Chinook Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 new tornado warning for Hazen and De Valls Bluff. Wow! Lots of believable tornado warnings in the last half hour! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Multiple reports of a funnel to the treetops heading towards Vilonia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Funnel cloud/poss tornado headed for Vilonia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Cells in Southern AR are starting to get into a much more conducive environment as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 MIDSCAR driving through Vilonia. Not seeing any damage yet or power flashes. edit: Looks like the main circulation jumped just north of town. Trying to tighten up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Cells in Southern AR are starting to get into a much more conducive environment as all. Good call, 2 cells TW'd now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Confirmed tornado near Dewitt, AR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 6 TOR warned Sups now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Currently 7 separate tornado warned supercells in Arkansas. SREF says the peak should be seen within 2 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Don Murry should be close to the De Witt rotation....nothing on his cam but he has a good view https://tvnweather.com/live/chasers/847783530 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Cotton Plant taking a direct hit if there's a tor on the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Hook developing near Little Rock, near the NWS office, Memphis on standby if they need to take cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Chris Conley has power flashes near Marvell https://tvnweather.com/live/chasers/847783702 edit: Debris in the air "Big tornado" edit2: Going through Marvell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 rotational signature near Marvell, AR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 tornado report at Lexa/La Grange AR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Nice looking discrete supercell looks to impact Memphis metro in about an hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0208 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0851 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...NORTH-CENTRAL TO NORTHEAST LA AND PART OF WESTERN MS CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 43... VALID 140151Z - 140315Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 43 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...ONE OR TWO ROWS OF PARISHES IN LOUISIANA AND COUNTIES IN WEST-CENTRAL MS LOCATED IMMEDIATELY SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHEAST OF WW 43 MAY NEED TO BE ADDED TO THIS TORNADO WATCH. TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED THAT COULD RESULT IN A LOCAL WFO AREAL WATCH EXTENSION. DISCUSSION...EARLY EVENING TRENDS IN CLOUD TOP COOLING...LIGHTNING DATA AND MOSAIC RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED STORMS HAD DEVELOPED AND INCREASED IN INTENSITY INTO NORTHERN LA. IT APPEARS THE SOUTHERN EXTENT OF GREATER HEIGHT FALLS AND DCVA ATTENDANT TO THE COMPACT CLOSED LOW/SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH AR THIS EVENING ARE AIDING THE STORM DEVELOPMENT WITHIN AND SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF WW 43. THE FORT POLK LA AND JACKSON MS VWP DATA SHOWED FAVORABLE LOW-LEVEL DIRECTIONAL SHEAR COMBINED WITH THE STRENGTHENING BULK SHEAR FOR SUSTAINED ROTATING UPDRAFTS. IF STORMS IN THE EASTERN PART OF WFO-SHV COUNTY WARNING AREA /JACKSON TO NATCHITOCHES PARISHES/ MAINTAIN SUSTENANCE AND HAVE INCREASED FURTHER IN INTENSITY...THEN A FEW PARISHES AND COUNTIES MAY NEED TO BE ADDED IMMEDIATELY TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST OF WW 43 IN NORTHEAST LA AND WEST-CENTRAL MS. ..PETERS.. 03/14/2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Major damage reported in Marvell, AR per WMC in Memphis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 kind of a strange S-shaped supercell near Parkin, AR-- tornado warned for the last few minutes. I am not even really sure what is going on with the storm-relative velocities there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Even though they dropped tornado warning on the storm heading for Memphis, I wouldn't be surprised if it is reissued. It's still trying to re-organize itself a lot. edit: Spoke too soon. TW for Memphis issued. I'm a bit surprised they didn't mention the storm having a history of producing tornadoes. