showmethesnow Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 The 12Z GEFS is not quite as progressive with the trough (moving to the Euro?) and we are seeing the low's track respond by shifting inside its 06Z track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Very few had precip in here by 0z Sun. But we're still far enough out for a significant shift in timing. With that being said there really isn't much support for what the gfs spit out at 12z. I'm not sure why, but the GFS has been struggling over the last month. Its North American verification scores are in JMA territory. The para GFS has been better, but still not great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 12z UKIE at 72 72hrUKIE3-17-16.gif Thst is a 7am snow and that's the key. Starts at 5am, get some accumulation and can survive the daylight. Start earlier even better, start at 10am and disappointment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 There's never been a day with high temps 35 or lower so late at DCA so I wouldn't bet the Euro is warm. Of course it has a 6z temp in the 40s but still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Snow starts before 12z surface temps around 33-34. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 17, 2016 Author Share Posted March 17, 2016 mighty quiet in here. Can't be good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 not much change really maybe 3 hrs faster or so.. need to see hi res stuff Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 We get clobbered.. looks similar to 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 17, 2016 Author Share Posted March 17, 2016 We get clobbered.. looks similar to 00z. Ian wants to see the snow maps, stat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 wettest run yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 78 and 84 are nice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 mighty quiet in here. Can't be good Actually looks even better then the 00z at the 500's. Low is tucked in a little closer to the coast at 72 though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 EURO snowmap is lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Two big panels.. 1.4" liquid in DC.. pretty much same 95 and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 QPF: 1.4 DCA 1.4 BWI 1.2 IAD 0.7 Winchester 0.9 Westminister Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 What a 95 nuke job. Boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 17, 2016 Author Share Posted March 17, 2016 Two big panels.. 1.4" liquid in DC.. pretty much same 95 and east. gotta be some rain in there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 78 and 84 are nice... How does the track compare to the 00Z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 NE MD...Pummeled? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 This should be the best evaporational event this season, a solid 33% ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 WxBell weenie snow maps have 10" at DCA, 11" at BWI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 NE MD...Pummeled? lol Whew. I was getting worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 wettest run yet Will you please post the precip map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 gotta be some rain in there? probably to start for a bit... main event might be mostly snow if euro is right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 not much change really maybe 3 hrs faster or so.. need to see hi res stuff That's good news. GFS was a little slower. Moving toward each other in that regard I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 See GFS isn’t on board. I am going with 2” mby. Total guess just like my bracket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 WxBell weenie snow maps have 10" at DCA, 11" at BWI. Not to worry. DCA will measure out at 2" regardless of the total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowman. Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Will you please post the precip map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Las t 3 runs of Euro have been very similar overall. Slight shifting back and forth of the heavier snow area, but generally focused on I-95, a bit NW, a bit SE. In the end, expect areas along the fall line and NW should do the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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