Hoosier Posted December 22, 2010 Author Share Posted December 22, 2010 Don't get your hopes up. I think we already know your prediction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I think we already know your prediction. DAB? Idk I'll take a .1 LES snow probably end up with 1-2" over the weekend, enough to keep the snow we have now clean looking, and to help us crawl to the end of the month above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I think we already know your prediction. thats true lol hey joe that should be your license plate...IMO DAB1 haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 thats true lol hey joe that should be your license plate...IMO DAB1 haha I think 1MBY DAB would work too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 thats true lol hey joe that should be your license plate...IMO DAB1 haha I think 1MBY DAB would work too. No, especially given there are a few meanings for "DAB". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 No, especially given there are a few meanings for "DAB". lol, its a joke I know I wasn't serious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I think we already know your prediction. DAB? I'm crunching the numbers...we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I'm crunching the numbers...we'll see. Oooooh I'm on pins and needles, that maybe you might go DAB to 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Nice, mid lake temps still pretty warm but near shore temps really taking a beating the past week or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Nice, mid lake temps still pretty warm but near shore temps really taking a beating the past week or so. I'm not sure how accurate that is. Probably pretty close though. I'm looking at another map right now that is 2-3F colder. Edit: more like 1 or 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I'm not sure how accurate that is. Probably pretty close though. I'm looking at another map right now that is 2-3F colder. Edit: more like 1 or 2 There's definitely some near shore ice build up so the gradient there should probably be a little colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Nice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 The NAM seems like it wants to shift things more toward Chesterton/Michigan City early Sunday. Not sure I buy it being that far east. In any event, the ramp up in intensity after 00z Sunday is looking to be on track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Jacques de Plume as LOT calls it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Notice the pocket of 700 mb temps of -20C over the lake. This is the timeframe where this event should be at its strongest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 What did Skilling say guys? 00z GFS looks a bit disorganized but signals a 12hr period at least for light/mod snow in IA, N IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 00z GFS still showing nice 24hr plume of LES. What did skilling say tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Nice VVs running along the East side of the thumb through Port Huron too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I dont quite get what you are trying to say with that map but 00z GFS has a beautiful LES band for a sold 36+hr in NE IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 23, 2010 Author Share Posted December 23, 2010 I dont quite get what you are trying to say with that map but 00z GFS has a beautiful LES band for a sold 36+hr in NE IL. That is a map of 850 mb vertical velocity. It's useful to look at to try to identify where the band might be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Channel 2 said "LES" potential this weekend will have to closely watch. Also says will have more about this potential tommorow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I dont quite get what you are trying to say with that map but 00z GFS has a beautiful LES band for a sold 36+hr in NE IL. I'm still not seeing the "beautiful LES band". 0-.1" QPF painted over a board area does not neccesarily equal a beautiful band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Nice... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 Total Qpf from the gfs.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 wow .5", probably .25 or more synoptic though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 I'm still not seeing the "beautiful LES band". 0-.1" QPF painted over a board area does not neccesarily equal a beautiful band. Yeah but it snows in Lake and Cook a good 36hrs after the system passes. Doesent look all that impressive but these ncep models dont really pick up on that. It's gonna be very local but what I am saying it shows a nice stream of LES in NE IL for 36+hrs not ness a beautiful LES band. It does look more healthier than previous GFS runs. I'd say if this system pans out because it looks wetter. We could get 3-5 inches of sypnotic snow and several inches from LES. 6+ in NE IL by Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 wow .5", probably .25 or more synoptic though. Yep, eyeballing it I think .3-.4 was synoptic.. I'm thinking this might be the max total qpf we will get as far as our area goes.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherguru Posted December 23, 2010 Share Posted December 23, 2010 You guys are underestimating the 36+ of LES. I dont care how unorganized it may be but it's gonna add up. Id say 6+ in NE IL by Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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