NEG NAO Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 The city must have money to burn. They are pre salting the side streets here in Brooklyn. It's 42 degrees lol Snow88 radioed into the Dept of Sanitation requesting it after after he saw the 18Z Nam - plows also on standby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tatamy Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 I think 1-3/2-4 is a good call But here is the Nam. I'm not bull****ting. Ant - I would bet no more than 1 - 3" for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 RGEM looks decent without seeing totals. Gets some moderate snows near MMU for a couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Ant - I would bet no more than 1 - 3" for NYC Most likely right. Just showing the run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 18z RGEM?Light snow maybe an inch or so NENJ/NYC. Less than 12z. 1-3" most of LI. 3-6" eastern LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 RGEM looks decent without seeing totals. Gets some moderate snows near MMU for a couple hours. Light snow maybe an inch or so NENJ/NYC. Less than 12z These two are different Rgem shifted slightly east. 1-2 for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Rgem is in line with HRRR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Rgem is in line with HRRR Agree. Quite similiar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Agree. Quite similiar. 20z HRRR cut way back. Hopefully not a trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 20z HRRR cut way back. Hopefully not a trend. Nowcast time anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 The 18z GFS is no different than the 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 KeithB, on 20 Mar 2016 - 5:42 PM, said:The 18z GFS is no different than the 12z Its actually a couple miles east, with a touch less precip. Bleh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Its actually a couple miles east, with a touch less precip. BlehActually it's much different. 12z was up to a few inches for NYC. 18z is less than 1 inch, unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 You're on the edge of a sharp cutoff. Take the under.Why is that, other than expecting the trend to continue in the same direction? I've been on the edge of sharp modeled cutoffs many times, and they most certainly can go either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Actually it's much different. 12z was up to a few inches for NYC. 18z is less than 1 inch, unfortunately Nice to see you WG...the storm appears to be fizzling; looks like an inch in NYC...and maybe up to 3 inches on Long Island. In other words, 42 pages for what amounts to practically a non-event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 NWS in Philly just put out an update at 5:55 pm, below. Still think the Turnpike may be the dividing line between minimal snow and some snow with <1" likely a bit west of the Turnpike and 1-2" likely along and just east of the Turnpike and 3" or more possible 15-25 miles east of the TPK. Still thinking we get 2" at my house on the colder surfaces. We'll see I guess. Would be amazed, though, if any snow is left after tomorrow afternoon. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ555 PM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM MONDAY MORNING/...A QUICK UPDATE HAS BEEN ISSUED TO ADJUST POPS UPWARD FASTERESPECIALLY ACROSS DELAWARE AND MUCH OF NEW JERSEY. WE ARE GETTINGREPORTS OF RAIN AND SNOW AND EVEN SOME SLEET EARLIER. THEREAPPEARS TO BE ENOUGH EVAPORATIVE COOLING AT THE ONSET ACROSSINTERIOR NEW JERSEY ESPECIALLY TO ALLOW FOR ALL SNOW TO START THENMORE OF A MIX OF WET SNOW AND RAIN. THE RAIN AND RAIN/SNOW MIXLOOKS TO CONTINUE FOR AWHILE LONGER BEFORE A TRANSITION TO MORESNOW AS THE EVENING PROGRESSES. THE WEATHER GRIDS WERE ALSOADJUSTED TO REFLECT THIS THINKING BETTER. A NEW SNOW MAP HAS ALSOBEEN POSTED TO THE WEB. TEMPERATURES, DEW POINTS AND WINDS WEREALSO TWEAKED BASED ON THE LATEST OBSERVATIONS THEN SOME BLENDINGIN OF THE LAMP/LAV GUIDANCE WAS DONE.THE HRRR RAMPS THINGS UP BETWEEN ABOUT 03Z AND 06Z WITH THE GREATESTAREAL COVERAGE THROUGH ABOUT 06Z. GUIDANCE STILL SUGGESTS THE BESTCHCS ARE THE FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST YOU GO. THERE LOOKS TO BE ASHARP CUTOFF TO THE WEST, BUT IT IS STILL UNCERTAIN AS TO EXACTLYWHERE THAT CUTOFF WILL BE. WE DO NOTE THAT THE DEW POINTS ARE MUCHMUCH LOWER ATTM THE FARTHER NORTH AND WEST ONE GOES. AS AN EXAMPLEAT 21Z, THE DEW POINT AT MOUNT POCONO WAS 3F WHILE AT GEORGETOWNIT WAS 38F.WITH NATURAL DIURNAL COOLING, A TRANSITION TO SNOW IS EXPECTED DURINGTHE EVENING HOURS. THIS CHANGE WILL BE ENHANCED WHERE PRECIP COMESDOWN HEAVIEST, WHICH HAS THE BEST CHC OF OCCURRING ALONG THECOAST. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT AS IS, WITHTHESE AREAS HAVING THE GREATEST CHC OF OBTAINING THE HIGHEST SNOWAMOUNTS. THE BULK OF THE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE ON NON-PAVEDSURFACES, HOWEVER SOME BANDING LATER THIS EVENING INTO THEOVERNIGHT WOULD ALLOW FOR ENHANCED SNOWFALL RATES FOR A TIME ANDTHIS IS WHEN AT LEAST SOME ACCUMULATION ON ROADWAYS CAN OCCUR. WEARE ANTICIPATING SNOW AMOUNTS TO REMAIN BELOW WARNING CRITERIA.http://forecast.weather.gov/product...&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 HRRR getting worse and worse. Now barely a half inch for NYC. Does this model tend to be accurate? In just a few hours it has gone from 2.5 to a half inch. Quite a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 HRRR getting worse and worse. Now barely a half inch for NYC. Does this model tend to be accurate? In just a few hours it has gone from 2.5 to a half inch. Quite a change. In the words of the immortal Michael Ray Richardson, "The ship be sinkin'" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Nice to see you WG...the storm appears to be fizzling; looks like an inch in NYC...and maybe up to 3 inches on Long Island. In other words, 42 pages for what amounts to practically a non-event. Hey Pam ! I'd be happy to see an inch from this one. Good luck out on the island. I think there is still the chance of seeing 3-6" there. I've actually had just over 500" of modeled snowfall this year, which is probably even more than east of Lake Ontario!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 In the words of the immortal Michael Ray Richardson, "The ship be sinkin'" All I needed was 3 for average. Just wasnt meant to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 Is this thing closer to the coast than advertised ? And more north and west ? I could be wrong but I think it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 The radar hallucinations have apparently begun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 The radar hallucinations have apparently begun. Yep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 I take it that's a " no " in your books,,,,,I stand corrected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 All I needed was 3 for average. Just wasnt meant to be. If the models really did not mean it I wish that they had told us so... Why do they keep us hangin' on these promises If there's Hell below... Where is the love? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 I take it that's a " no " in your books,,,,,I stand corrected Sorry. The answer is no IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 Not sure if this was mentioned...but the18z GFS was very snowy out over Long Island...that's 6 inches + in parts... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 21, 2016 Share Posted March 21, 2016 Nice to see you WG...the storm appears to be fizzling; looks like an inch in NYC...and maybe up to 3 inches on Long Island. In other words, 42 pages for what amounts to practically a non-event. Yes..it should be pinned? Damn I think i'm in the dry slot now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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