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Possible 3/20-3/21 Coastal Storm


Zelocita Weather

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This is really going to have tick west ( 75-100 miles) to overcome what obviouslyis half of the storm comin during the day ( initially looked like all night event). Hopefully the EPS is a sign of continuing improvement and we continue to see 18 Z carry the torch.

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EPS has very very very warm members that are almost inland and some that tuck into the coast.

I highly doubt that happens.

 

It throws off the whole mean. It's clear the trend is coastal jackpot or Out to seas completely. I highly doubt any of the coastal hugging solutions come to fruition.

 

We are inside of 60 hours now. Not 96 hours.

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EPS has very very very warm members that are almost inland and some that tuck into the coast.

I highly doubt that happens.

 

It throws off the whole mean. It's clear the trend is coastal jackpot or Out to seas completely. I highly doubt any of the coastal hugging solutions come to fruition.

 

We are inside of 60 hours now. Not 96 hours.

It's not just the track of the SLP. It's also the intensity of the storm. Yesterday the Euro was throwing back over an inch of liquid into E PA with a track near the BM.

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It's not just the track of the SLP. It's also the intensity of the storm. Yesterday the Euro was throwing back over an inch of liquid into E PA with a track near the BM.

 

Yep. Way to much focus on the fact that its closer to the coast. The fact remains its a very weak system now and coming during the day. 

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Yep. Way to much focus on the fact that its closer to the coast. The fact remains its a very weak system now and coming during the day. 

I still think we're going to see significant changes over the next four runs and I haven't totally bought into the weaker solutions yet.

 

In any event, I'm almost positive the SREF mean is being grossly inflated because of ARW11.

 

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