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDTORNADO WARNINGNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN936 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WARNING FOR...NORTH CENTRAL DESOTO COUNTY IN NORTHWESTERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHEASTERN SHELBY COUNTY IN WEST TENNESSEE...* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT* AT 935 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING A TORNADO WASLOCATED NEAR LAKE CORMORANT...OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF T O FULLERSTATE PARK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUTSHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREEDAMAGE IS LIKELY.* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...WALLS AROUND 940 PM CDT.HORN LAKE AND LYNCHBURG AROUND 950 PM CDT.T O FULLER STATE PARK...SOUTHWEST MEMPHIS AND WHITEHAVEN AROUND 955PM CDT.SOUTHAVEN AND DOWNTOWN MEMPHIS AROUND 1005 PM CDT.MIDTOWN MEMPHIS AROUND 1010 PM CDT.GERMANTOWN...SOUTHEAST MEMPHIS AND FRAYSER AROUND 1015 PM CDT.OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDERALEIGH...LAKE VIEW...WHITE STATION...FISHERVILLE...PRESIDENTSISLAND...LENOW...SPRING LAKE...BRUNSWICK...ELMORE PARK AND PARKWAYVILLAGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Even though they dropped tornado warning on the storm heading for Memphis, I wouldn't be surprised if it is reissued. It's still trying to re-organize itself a lot. Looks like they just reissued Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Reports of a funnel SW of Memphis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0209 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0949 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 AREAS AFFECTED...EASTERN AR/NORTHEAST LA/SOUTHWEST TN/WEST-CENTRAL TO NORTHWEST MS CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 43... VALID 140249Z - 140445Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 43 CONTINUES. SUMMARY...THE TORNADO THREAT AND POTENTIAL FOR HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES ACROSS MAINLY EASTERN PORTIONS OF AR INTO NORTHEAST LA...WITH STORMS ADVANCING TO THE EAST/NORTHEAST INTO WESTERN AND NORTHWEST MS AND WESTERN TN DURING THE LATE EVENING. DISCUSSION...AT 02Z...OBJECTIVE ANALYSES AND AVAILABLE VWP DATA ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO THE MID SOUTH SHOWED THE SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET HAD STRENGTHENED TO 45-60 KT FROM SOUTHERN LA... NORTHWARD THROUGH WESTERN MS TO SOUTHWEST TN/NORTHEAST AR. THIS LLJ BENEATH A 50-55-KT WESTERLY MIDLEVEL JET EXTENDING INTO EASTERN AR AND NORTHERN MS IS MAINTAINING FAVORABLE VEERING WIND PROFILES AND STRONG LOW-LEVEL AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED...ROTATING UPDRAFTS. THESE FAVORABLE KINEMATICS AND 700-500-MB LAPSE RATES OF 7-7.5 C/KM WITHIN THE LEADING EDGE OF STRONG ASCENT ATTENDANT TO THE EASTWARD-MOVING COMPACT CLOSED LOW WILL SUPPORT FURTHER STORM DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...RECENT TRENDS IN MRMS 7- AND 9-KM CAPPI DATA SUGGEST GRADUAL WEAKENING UPDRAFTS/STORMS THAT ARE MOVING INTO WESTERN TN...WHILE THE STRONGEST CELLS WERE LOCATED IN SOUTHEAST AR. THE LATTER STORMS WERE LOCATED CLOSER TO RELATIVELY STRONGER INSTABILITY...WITH THIS ACTIVITY POSING A GREATER THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WITH EASTWARD EXTENT INTO WESTERN MS. MEANWHILE...COUNTIES AND PARISHES ACROSS THE WESTERN PART OF WW 43 CAN CONTINUE TO BE CANCELLED AS STRONGER FORCING FOR ASCENT MOVES AWAY FROM THESE COUNTIES/PARISHES INTO EASTERN AR/NORTHERN MS AND WESTERN TN. ..PETERS.. 03/14/2016 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonbo Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Possible circulation SW of over Lynchburg, even though TW was canceled. edit: Very tight circulation over Joiner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mesocyclone Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Thanks for completely misinterpreting my post. This post is completely uncalled for, they aren't saying it would be like that event, they even say it isn't like that event in magnitude. Actually I did read his entire post. If he didn't mean to compare this event to 3/1/97 in any way shape or form, why even bring it up? There's been numerous other supercell and tornado events in this same area with similar tracks since March 1, 1997, none nearly as devastating or deadly. Posters on this board, not just in this thread, always compare whatever current severe weather event is going on to the most epic one ever in that area (if it's in Alabama, 4/27/2011, Oklahoma 5/3/99, etc). The reason, of course, is to sensationalize their post and get more