Animal Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 He probably has a shot . I am driving to Edison & Fords, NJ at 11 PM tomorrow night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 If this was football, the EPS would be overatted. It's been wrong multiple times, and less than 48 hrs ago had 2 feet plus for NW sections. Wouldn't be riding it, especially for this complex storm. What would you ride ? RGEM GEFS UKMET CANADIAN ? Let me know, so I can post it . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 What am I missing. ..nam gfs and euro are nothing to light wet snows...yet once again people rally around the snowier models and disregard the big 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 What am I missing. ..nam gfs and euro are nothing to light wet snows...yet once again people rally around the snowier models and disregard the big 3The NAM is not part of the big three...people also disregard that trends at H5 been positive for the most part (at least for the NAM). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 What am I missing. ..nam gfs and euro are nothing to light wet snows...yet once again people rally around the snowier models and disregard the big 3 Evidently a lot The big 3 are the Euro/UKMET/GFS. Here you go , Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 All I need is 1.2" to get to 40 inches should happen tomorrow As long as the Central Park guys aren't taking the measurement for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 I will ignore the snowier models such as the Canadian and the NAVGEM since they suck . But I will not ignore the " big 3 " EURO on LI Hour 42 850`s -3 BL 32 .3 FALLS Hour 48 850`s - 7 BL 31 .3 FALLS That`s better than light wet snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 The RGEM is about 3 in NYC 4-5 LGA and JFK, 6-8 central Nassau into most of Suffolk with some 10s near the east end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 It's definitely going to snow. Just matter of how much? Does Central Park get 2-5 or 4-8 is the question. Trending towards 4-8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 The RGEM is about 3 in NYC 4-5 LGA and JFK, 6-8 central Nassau into most of Suffolk with some 10s near the east end Agree , .8 runs from Asbury Park to Islip and then points E . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 The RGEM is about 3 in NYC 4-5 LGA and JFK, 6-8 central Nassau into most of Suffolk with some 10s near the east end Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Agree , .8 runs from Asbury Park to Islip and then points E . Can't fight the seasonal pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 GFS is more amped @ H5 and the trough is much more neutral thru 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Can't fight the seasonal pattern. mssdpt_northeast_feb16.png Even this maps not accurate, I'm wayyyyyy more than 30+ below my season averageLol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Gfs is west and a good hit for nyc and coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Gfs improved. Especially for east of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Even this maps not accurate, I'm wayyyyyy more than 30+ below my season average Lol I'm at average , so pretty darn accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 GFS gonna be another good run for Long Island, I think we all know we're this ones going.... Time to accept it guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Even parts of jersey do well on GFS, much more expansive precip in terms of heavier returns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 THE BIG 3 LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 The GFS is 3-5" for the NYC area, 5"+ for most of LI, and even 2-4" for much of NNJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 GFS says hold onto your hats, first run I've seen sub 1000mb.. Much stronger therefore more expansive... H5 was wayyy better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Timing of the snow is getting later in the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 In case anyone hasn't noticed, as sometimes happens, significant discrepancies exist between the NWS office in NYC and Philly, with the NYC office issuing advisories for 2-4" of snow from just east of NYC through central Suffolk County and a watch for eastern LI for 4-7" of snow; they also predict 1-3" for NYC and most of NE NJ. In contrast, the NWS in Philly, on their snowfall map has nowhere with more than 1", even in areas adjacent to the NYC office counties. They also don't have the 4-6" amounts or even the 2-4" amounts on LI extending SW into Monmouth/Ocean, which I would expect, if they were being consistent. Difficult for both to be correct, unless coastal NJ is just warm enough for mostly rain, which is possible, as it's further south and temps will be borderline. Usually, they correct these before issuing forecasts, but not always, especially this far in advance. Anyway, here are the maps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 I cannot wait to see if the GEFS is a bit west of opp. Again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saturn510 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Warlock every model except the nam gives you Atleast 4 inches in Middlesex county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 h5 continues to improve on the gfs also. this is not far from something bigger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 whats the timing of this event? does most come during night hrs? im down on coastal monmouth county. not thinking it will stick too much too roads. debating putting plows on trucks. should i or not? input is appreciated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 THE BIG 3 LOL And they dont show much for me..2-3 inches in a marginal situation..im not the coast...sorry for the imby but I dont live in nyc or li or coastal jersey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Warlock every model except the nam gives you Atleast 4 inches in Middlesex county I am in Somerset. .and again marginal situation with rates so 3 inches could be half that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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