pasnownut Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Dont throw any bricks yet....if you compare todays 12z from yesterday, you'll notice its ticked notably NW. A tick or 2 further, and many in CPA would be into the good stuff. TRENDS....TRENDS!! Cant look at the model verbatim. 500MB looks to be following suit and in a decent spot (assuming a couple ticks NW given the pattern as depicted). No worries, by Wednesday/Thurs you'll be laying in the sun w/ the leftover snow tanning your underside.... Nut Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 CMC crushes NW areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 I said a couple of days ago how good the 500 looked when surface models were OTS. Always look at 500 mb. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 I'm expecting nothing, but at this point of the year, that's okay. Whole winter has been off in one way or another, add in fact it's late March, odds are highly against it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 I'm expecting nothing, but at this point of the year, that's okay. Whole winter has been off in one way or another, add in fact it's late March, odds are highly against it. Except odds don't control the weather. The right set up can and will produce, especially in your area. Not comparing this in ANY way to 3/13/1993, but try telling folks in Birmingham, Alabama that they were in line for 11" of snow that day. Point being, it's been a horrific winter up your way and it's been pretty much full-on spring the past couple of weeks, but don't dismiss this based on any of that. Your back might remind you of that fact come Monday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 CRAZY dark skies just to the NW of Harrisburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 CRAZY dark skies just to the NW of Harrisburg. Yeah, radar says you should be boom-booming shortly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Euro looks good Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Euro looks good Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk For who? Everyone on here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 For who? Everyone on here? Nah,far South Central and Maryland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 CRAZY dark skies just to the NW of Harrisburg. Yeah, radar says you should be boom-booming shortly... yeah, i got caught outside working on a power lift. good thing i keep extra clothes here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 NW areas might see more precip than past storms, but I think this will be again a southern bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 NW areas might see more precip than past storms, but I think this will be again a southern bullseye. Maybe...my guess is N&E of PA instead of south, though. You'll be happy reading reports of S+ coming out of NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Highly elevation dependent event. Latitude will not help you on this one. If you live east of the Susq. at or above 600-700ft, then you should be set. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Looking at the Euro map that was posted elsewhere, I feel like I was knocking on the door and someone opened it, but I just haven't been able to get over the threshold yet... But anyway. 6-9 wouldn't be a bad thing. As for elevation, I sit at 825' so perhaps that'll help some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rick G Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 :lmao: Yes...It's me! I broke my big toe so I'm off work at the moment, so I don't care if it snows as I don't have to navigate 70 foot of tractor trailer through it. Other than that, even though I love warm temperatures and summer weather, I'm still a sucker for the chase, AND if we can get a major storm, then I'm usually in! Do we need to call a toe truck for you>?... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
2001kx Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Nah,far South Central and Maryland. status quo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Do we need to call a toe truck for you>?... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 For those seeking Spring again, the ECM has widespread 65-70 temps on Thursday and 70+ Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 Bring on 60s and 70s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 For those seeking Spring again, the ECM has widespread 65-70 temps on Thursday and 70+ Friday. Love it. If we do see snow then 70F I will hear the cries, "world is coming to an end". Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 17, 2016 Share Posted March 17, 2016 18z GFS is quite the Miller B hose job for NEPA. And lol'ing at poor Albany... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 18z GFS is quite the Miller B hose job for NEPA. And lol'ing at poor Albany... That run really wasn't good for much of anybody besides the coast...even 95 didn't get much. Storm was well east. 21z SREFs have 0.75+ for pretty much the entire region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 I do wish this forum was a bit more active. I'm kind of tired of going into the other forums for analysis and discussion only to see them all rooting for and talking about THEIR location. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lte5000 Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 Bernie Rayno says "maybe a few inches, possibly 3-6" as far west as Harrisburg. He's pretty confident that New England will get a major snowstorm, not as sure about DC, Philly, NYC. http://videowall.accuweather.com/detail/videos/trending-now/video/4805722386001/snowstorm-for-new-england-perhaps-for-mid-atlantic-as-well?autoStart=true&q=RAYNO Eric Horst says "still too early to say, perhaps a plowable snow if just the right track". http://www.atmos.millersville.edu/~wic/SWD-latest.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 NAM is a 95E event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 NAM is a 95E event. East this time lol. Usually South. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 I just reviewed the 12z Euro EPS Ensemble. The main cluster of low locations of the 51 members is west of The EPS mean & west of the Euro Op. run from 12z. The mean puts the I-81 corridor state wide in the bullseye for the best snow with 6-8 inches. Further north & West of I -81, the Mean shows 3-5 inches. I counted almost 40 of the 51 ensemble members that give most of the region at least a few inches. Many members put the 1-81 corridor in the 10 or more inch range. This type of storm in is the Euro's wheelhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted March 18, 2016 Share Posted March 18, 2016 I just reviewed the 12z Euro EPS Ensemble. The main cluster of low locations of the 51 members is west of The EPS mean & west of the Euro Op. run from 12z. The mean puts the I-81 corridor state wide in the bullseye for the best snow with 6-8 inches. Further north & West of I -81, the Mean shows 3-5 inches. I counted almost 40 of the 51 ensemble members that give most of the region at least a few inches. Many members put the 1-81 corridor in the 10 or more inch range. This type of storm in is the Euro's wheelhouse. Wow...thanks for the analysis. Since I have no access to the euro, I really appreciate it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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