attention, which in turn leads the weather-uneducated readers of this forum to think another 3/1/97 is happening. I think it's completely ridiculous and needs to be called out more often, but judging by the responses and attacks on me on here it's apparently what the regular posters and moderators of this forum want - and why us actual meteorologists don't (and won't) post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Actually I did read his entire post. If he didn't mean to compare this event to 3/1/97 in any way shape or form, why even bring it up? There's been numerous other supercell and tornado events in this same area with similar tracks since March 1, 1997, none nearly as devastating or deadly. Posters on this board, not just in this thread, always compare whatever current severe weather event is going on to the most epic one ever in that area (if it's in Alabama, 4/27/2011, Oklahoma 5/3/99, etc). The reason, of course, is to sensationalize their post and get more attention, which in turn leads the weather-uneducated readers of this forum to think another 3/1/97 is happening. I think it's completely ridiculous and needs to be called out more often, but judging by the responses and attacks on me on here it's apparently what the regular posters and moderators of this forum want - and why us actual meteorologists don't (and won't) post. You sir, are a clown show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SluggerWx Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 What's the protocol for updating the SPC Reports page with tornado reports? There were at least three TOR Warning products that called out a 'confirmed tornado' along with a specific location - but none of the three are listed yet on the SPC Storm Reports page.Normally, it seems like TOR Warning products usually result in a tornado on the storm report.In the below three screen grabs, the left is the SPC Storm Report "Google Maps' view and the right is the Warning Product text grabbed from our great posters on here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MGorse Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 What's the protocol for updating the SPC Reports page with tornado reports? There were at least three TOR Warning products that called out a 'confirmed tornado' along with a specific location - but none of the three are listed yet on the SPC Storm Reports page. Normally, it seems like TOR Warning products usually result in a tornado on the storm report. In the below three screen grabs, the left is the SPC Storm Report "Google Maps' view and the right is the Warning Product text grabbed from our great posters on here. The SPC reports page pulls directly from the LSR's that are issued by each NWS office. Therefore if those tornado reports were not yet issued via an LSR, then it will not show up on the SPC reports page. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted March 14, 2016 Share Posted March 14, 2016 Actually I did read his entire post. If he didn't mean to compare this event to 3/1/97 in any way shape or form, why even bring it up? There's been numerous other supercell and tornado events in this same area with similar tracks since March 1, 1997, none nearly as devastating or deadly. Posters on this board, not just in this thread, always compare whatever current severe weather event is going on to the most epic one ever in that area (if it's in Alabama, 4/27/2011, Oklahoma 5/3/99, etc). The reason, of course, is to sensationalize their post and get more attention, which in turn leads the weather-uneducated readers of this forum to think another 3/1/97 is happening. I think it's completely ridiculous and needs to be called out more often, but judging by the responses and attacks on me on here it's apparently what the regular posters and moderators of this forum want - and why us actual meteorologists don't (and won't) post. Quoting Andy completely killed the credibility of the point you're still trying to make. He clearly stated that this isn't the same case. Now you go on to prove that you still don't understand their points. The reason, of course, is to sensationalize their post and get more attention, which in turn leads the weather-uneducated readers of this forum to think another 3/1/97 is happening. Both of them were talking about the fact that the tornadic supercell was following the same path as a memorable/infamous supercell. They were saying nothing about the entire event happening again... just that one of the supercells is following a very similar path to one of the big ones that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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