UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 The Euro has the exact same 13 inches as the last run. Euro gave NW areas MUCH more than previous run, basically same run but expanded heavier amounts with that crushing CCB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Do you think that could be a result of the Euro's bias of holding energy back? Or is that only in the SW? It used to be in the Southwest. I'm not sure if the new version has that bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 You need this to verify. The dynamics involved are just insane. The CCB would garuntee a heck of a storm Sent from my SM-G925V using Tapatalk Do you have a surface wind map you can post? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 The Euro has the exact same 13 inches as the last run. NYC and Long Island see less than NW areas. It doesn't mean you still don't get one heck of a storm. Just a case where the immediate coast might be 8-12" while the interior is 18-24". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Do you have a surface wind map you can post? This run has 45-50 kt gusts for Suffolk. The strongest winds are out near CC with gusts 60-70kt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 If areas near the coast pick up over 6" this late in the game then consider that a huge win. A foot or more would be nuts. Looks like we're also zoning in on this storm accuracy wise. Want to see it hold for at least another 24-36 hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 We may certainly have issues with power outages, downed trees and roof collapses if its going to be a wet snow along with the winds if those amounts come to fruition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 If areas near the coast pick up over 6" this late in the game then consider that a huge win. A foot or more would be nuts. Looks like we're also zoning in on this storm accuracy wise. Want to see it hold for at least another 24-36 hrs. It's amazing that we're talking about the potential for a blizzard within weeks of reaching 80 degrees two days in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Euro gave NW areas MUCH more than previous run, basically same run but expanded heavier amounts with that crushing CCB That is a pretty impressive look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 It's amazing that we're talking about the potential for a blizzard within weeks of reaching 80 degrees two days in a row. Even more amazing was TV Mets 3 weeks ago proclaiming " No More Snow" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 It's amazing that we're talking about the potential for a blizzard within weeks of reaching 80 degrees two days in a row. And probably after the storm. Looks like a big cutter will usher in more 70s (maybe 80F). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 And probably after the storm. Looks like a big cutter will usher in more 70s (maybe 80F). Yup, look for potential flooding around day 10 with the snow melt and rains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 The only real changes from the 00z run were downstream, which allowed more ridging to set up and allow the storm to really deepen on this run. Also, not how the precip shield is getting larger as we move up in time... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 The reason for the coast getting less snow this run seems to be where the banding sets up on the run-over NJ, rather than where there's too much warm air. These are impossible to nail down until the event begins. But the overall setup screams for an intense storm near the coast if the trough over the Plains can get its act together. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 I'm just waiting on Forkys input lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 The reason for the coast getting less snow this run seems to be where the banding sets up on the run-over NJ, rather than where there's too much warm air. These are impossible to nail down until the event begins. But the overall setup screams for an intense storm near the coast if the trough over the Plains can get its act together. Many here will be rooting for this to tick East over the next several runs while many others love it where it stands currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Question to the audience. Does the ukmet have a snow map and was it close to the EURO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Many here will be rooting for this to tick East over the next several runs while many others love it where it stands currently. 10" or a foot of snow in late March is nothing to sneeze at, much less 18". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 10" or a foot of snow in late March is nothing to sneeze at, much less 18". Sad thing is, 18" would put me close to my seasonal average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Sad thing is, 18" would put me close to my seasonal average. Sad thing is, 36" would put me close to my seasonal average Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 I'm just waiting on Forkys input lol He already stated yesterday that he likes the setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 He already stated yesterday that he likes the setup.I know I just wanted to see more input thats all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Six years ago almost to the day we had a similar setup that ended up missing OTS and a few days later we had this instead. One of my top 5 favorite storms of all time Day 9 Euro looks similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
marsplex Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Was just out getting my snow blower ready talking to some folks telling them about the coming storm, people think im nuts because "news12 is saying rain" and "You are nuts, its not going to snow" Yeah ok buddy. You will be the goof come Sunday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 10" or a foot of snow in late March is nothing to sneeze at, much less 18". I already have my first 40 degree and 40 inch winter. Going 40/50 would be the cherry on top of this winter of extremes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jason WX Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Expecting this storm to be stronger. SST anomlies are on fire Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 What was the timing on the euro? Was there any snow on Monday-Mobday afternoon or just Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Didn't see anything on the ukie? Euro solution? Hoping for one more nice event down here in coastal Monmouth county. Cheers⛄⛄⛄⛄⛄❄❄❄❄❄❄❄ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 What was the timing on the euro? Was there any snow on Monday-Mobday afternoon or just Sunday? Euro is a roughly a 20 hour event. Starts around mid day on Sunday and ends early Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Expecting this storm to be stronger. SST anomlies are on fire Nice NW displacement of the Gulf Stream for this time of year. If this goes neg tilt just 12 hrs faster, would strengthen more quickly further SW than 12z Euro has. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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