RU848789 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 One things you guys have to remember PWATS are much higher then during the heart of the winter. Someone's in for a big big big surprise. PWATS should only be a function of atmospheric temperature (thermodynamics is like that) and a winter storm is a winter storm, in these parts, usually, i.e., surface temps are usually near 32F and temps aloft are -10 to -20C in the dendritic snow growth region (yes, PWATs can be somewhat lower when it's really cold out, but most storms around here aren't that cold). PWATs are much higher in summer, due to much warmer temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 writings on the wall for this one, NE and LI special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 writings on the wall for this one, NE and LI special Nope..Edison, NJ is going to get drilled with snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 RGEM sucks for the fringe areas. Trust me. I have been kicked in the nutz all winter by it. 1-2" west of nyc on RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Now that I'm seeing precip printouts, rgem is UGLY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Nope..Edison, NJ is going to get drilled with snow. I suggest you go out to Riverhead or Coastal Ocean co, not Edison. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 1-2" west of nyc on RGEM.Precip so light it's not even funny... This will not amount to much more than a slushy dusting or white rain west of NYCI mean we're talking .15 in 3 hrs.. NO way that's accumulating to 10:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Precip so light it's not even funny... This will not amount to much more than a slushy dusting or white rain west of NYC probably will be your biggest snowfall of the season lol.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Precip so light it's not even funny... This will not amount to much more than a slushy dusting or white rain west of NYC 1-2" in 6 hours ain't gonna cut it. Hopefully other runs tonight pull through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 probably will be your biggest snowfall of the season lol.. Oh it absolutely will!!! I'm going to cape cod at 7am lmao... I'll have a blast I'm sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 probably will be your biggest snowfall of the season lol.. It's probably to light to even accumulate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 It's probably to light to even accumulate. I think he was attempting to poke fun, but I'll probably see the most snow anyway on the cape...fingers crossed, haven't seen more than 2.9" in a day lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Now that I'm seeing precip printouts, rgem is UGLY It's 2"-4" for NYC and boroughs. 1"-2" west. 4"-6" on LI and coastal NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 It's 2"-4" for NYC and boroughs. 1"-2" west. 4"-6" on LI and coastal NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 I think he was attempting to poke fun, but I'll probably see the most snow anyway on the cape...fingers crossed, haven't seen more than 2.9" in a day lmao Pretty grateful the blizzard happened here. Other than that highest I've recieved was 2.5". Really bad winter for NW sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 probably will be your biggest snowfall of the season lol.. I'll be sure to send ya a few pics from Chatham Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Wow....35 pg's it gets late early here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Alright. This gfs run will be call for Long Island and the city. Best of luck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Looks like the RGEM is about 1.5-2.5" for the city and NE NJ....NAM about 2-3". SREFs are a bit more, but almost always overdone. GFS not nearly as impressive as 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Nothing like tracking snow and arguing over how much on the first day of Spring. Bring it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 No real changes on GFS through 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 GFS isn't gonna be a head jerker Western shield looks more restricted than 18z, low locations about the same so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 The west trend is over here. 1-3 is a good call for the metro..and that's pushing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Looks like we have consensus at this point. 1 inch or less for NNJ, 1-2" for NYC, 2-3" for Nassau County, 3-7" for Suffolk County, west to east. My call: NYC 1.3 JFK 1.7 ISP 3.5 EWR - 0.2 HPN - 0.2 BDR - 3 FOK - 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Looks like we have consensus at this point. 1 inch or less for NNJ, 1-2" for NYC, 2-3" for Nassau County, 3-7" for Suffolk County, west to east. My call: NYC 1.3 JFK 1.7 ISP 3.5 EWR - 0.2 HPN - 0.2 BDR - 3 FOK - 7 Most reasonable post I've seen in hours.. I would agree with this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Just not seeing big snows in Edison Nj off the gfs. Few slushy inches on Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Gfs is about 3-5 for Long Island 1-2 for NYC, nothing for NW, some showers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 GFS nearly identical to the 12z run from earlier today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEXtreme Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 Looks like we have consensus at this point. 1 inch or less for NNJ, 1-2" for NYC, 2-3" for Nassau County, 3-7" for Suffolk County, west to east. My call: NYC 1.3 JFK 1.7 ISP 3.5 EWR - 0.2 HPN - 0.2 BDR - 3 FOK - 7 Models still jumping back and forth... Doesn't sound like "consensus" to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted March 20, 2016 Share Posted March 20, 2016 One inch for the city on the GFS. That's like zero. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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