WintersGrasp Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 GGEM cut amounts in half for NENJ/NYC...areas further N and W have been cut down from 4-8" to 0-2". Model consensus for most of central and eastern Long Island, however, does appear to be around 4-8". Anyone have any model no one has ever heard of that can give us a major snowstorm? We need it right now UPDATE : got it.....The CRAS has shifted NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Not hi res.. Hi res looks like GFS, and RGEM Post it then. GGEM is fine for the coast and it has support from the Nam. Who knows, maybe the GFS was a blip run. We still have the Ukie and GEFS and GGEM ensembles to look at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 GGEM snow map shows about 5 for NYC, same as NAM. Back where I am I'd be happy to see 1 to 2. Just give me one last bit of accumulating snow before spring settles in for good. NAM, RGEM and GGEM give me that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 German model shows a good hit for the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Ukie and Navgem went further east. Looks like the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv.html we now have dividing lows one currently in the ohio valley and the upper level in missouri,explaining the push of moisture coming our way.. also of note the confluence is moving out as we speak,might still be interesting yet regardless of what the major models say esp if the radar starts blooming shortly,short range models might be the way to go from here on out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Ukie and Navgem went further east. Looks like the GGEM. We may be coming to more of a consensus now that this will be better for Long Island and New England then the immediate NYC metro and NJ. But due to the volatility involved here and small shifts either way can have large affects on the sensible weather I would not let our guard down completely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 GEFS further east We may be coming to more of a consensus now that this will be better for Long Island and New England then the immediate NYC metro and NJ. But due to the volatility involved here and small shifts either way can have large affects on the sensible weather I would not let our guard down completely. Looks like at least 2-4 for NYC with more towards LI and SNE. I will be happy with that if that's the case. Anyway, time for bed . Will check out the Euro in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Ukie? Not as good as earlier runs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 hrrr looks west but it's still in long range,still interesting to see though. cras is west also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Ukie shifted east but still good from NYC eastward. We need west trends to start soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Not as good as earlier runs.. That's the run from sat 00z not sun 00z, at least that's what showing up for me. 00Z Sunday looks a lot different than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Euro rolling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Euro rolling? Very similar to the 12z run. Nothing special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 3 inches for the city on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 OK will take 3 inches in cpk. 4 in queens &Brooklyn and 5-7 on Li. Reasonable. Let's see what today brings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Nam 12k and 4K went west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 The new RGEM was a bit wetter with around 3-4 near NYC. Really the RGEM hasn't changed a whole lot the last 3 runs as far as the mid levels and surface, the 00z run just had some notable dry spots QPF wise both here and in SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 is anyone seeing snow coming in earlier then expected??..that impulse in pennsylvania is starting to develop eastward now on radar,might be interesting to watch.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 is anyone seeing snow coming in earlier then expected??..that impulse in pennsylvania is starting to develop eastward now on radar,might be interesting to watch.. BX it was progged on the WPC maps go easy today my friend in about...12hrs about 6:00pm that's when the fun begins for tracking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Looks like every model except gfs has 2-4 inches for nyc with more to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Looks like every model except gfs has 2-4 inches for nyc with more to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 6z NAM was the outlier...extremely snowy to the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 NYC is locked in at 2"-4"/3"-6". It's nonsense that the boroughs won't accumulate. The bulk falls at night and temps below 31. It will accumulate on the streets as well if the qpf amounts exceed .5"-.75". Not just slushy coatings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Wow....35 pg's it gets late early here. You were once left out on 161st St? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Advisories up for Monmouth/Ocean/SE Burlington/Atlantic for 2-4". I'm just NW of that and hoping to get 2" in the Edison area - anything more is gravy on the first day of spring... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Advisories up for Monmouth/Ocean/SE Burlington/Atlantic for 2-4". I'm just NW of that and hoping to get 2" in the Edison area - anything more is gravy on the first day of spring... Be interesting to see the last time that your area had a 2-4 snow in March following the first 80 of spring. But this winter into spring is setting the standard for extremes of warmth and snow combined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Be interesting to see the last time that your area had a 2-4 snow in March following the first 80 of spring. But this winter into spring is setting the standard for extremes of warmth and snow combined. Mt. Holly had a nice historical summary about this for PHL this morning actually. This may be only the 7th time in history to get measurable snow after hitting 80. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Experimental HRRR 24, precip is about wrapped up by this point, 5am Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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