smoof Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 One more bump south please, 12z GFS has 9" over MBY, 18" 20 miles north, 2" 20 miles south..... Riding this gradient is going to drive me insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Signs on some models besides the ECMWF of the front settling south to around I-80 in IL before buckling north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TravisWx Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 APN or bust. Almost want to road trip it up there just to celebrate with the local snowlovers. Lol none of the locals around here are celebrating this storm. We're all sick of it, even the snowlovers like myself. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 When I am riding the snow sleet line on numerous models its probably time for even GEOS to put up the flag... Dude, you're gonna be buried. You are ground zero for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Just looking aloft, clear cut trend in both the NAM/GFS the last 4 runs to slow down the wave and shift it further south. This helps to try to develop a secondary defo band for those on the southern fringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 When I am riding the snow sleet line on numerous models its probably time for even GEOS to put up the flag... Don't know what you're getting at here. I'm just tracking like everyone else posting in here. Enjoy your snowstorm. It looks like it will be epic. GEM is more or less the same track - goes over Hoosier. 12" line is sneaking into the MKX cwa a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 ECMWF's reputation has earned it a lot of respect. If it had been only the GFS or only the NAM with that scenario, less likely they would've sided with those...imo. I certainly agree with that thought. Still a bad decision, but if you are going to ride one hard, usually the euro is a good bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 And slightly colder 850's. GEM looks similar on the black and white maps. 999mb low over PIA at 48 hours. Near Erie at 60 hours; 999mb. DLL is going to be snowed in. I'd love this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Checked around and unless I missed something, only seeing 6-12" amounts in the watch/warning products. Want to see some swinging for the 1-2 feet fences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 The kids have no school thurs/fri...this could be a good thing. Such a nice day today too...going to look a lot different in 48hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 The kids have no school thurs/fri...this could be a good thing. Such a nice day today too...going to look a lot different in 48hrs. What's the news on the street? Anyone wanting to see snow... are people in a meltdown at all? I know the kids are always up for a snow day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Checked around and unless I missed something, only seeing 6-12" amounts in the watch/warning products. Want to see some swinging for the 1-2 feet fences. Yea, it's how they roll these products out. As a rule, I bet most see in the 8-10 inch range, but a swath will easily exceed a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 What's the news on the street? Anyone wanting to see snow... are people in a meltdown at all? I know the kids are always up for a snow day or two. Its like a June day today...sun out and the grass is green..i don't think people believe it. I'm in denial. GFS wants to drop temps to single digits Friday morning under this glacier...wouldn't surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Its like a June day today...sun out and the grass is green..i don't think people believe it. I'm in denial. GFS wants to drop temps to single digits Friday morning under this glacier...wouldn't surprise me. You're right. People don't believe it. We're likely going to miss the big snow here in the metro, but not many people seem to know that any snow is on the way. I just told my coworker to enjoy the sun and warmth today because tomorrow he might need to shovel a few inches. He looked like he was in shock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Yea, it's how they roll these products out. As a rule, I bet most see in the 8-10 inch range, but a swath will easily exceed a foot. Didn't used to be that way. I remember WSWarning for 10-20" across NMI for 11-11-95, and even 3-5-12 had that 18+ bullseye around Grand Traverse Bay. Concrete snow just doesn't stack very well. Case in point, the 11.4" I had in mby for the 2-29 storm. Had that been a normal 25*F snowfall, easily 15-18" storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RogueWaves Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Having said that, another marginal season storm this reminds me of was 11-5-90 when mby (just SE of TC) had 14" with 16 in Kalkaska and I think Lewiston was the jackpot with 18" of the heaviest tree-felling concrete you ever want to see. Forest looked like a disaster zone near my place, can't imagine the places hardest hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 12z Euro nudged south for those sweating the southern edge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 EURO tracks holds steady to last nights. Down I-70 to near Alton, IL. Freezing line from Kenosha to Rockford at 48 hours. MSP pretty much shutout now^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Difficult forecast for MSP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Ugh. Just 30 to 50 miles farther south please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowcaine Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Does the Euro show rain for Toronto? I really would prefer that. Looks like thermals are marginal. I would hate ZR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 @ T-snow. 12" line shifted 30 miles along the MS River and 15 miles north of Milwaukee. Maybe Saukville turned his magnet on. The new eurowx maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Riding the southern edge here so these little adjustments will be important for MBY. ThunderSnows graphic depicting the slow southern shift in the 500 vort was interesting. Would not have picked up on that based on 850 data and 2m air temps which largely haven't shifted a ton, via the GFS, over the past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 What's that sw-ne streak in IL...secondary def zone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Does the Euro show rain for Toronto? I really would prefer that. Looks like thermals are marginal. I would hate ZR Snow to ice to rain right along the lake shore. Hoosier quote: What's that sw-ne streak in IL...secondary def zone? Yeah, more or less. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 @ T-snow. 12" line shifted 30 miles along the MS River and 15 miles north of Milwaukee. Maybe Saukville turned his magnet on. The new eurowx maps. He loves snow and cold so much that he deserves the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxman23 Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Geos could you please post Ontario? Thanks!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Can anybody post the Euro' s cold rain accumulations for ORD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Geos could you please post Ontario? Thanks!! Look above about 4 posts. --- To the secondary defo band topic. If the colder air arrives a little sooner that snow area in IL would be beefed up a bit. EURO is showing that in the early evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxman23 Posted March 22, 2016 Share Posted March 22, 2016 Look above about 4 posts. --- To the secondary defo band topic. If the colder air arrives a little sooner that snow area in IL would be beefed up a bit. EURO is showing that in the early evening. Thanks!! I missed it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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