours, but temps were well below freezing. Marginal temps here may save us from something truly devastating. The variability in terms of p-type may help as well. The RGEM has quite a bit of SN/PL, before ZR takes over by 14z, continuing until 20-22z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Yeah, scary stuff. We were able to accrete ice fairly efficiently during the April 2003 storm during the daylight hours, but temps were well below freezing. Marginal temps here may save us from something truly devastating. edit: that is saved at least along the Lk Ontario shoreline. E and NW of the city might still be crippled. Accretion may not be as efficient as 2003 but looks like there's a feed of upper 20s/near 30 dews throughout most of it, so it may still get pretty nasty for anybody that's able to maintain zr for a prolonged period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Rochester and LaCrosse just obliterated on the 0z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Rochester and LaCrosse just obliterated on the 0z GFS. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bl5585 Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Here are some NAM 4KM ZR maps that show over an inch for anyone else who is curious: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Eastern Subforum Front almost to Hyde Park now. Should be a couple hours ahead of schedule for you Hoosier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Wow those ice progs from the NAM are horrible. I will have to let my friends up that way know, ugly stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
outflow Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Wow those ice progs from the NAM are horrible. I will have to let my friends up that way know, ugly stuff.Yeah.it would be a disaster around here if the that comes to pass. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Yeah.it would be a disaster around here if the that comes to pass.Didn't your area over toward GTA have a very bad ice storm recently too. I want to say a couple Christmases ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Winds are strengthening out of the NNE here. Down to 37° with a 20 mph wind, gusting in the upper 20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Didn't your area over toward GTA have a very bad ice storm recently too. I want to say a couple Christmases ago. Yeah we did back in December 2013, just before Christmas. Alot of people in the region were without power, with some up to a week. It was very scenic the next morning, but it left behind a huge mess. http://news.nationalpost.com/news/canada/toronto-ice-storm-2013-photos-from-the-gtas-winter-nightmare Temperatures and thermals are more marginal with this storm than that storm, so hopefully it ain't as bad as December 2013. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Hi res NMM and ARW to a lesser extent both bullish on secondary defo band FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Didn't your area over toward GTA have a very bad ice storm recently too. I want to say a couple Christmases ago. Now that was a storm! The sound of transformers and power lines blowing all day,and the snaps of trees falling apart is something I'll never forget. We weren't as devastated out this way as the GTA, but I believe 4,000-6,000 trees were destroyed in my area. The city was removing damaged trees for at least a year after. My parent had to wait about 11 months to get one removed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bl5585 Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 SPC pushed the slight area pretty far into Illinois. HRRR is also pushing up the temperatures tomorrow a bit on both sides of the front compared to GFS and NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 23, 2016 Share Posted March 23, 2016 Front making progress past Joliet now. EURO set up the F-Gen band just north of Milwaukee in the late morning. La Crosse to Manitowoc, Green Bay getting smoked. Deformation band more pronounced on this run. Gets going in N IL around 6pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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