BxWeatherwatcher Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 "even the losers get lucky sometimes" --T Petty-- something tells me this thing is going to take another jog northwest. squarely putting us in the warning criteria snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 GFS looks like its coming west Let me guess GFS tryin to pull us back in with 3-5 for the coast?? Its called mather nature sadism! Just when we give up hope she says come back this way, only to break our hearts once more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 GFS is west, looks like a few inches for the coast more for eastern LI/ SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/srefplumes/ The plumes are a joke. The higher totals which you say are 8 inches have snow for tonight. That's a joke. You have to look with your eyes not your heart. for good measure the sref!.plumes have been going up since last night.several clusters at 8 or more inches for parts of n.y.c,3-5 looks good for now. i would'nt say that,most trends today have been in the right direction my friend.overall i'm happy to be still following winter weather in the spring on here.lets just watch what happens and enjoy!.lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 something tells me this thing is going to take another jog northwest. squarely putting us in the warning criteria snows. Juice Pool http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Juice Pool looking mighty interesting there,a transfer to the coast,rapid bombogenesis even with those above average warm anomalies off the coast right now.def still a possibility here of something major amigo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 looking mighty interesting there,a transfer to the coast,rapid bombogenesis even with those raging hot sst's off the coast right now still a possibility here.No, no it's not a possibility. Only in dreams lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Northern 500mb now interacts with the ULL at Hr. 48. Might be too late for us, but only the Euro had that a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 No, no it's not lol I said possible not definite..LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Northern 500mb now interacts with the ULL at Hr. 48. Might be too late for us, but only the Euro had that a few days ago. Northern 500mb now interacts with the ULL at Hr. 48. Might be too late for us, but only the Euro had that a few days ago. your spot on with this,although we still don't know how this plays out.as we all know weather is the lifeforce of chance! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 GFS was still only 1" max unless your on Long Island. terrible 850 temps (between 0 and -3 and peak with light precip only and marginal 2mt temps that are really never even below freezing during precip.... GFS is white rain for anyone west of central Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 not worth much ..but still fun to extrap with small jogs north and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 GGEM coming west as well sheesh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Looks like a couple inches out this way. Should put me over 40 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Looks like a couple inches out this way. Should put me over 40 Your in better spot than us lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Ag3 was correct, hate to admit it.. Looking at the vapor loop from 2 days ago.... It screamed OTS solution I'm not sure the overall long wave pattern screams ots as much as the way this system came out in peices screwed up the ability for it to phase. The euro/uk/cmc badly messed up on the frontrunner wave effecting the mid Atlantic today. That didn't even exist on the euro 48 hours ago and some places are getting .5-.75 qpf from it now down there. That wave screws up the setup behind it flattening things just enough behind it and competing for energy, never good. So the upper support comes in Sunday to a less favorable setup to pop a storm with an already used up boundary and a low offshore. Pulling that back or fighting with it to pop a new low on its heels is way harder then the cyclogenesis scenario that lead to the big storm idea. That seems to be the big difference IMO but there are certainly so many permutations and minor factors that go into it that I may be identifying the wrong main culprit. ETA: I'm talking about why things trended east it won't shock me if things do trend back some now as models resolve the trade off between the wave today and whatever happens as the upper level trough approaches tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Wow ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 The question of the day, does the westward shift that a few of the models are showing so far continue? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Your in better spot than us lmao Well you are in a bad spot for most scrapers. It happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Wow ggem jeesh it was about time bud!..welcome back to the party lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Wow ggemhow much does it drop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 The RGEM is interesting but given its still beyond its best range and the GGEM has been crazy all winter I won't be too intrigued til the UKMET and Euro come west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 how much does it drop GGEM is warning snows for everyone, even immediate interior Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Well you are in a bad spot for most scrapers. It happens no kidding,im in the bronx and i'm pretty close to 35 inches for the season.1 big storm and nickle and dime got me there this winter lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Please do not hug this model..it has t had a consistent run yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Wow is right. UKMET is next...the ggem just has no consistency tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 well it's gd to see some model support for my optimistic opinion earlier.i was on the fringe of getting called a hype man on here lol..but let me add 1 more model to this mix,the one that has been consistent for 5 straight days and never mentioned.the brams model!! lmao http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=usus&MODELL=brams&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=pr06&HH=48&ZOOM=1&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 You can't make this sh** up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 You can't make this sh** up lol Too bad it has no support and has been horribly inconsistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxWeatherwatcher Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 You can't make this sh** up lol explains why a lot of the srefs are going up as we get closer to the event.the trends today remind me of the blizzard that almost was, then wasn't,and then boom,it hits hard!! lol..gd stuff though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.