IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 The Euro is coming in more amped up. I don't think it's going to be a major shift, but it's weaker with that far Eastern convection which is good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 5:10 PM, yhbrooklyn said: Just to set expectations about how rare this would be... There have been a total of fourteen 6"+ snowstorms after March 15 at KNYC since records began in 1869. The last one was 24 years ago. There has never been a foot+ and only four have been over 10". We should be thrilled if we get 2-3". 1875-04-12 - 10.0" 1890-03-19 - 6.0" 1892-03-17 - 8.0" 1915-04-03 - 10.2" 1917-04-08 - 6.5" 1924-04-01 - 8.5" 1938-04-06 - 6.4" 1944-04-05 - 6.5" 1956-03-16 - 6.7" 1956-03-18 - 11.6" 1958-03-20 - 11.8" 1967-03-22 - 9.0" 1982-04-06 - 9.6" 1992-03-19 - 6.2" 1890 from the NY Tribune... http://chroniclingam...-20/ed-1/seq-1/ http://chroniclingam...-20/ed-1/seq-2/ 1892 from the NY Tribune... http://chroniclingam...-19/ed-1/seq-5/ http://bklyn.newspap.../image/50461371 1924... http://fultonhistory...cale - 2264.pdf http://fultonhistory...cale - 2266.pdf 1915... http://chroniclingam...-04/ed-1/seq-1/ http://chroniclingam...-05/ed-1/seq-1/ http://bklyn.newspap...image/54333374/ http://bklyn.newspap.../image/54333375 http://bklyn.newspap...image/54333396/ http://bklyn.newspap.../image/54333401 1944 from the Brooklyn Eagle... http://fultonhistory...cale - 1387.pdf http://fultonhistory...cale - 1401.pdf 1938 in Brooklyn... http://fultonhistory...cale - 2882.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 The ULL energy is quite a bit stronger and more consolidated so it won't be as susceptible to getting shunted East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 Well...we might have a BINGO here. Light to moderate snow overspreading the region on Sunday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 The problem is, we're talking like 0.10" LE per hour rates during the day in late March with a marginal BL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 Light snow for the area Sunday evening 1001 off the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 Euro is west of 0z. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 Yep game set match. GFS wins this is nothing more then some light wet snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 This is definitely better than 00z all around though. It's going to clobber New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 1-3/2-4 if where lucky on the euro. The low is very weak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 5:10 PM, yhbrooklyn said: Just to set expectations about how rare this would be... There have been a total of fourteen 6"+ snowstorms after March 15 at KNYC since records began in 1869. The last one was 24 years ago. There has never been a foot+ and only four have been over 10". We should be thrilled if we get 2-3". 1875-04-12 - 10.0" 1890-03-19 - 6.0" 1892-03-17 - 8.0" 1915-04-03 - 10.2" 1917-04-08 - 6.5" 1924-04-01 - 8.5" 1938-04-06 - 6.4" 1944-04-05 - 6.5" 1956-03-16 - 6.7" 1956-03-18 - 11.6" 1958-03-20 - 11.8" 1967-03-22 - 9.0" 1982-04-06 - 9.6" 1992-03-19 - 6.2" March 15-16th 1896 had a 12" storm before it changed to rain...Brooklyn got 11.5"... 1896 storm from the NY Sun... http://chroniclingam...-17/ed-1/seq-1/ http://bklyn.newspap.../image/50337497 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 6:05 PM, IsentropicLift said: This is definitely better than 00z all around though. It's going to clobber New England. It's just .50+ for them the exact same for NYC Very weak overall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 Just takes a little too long to develop. But it doesn't have that doubled barreled look. I think we're still a ways from the final outcome. NYC is somewhere around 0.60" LE. 0.25"+ LE goes back to NW NJ. Overall it's slightly wetter than 00z, but it had a better look at H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 6:05 PM, Allsnow said: Yep game set match. GFS wins this is nothing more then some light wet snow What? Its alot better than 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 6:07 PM, Allsnow said: It's just .50+ for them the exact same for NYC Very weak overall I liked the changes aloft, and I think this will eventually end up coming back West. Probably not as far as it was yesterday, but a compromise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 6:07 PM, Snow88 said: What? Its alot better than 0z. Yeah, lollies of 0.75"+. It's probably at least 0.20" or so better in a lot of places which is 2". That's big. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 What r u guys looking at? Euro drops low end warning snows from central NJ THROUGH NYC and Long Island? Am I missing something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder7842 Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 Sounds like it improved enough to keep us in the game. Especially since GGEM and Ukie still show a good snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 High Res Euro snowmaps on SV have 4-8" of snow areawide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 6:10 PM, Thunder7842 said: Sounds like it improved enough to keep us in the game. Especially since GGEM and Ukie still show a good snowstorm. Well said. It's enough of an improvement to keep us intrigued for the 0Z runs tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 6:09 PM, UlsterCountySnowZ said: What r u guys looking at? Euro drops low end warning snows from central NJ THROUGH NYC and Long Island? Am I missing something I understand AllSnow's comment about it being weak, but it does develop as it moves North, and the area still sees some decent snows. I would think that it's 2-4 or 3-5" verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 6:11 PM, IsentropicLift said: High Res Euro snowmaps on SV have 4-8" of snow areawide. Euro sv had 2-4 for the area. Some of it will be white rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 6:12 PM, NutleyBlizzard said: Well said. It's enough of an improvement to keep us intrigued for the 0Z runs tonight. This was a trend in the right direction, especially at H5. If it had shifted further East or worse aloft, then I would have pulled the plug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 4-8 for nyc on euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 6:12 PM, IsentropicLift said: I understand AllSnow's comment about it being weak, but it does develop as it moves North, and the area still sees some decent snows. I would think that it's 2-4 or 3-5" verbatim. Agree. It really develops to late for us and even then it's not that powerful. It was a pretty meh run for a late season storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 Better trends for sure this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 6:12 PM, NutleyBlizzard said: Well said. It's enough of an improvement to keep us intrigued for the 0Z runs tonight. Wonder what the previous snowfall record was around the area after the first 80 degree readings of spring? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 6:12 PM, Allsnow said: Euro sv had 2-4 for the area. Some of it will be white rain It's a stripe of 4-6 from CNJ, up through NYC and all of LI up into SNE. Most of the Metro is 4"+. But I agree that those should be trimmed down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 6:13 PM, Snow88 said: 4-8 for nyc on euroSome of that falls between 2pm and 7pm none of that will stick Anthony. It's more of a 1-3 type runAnd the euro continues to be the slowest on timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 On 3/18/2016 at 6:13 PM, Snow88 said: 4-8 for nyc on euro I think that's pushing it. I'd take a third off the top for time of year and intensity. If this was January, I'd have no problem calling 6"+ for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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