Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 I have been talking to myself in here all morning about the coastal lol. Everyone is focused on today's mangled flakes. 12z GFS is closer. Euro already had some snow for tomorrow night in DE and SNJ.. I prefer to take my mangled non accumulating events one at a time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 I'm paying attention-- just wanted to see the rest of the 12Z suite come in. 12Z UKMET- a 999 mb low pretty close to the coast directly east of Ocean City MD at 6Z Monday morning. Yeah Ukie looked pretty good at 0z. Trending?? The resurrection of the Equinox storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 OMG think I saw a flake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Yeah Ukie looked pretty good at 0z. Trending?? The resurrection of the Equinox storm. LOL at the amount of liquid it's showing *after* 18Z tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
attml Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 44.0 degrees - Dewpoint 30 degrees - Rain with snowflakes mixed in Severna Park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Looks like all snow now, but just a light-moderate rate. No chance of stickage. If this was 6 weeks ago and 8 degrees cooler this might be a 1/2-inch per hour rate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 LOL at the amount of liquid it's showing *after* 18Z tomorrow. 12z Euro will be telling...UGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 LOL at the amount of liquid it's showing *after* 18Z tomorrow.Honestly pretty impressive lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Rain and wet flakes. 41 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Yeah Ukie looked pretty good at 0z. Trending?? The resurrection of the Equinox storm. Wow. I just clicked through the ukie panels. Heh. That's kinda legit. SNE violently approves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Legit wet snow quarter sized flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Wow. I just clicked through the ukie panels. Heh. That's kinda legit. SNE violently approves. Yeah the Europeans looked good for SNE overnight. And when I saw the Euro had decent qpf just to my east in DE I kinda got re-interested. WB snow maps had 4-5" from SBY up into DE and SNJ. CMC leading the way lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Hurray! 40 degree white missiles- the chase was worth it! Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Rain and snow. Nice puddles tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Not even drizzle here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Wow. I just clicked through the ukie panels. Heh. That's kinda legit. SNE violently approves.Did you check out the Ukie 850's? Nasso great at all for us. NE is a different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Interesting...just started precipitating here and its sleet. edit- now big snow flakes mixed with sleet. Was expecting just rain, but as I noted earlier my dew point has dropped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Had some fat flakes for a few minutes. All really based on intensity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Morning low: 40.1 High before precip moved in: 45.0 1:00pm with light rain mixed with wet flakes: 41.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Had some fat flakes for a few minutes. All really based on intensity. Yup. Kinda strange seeing these giant flakes falling with a temp of 41. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardNole Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Had a brief burst of mostly snow when the intensity was good, just a light mix now. I wonder what it's doing up in Cacoctin Park/Cunningham Falls area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poodleusier Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 OMG think I saw a flake. Down to 37 in my back yard, with snow mixing in rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Good write up PSU. You make good arguments here and it explained well. I think with a strong El Niño like we have had there are so many moving parts and factors that it's tough on any model. That said though out of all the guidance within 72-96 hours the GFS never had a negative tilt bomb like the euro, ukie or cmc. It actually painted a more proper picture at 500. The front runner being more dominant did come more into the picture yesterday but we shouldn't be terribly surprised as its been happening like this for weeks. I give the nod to the GFS on this one. I agree 100% and I'm busy at debate state champ tourney but seems there are interesting trends for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 I agree 100% and I'm busy at debate state champ tourney but seems there are interesting trends for tomorrow. Could be. I know they are excited in the NYC forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Puking wet snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 UKMET for DCA: http://meteocentre.com/models/get_mgram.php?stn=Washington&mod=ukmet&run=12&var=std〈=en&map=us Warm-ish at the surface of course, bottoming out at around 1C. -1C falling to -6C after 0Z Monday at 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Lol Subcompact sized snowflakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted March 19, 2016 Author Share Posted March 19, 2016 Wow. I just clicked through the ukie panels. Heh. That's kinda legit. SNE violently approves. Wait...maybe I'm back in..what's this nonsense?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Dumping golf balls out here right now. And instant stickage on grass once the rates pick up. Huge flakes right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Wait...maybe I'm back in..what's this nonsense??Might be false hope or it might be a trend with the second wave running the coast. Hard to say. Euro had it last night but it was east and weak. Now the cmc/ukie show a much more interesting version...Only chance you and I have is getting a good dose of ccb. Hope the euro ratchets things up in a few minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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