UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Actually really amazed... Euro, eps, ukie.. Locked in for a couple days... Cave job to the GFS inside 60hrs..... Winter 2016 FTL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 GFS is terrible. Goodnight. Ukie is further east and weaker. Goodnight. LOL..and I am betting you will say the same thing after the Euro, goodnight means you don't come back to say the same thing twice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Bring on the heavy rain and severe weather. Not seeing much of either. Gfs is warm and dry moving forward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Tired of the let downs. Atleast we got the blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 9-10mm on the Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 9-10mm on the UkieTranslates to in inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Translates to in inches? Ukie is 2-4" at 10:1 ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 At least GGEM and Ukie have most of the snow falling at night. That would at least give us a chance to pick up a few inches. But you can see they're backing off, so I'm wondering if they will keep backing off until they get to the point of showing very little like GFS-NAM show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Translates to in inches? FYI if anyone looks at the Ukie meteogram vs the total precip map, they don't match. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Translates to in inches? 10 mm is .39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 10 mm is .39 The MAM has a 100% verification score if this, or anything verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 The 00z Euro run is a horror show. NADA! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Weenieish I know, but I can't see how this thing goes east given the setup, and the SSTs. Well, I was very wrong two days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 And just like I figured the GFS at around the 48 hour mark has finally come around to the closest idea yet that the EURO AND UKIE have Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 And just like I figured the GFS at around the 48 hour mark has finally come around to the closest idea yet that the EURO AND UKIE haveThe Euro was basically nothing last night. White rain, non event and the Ukie went way east and weaker than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 The upgraded Euro that was again recently upgraded needs another upgrade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 The upgraded Euro that was again recently upgraded needs another upgrade. How do you go from 12-18 inches of snow to cloudy skies? How is that possible??? Absolute embarrassment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 The Euro was basically nothing last night. White rain, non event and the Ukie went way east and weaker than 12z It wasn't as bad as people make it out to be, if it shifted even 60/70miles west Long Island would see decent snow amounts for late Marcg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Wow what an epic failure by the euro and eps.It looked like every model was trending towards a huge storm until the gfs hopped off and never showed one. GFS ftw . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 It doesn't pay to get invested in snowfall amounts beyond 24-48 hrs. You knew something was fishy when the Euro had the jackpot west of NYC and lower amounts at the coast and none of the storms followed that pattern this year. You would think in march that inland areas have a better chance. What a fail of a winter for inland areas. This storm looked like it was going to deliver a big punch for everyone. It would have been cool to get a big snowstorm the same days as 1958. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 It doesn't pay to get invested in snowfall amounts beyond 24-48 hrs. You knew something was fishy when the Euro had the jackpot west of NYC and lower amounts at the coast and none of the storms followed that pattern this year. Ag3 was correct, hate to admit it.. Looking at the vapor loop from 2 days ago.... It screamed OTS solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Ag3 was correct, hate to admit it.. Looking at the vapor loop from 2 days ago.... It screamed OTS solution Most of us got suckered in by the euro eps ukie and ggem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 You would think in march that inland areas have a better chance. What a fail of a winter for inland areas. This storm looked like it was going to deliver a big punch for everyone. It would have been cool to get a big snowstorm the same days as 1958. This one was always OTS or a coastal hit. The pattern never supported an inland hit. Trough orientation and especially the positions of the block and 50/50 were not ideal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 This one was always OTS or a coastal hit. The pattern never supported an inland hit. Trough orientation and especially the positions of the block and 50/50 were not ideal. I was called a weenie by many because I said that the storm wasnt going to go inland because of the pattern . I thought we had a chance with this. The pna ridge is also a big problem with this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Ag3 was correct, hate to admit it.. Looking at the vapor loop from 2 days ago.... It screamed OTS solution The stupid 50/50 was too far south and the confluence associated with it interacted too much with the lead wave and dampened the heights along the east coast. Because of that, the main wave could not slow down to give the northern vort a chance to fully phase until well past our latitude. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Might actual go to my in laws, they have a summer house in Chatham, MA out on the cape... Looks to be a good place for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 I was called a weenie by many because I said that the storm wasnt going to go inland because of the pattern . I thought we had a chance with this. The pna ridge is also a big problem with this storm. Western ridge is fine. That wasn't the issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Clusters from 5:00am EDT just because ....oh well you get the drift! let's root for a wild pitch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19, 2016 Share Posted March 19, 2016 Western ridge is fine. That wasn't the issue. Not the best. Rather see it rising then dropping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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