canderson Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 You will have no issuesThanks. Unsure if we should buy last minute Amtrak tix or drive to metropark. SFA game in NCAA tourney, reason for trip. looks to be at 1:40 pm thankfully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Thanks. Unsure if we should buy last minute Amtrak tix or drive to metropark. SFA game in NCAA tourney, reason for trip. looks to be at 1:40 pm thankfully. Rates so low I don't see any problems on roads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted March 19, 2016 Author Share Posted March 19, 2016 The low confidence maps from the NWS show the potential for some big upsides: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted March 19, 2016 Author Share Posted March 19, 2016 I think this is reasonably fair as Ralph clearly loves snow and certainly understands his meteorology...I need to add there are one or two others here who occasionally post just to be pains in the ass by refuting anything related to a potential snow event. I truly don't get why they bother as this is a snow lovers and extreme weather lovers board...Where else can we possibly find folks who share our crazy passion!? AhemIf you are speaking of me as the "occasional" poster, you should probably settle down. I've been posting here since Eastern days and before and started out on Tri State forum. Your posts are typically awful and have zero basis in scientific fact.This is not a snow lovers and extreme weather board, it is a weather board. Period.Good day Let's not get so high and mighty... just because you've been here longer than some of us doesn't mean you have more rights here: to say otherwise is the originalist fallacy. As I understand it snowwors2 is still a student so I feel we should encourage him to continue to improve his understanding of any and all topics related to weather. Most of us come here to exercise our weather tracking hobby in a way that's fun for us. A little bit of wish casting here and there is fine. To reduce this activity down to just its objective scientific facts without seeing the emotion and anticipation people place on the weather is an insult to the forecasting profession. I think we are one of the few subforums here that stay upbeat. If you can't take the weeniedom here go post someplace else that has a more professional atmosphere and avoid literally raining on other's snow parades. Until then let's ALL avoid the ad hominem attacks and insinuation. Finally, let's try not to take things to personally when people say things we don't agree with whether that be one way or another! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Latest guidance is less than an inch snow most of the region. If this were January I would be bummed but I was never really feeling this threat anyway plus it is late March now. Fits the seasonal trend perfectly....most systems aside from the blizzard were either a cutter or ots to the South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 This thing just went to hell overnight. From some slop to practically nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 This thing just went to hell overnight. From some slop to practically nothing.POOF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 POOF? Yep. And someone should kick the Euro...I think it's broken. I just want to be done w/this frustrating winter. Give me a cool Spring and moderate Summer and everything will be alright. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Well that was a fun week tracking this. A moderate threat to I'll maybe see some flakes! Just watched Ch. 6 Sowers said he's ready to take the 1-2 inch map down. I picked the euro, now my bracket is busted! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Well that was a fun week tracking this. A moderate threat to I'll maybe see some flakes! Just watched Ch. 6 Sowers said he's ready to take the 1-2 inch map down. I picked the euro, now my bracket is busted! Yeah, he wanted no part of the 1-2" graphic. Almost to the point where he felt bad giving the viewer wrong information. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Yep. And someone should kick the Euro...I think it's broken. The GFS definitely seemed to handle this one better than the foreign models did. Maybe it's the first one of Trumps "Make America Great Again" campaign promises... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Wth is the NAM doing? Warning criteria snows at S NJ shore points Monday morning?? 4-8" verbatim extreme S NJ. Definite tug West of developing slp as energy rounds base of trof and tries to go negative. So close to being even farther West on the NAM. The plot thickens? Or did we just get NAM'd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bluescat1 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Wth is the NAM doing? Warning criteria snows at S NJ shore points Monday morning?? 4-8" verbatim extreme S NJ. Definite tug West of developing slp as energy rounds base of trof and tries to go negative. So close to being even farther West on the NAM. The plot thickens? Or did we just get NAM'd? The NAM got the blizzard right, or at least predicted the NW. trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 They all excited about the RGEM showing 2-4" now, this thing is waffling around to the bitter end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GD0815 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 They all excited about the RGEM showing 2-4" now, this thing is waffling around to the bitter end the models are obviously having a lot of difficulty with this storm, my guess is the interaction of the two waves. 12z guidance has brought back the second wave in a big way so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 12z ukie/ggem (rgem)/nam/GFS back to a mostly Sunday night event My thoughts hold @ 6" range I will remain silent on all of my other comments (for now)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Ukie is 4-6" CMC 6-9" NAVGEM similar RGEM 2-4" The epic late season bomb is history but the football is being held once again for a moderate event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 I have an interesting observation: 43F here, with a few flakes of snow falling just now. Definitely cold enough aloft for snow, as advertised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 12z ukie/ggem (rgem)/nam/GFS back to a mostly Sunday night event My thoughts hold @ 6" range I will remain silent on all of my other comments (for now)! Good luck on the forecast. My thoughts are from 1" to 6" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 .....the football is being held once again for a moderate eventKick 'er in the teeth this time Charlie Brown! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted March 19, 2016 Author Share Posted March 19, 2016 Remember , kamu that cold air sinks! Where there is smoke there is fire. Where there are flakes there is cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Kick 'er in the teeth this time Charlie Brown! The video probably straightened that all out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 ECM not going for a moderate event. Not that it matters considering how despicable it's performance has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 What's timing looking like for start time? We'll be parking in Iselin to train to Brooklyn and should be back by 7ish to has back to PA. Wife wants to know what to roughly expect driving-wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Good luck on the forecast. My thoughts are from 1" to 6" here. Sounds accurate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Remember , kamu that cold air sinks! Where there is smoke there is fire. Where there are flakes there is cold. I do remember that. Haven't seen straight up snow at 43F too often. Although it is only a few flakes so far.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 What's timing looking like for start time? We'll be parking in Iselin to train to Brooklyn and should be back by 7ish to has back to PA. Wife wants to know what to roughly expect driving-wise. Nothing of significance until Sunday night, that is if the system comes together like a couple models indicate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Nothing of significance until Sunday night, that is if the system comes together like a couple models indicate.Thank you. I was thinking after sundown but I'm terrible at depicting timing from models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 UKMET/Canda vs the world. Who feels lucky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackhound Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 I do remember that. Haven't seen straight up snow at 43F too often. Although it is only a few flakes so far.... And just as I'm reading your post? Flurries arrive on the other side of Glen Mills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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