WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 The NAM is good with precip but we need it to slow down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 NAM is very mixed-baggy. I-95 is Rain to SN+ to Rain to SN- to Rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 I see the smarm butts did not learn from their last mistake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Very good discussion from Rayno here. http://videowall.accuweather.com/detail/videos/trending-now/video/2430839568001/east-coast-snowstorm-possible- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 93 was really cold the next day, did not get out of the upper 20's. Dont see that this time but also think that Monday will be quite windy and have a hard time exceeding 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 I see the smarm butts did not learn from their last mistake. Go on... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 lol Arent you two just precious. Married yet??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Arent you two just precious. Married yet??? Nothing compares to your evaporative smarm butt. Tenman the jumper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Don't look at the first LWX map lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Don't look at the first LWX map lol. Mount Holly's initial thoughts per their AFD...2-4 along and NW of I-95, 1-2 SE. Not jumping totally on the Euro idea just yet lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 NAM is very mixed-baggy. I-95 is Rain to SN+ to Rain to SN- to Rain... This all depends on rates, not how far northwest you are. Plenty of sub 20f dewpoints in PA for the storm to make it's own cold air. And we know it will wetbulb down into the 32-34f range people can stop saying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 What the hell is smarm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Mount Holly's initial thoughts per their AFD...2-4 along and NW of I-95, 1-2 SE. Not jumping totally on the Euro idea just yet lol. Maybe LWX doesn't have access to the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 What the hell is smarm? I love me some orange smarmalade Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 What the hell is smarm? Not sure. I was merely repeating his most eloquent verbiage lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Take the smarm to banter we have a non snowstorm to discuss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 I would be quite happy with a pasty couple inches. I would be quite happy with zero snow too. I am in full Spring mode. Kinda fun to have one last threat to track though. Its Happy hour, St Patty's day, and the 18z GFS is rollin! Doppelbock in hand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Take the smarm to banter we have a non snowstorm to discuss Don't be so smarmy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Take the smarm to banter we have a non snowstorm to discuss Yes sir!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Gfs too far north for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Gfs too far north for us. N MD and places around Mason-Dixon line still do okay... as well as W MD and NW VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 N MD and places around Mason-Dixon line still do okay... as well as W MDNo where near the Euro. http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2016031718&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=075 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 It will be colder this weekend, but much smarmer next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 18z GFS went way east. Hard to believe it with the Euro, UKIE, and EPS way west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Just one more inch to reach 40+ for 3rd winter in a row! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 18z GFS went way east. Hard to believe it with the Euro and EPS both way west.Looks like another model showdown (can't remember who won the last time, lol) Wonder why so much disparity? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Looks like another model showdown (can't remember who won the last time, lol) Wonder why so much disparity? I think the main difference and a critical difference is the 500 pattern. Euro in particular has the trough going negative tilt to our south and west which allows the surface low to deepen rapidly and closer to the coast. GFS is more progressive with the trough and then goes neutral to negative tilt too Far East. This leaves a weaker surface low and it doesn't get its act together until it's well east of the MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 GFS has 2 round deal, with the primary and then the coastal. both are dryer than 12z. Euro is actually further south with the precip at 54hrs than the GFS is It comes back north later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 I think the main difference and a critical difference is the 500 pattern. Euro in particular has the trough going negative tilt to our south and west which allows the surface low to deepen rapidly and closer to the coast. GFS is more progressive with the trough and then goes neutral to negative tilt too Far East. This leaves a weaker surface low and it doesn't get its act together until it's well east of the MA. I think I remember the GFS showing a similar solution a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 I think I remember the GFS showing a similar solution a few days ago. speaking of solution, how about that 2 foot snowstorm on March 30th on the 18z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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